Football · Austria Landesliga · 30/10, 19:00

Prediction: SV Strasswalchen vs SV Burmoos

Team pages: SV Strasswalchen · SV Burmoos

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.68Total

SV Strasswalchen1.78

SV Burmoos1.9

1X2

36% 23% 41%

SV Strasswalchen Draw SV Burmoos

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

SV Strasswalchen 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

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SV Burmoos 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

SV Strasswalchen 0–2 SV Burmoos (2 last)

SV Strasswalchen0-5SV Burmoos
SV Burmoos4-1SV Strasswalchen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Strasswalchen 1585 · SV Burmoos 1597

	SV Strasswalchen	Draw	SV Burmoos
Our model	36%	23%	41%
Market	36%	24%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 3.68 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours SV Burmoos: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Strasswalchen	SV Burmoos
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 1	2.9 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.1	1.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	80/10/10%	60/40/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 3.8	3 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0	2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.80

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.77

2 (-0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.93

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
03:21 +19’	2.50	3.80	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Strasswalchen 0–0–2 SV Burmoos

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/04/26 Austria Landesliga	SV Strasswalchen	0-5 HT 0-3	SV Burmoos
13/09/25 Austria Landesliga	SV Burmoos	4-1 HT 1-1	SV Strasswalchen

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sportunion Mauer	10	7	3	0	26	5	24
2	LAC Inter	10	7	1	2	22	15	22
3	Red Star Penzing	10	7	1	2	20	13	22
4	TWL Elektra	10	7	1	2	22	16	22
5	Floridsdorfer AC II	10	6	1	3	21	13	19
6	Helfort 15	10	5	3	2	16	7	18
7	FV Austria XIII	10	3	4	3	15	13	13
8	First Vienna II	10	4	1	5	21	21	13
9	SV Schwechat	10	4	0	6	16	17	12
10	WAF Brigittenau	10	3	2	5	14	17	11
11	Slovan HAC	10	2	4	4	13	18	10
12	FC 1980 Wien	10	2	3	5	12	25	9
13	Simmeringer SC	10	3	0	7	7	26	9
14	Hellas Kagran	10	2	2	6	15	20	8
15	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	10	1	4	5	11	22	7
16	Post SV	10	1	2	7	17	20	5

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SV Strasswalchen	SV Burmoos
UFC Siezenheim	4-1 W	3-0 W
USV 1960 Berndorf	4-0 W	2-2 D
Seekirchen II	2-0 W	6-2 W
Puch	0-1 L	3-3 D
SV Schwarzach	4-0 W	4-0 W
TSU Bramberg	2-1 W	3-3 D
Union Henndorf	6-4 W	3-1 W
USC Eugendorf	3-2 W	1-0 W
Salzburger AK	1-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	8 W 0 D 1 L	6 W 3 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Strasswalchen

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	SC Golling Austria Landesliga	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
18/10	UFC Siezenheim Austria Landesliga	1-0	4-1	–	–	W
09/10	USV 1960 Berndorf Austria Landesliga	1-0	4-0	2	1	W
04/10	Seekirchen II Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
25/09	Puch Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
18/09	SV Schwarzach Austria Landesliga	1-0	4-0	–	–	W
13/09	TSU Bramberg Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-1	6	8	W
04/09	Union Henndorf Austria Landesliga	4-0	6-4	–	–	W
30/08	USC Eugendorf Austria Landesliga	2-0	3-2	3	4	W
14/08	Salzburger AK Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W

SV Burmoos

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	UFC Siezenheim Austria Landesliga	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
16/10	USV 1960 Berndorf Austria Landesliga	2-2	2-2	–	–	D
10/10	Seekirchen II Austria Landesliga	2-1	6-2	–	–	W
02/10	Puch Austria Landesliga	2-1	3-3	–	–	D
26/09	SV Schwarzach Austria Landesliga	2-0	4-0	7	1	W
19/09	TSU Bramberg Austria Landesliga	1-1	3-3	–	–	D
13/09	Union Henndorf Austria Landesliga	3-1	3-1	2	3	W
04/09	USC Eugendorf Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
29/08	UFV Thalgau Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-0	9	2	W
21/08	Salzburger AK Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Strasswalchen vs SV Burmoos?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SV Burmoos win (41%). Probabilities: SV Strasswalchen 36%, draw 23%, SV Burmoos 41%.

How many goals are expected in SV Strasswalchen vs SV Burmoos?

The model expects 3.68 goals (SV Strasswalchen 1.78 · SV Burmoos 1.9), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Strasswalchen vs SV Burmoos?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.