Football · Austria Landesliga · 18/09, 17:15

Prediction: UFV Thalgau vs TSV Neumarkt

Team pages: UFV Thalgau · TSV Neumarkt

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4Total
UFV Thalgau2.13
TSV Neumarkt1.88
1X2
43% 23% 34%
UFV Thalgau Draw TSV Neumarkt
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
UFV Thalgau 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
WLLLLWDLWL
TSV Neumarkt 0-2-8 (W-D-L)
LLDDLLLLLL
Head-to-head
UFV Thalgau 1–1 TSV Neumarkt (2 last)
  • TSV Neumarkt4-1UFV Thalgau
  • UFV Thalgau5-1TSV Neumarkt
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · UFV Thalgau 1454 · TSV Neumarkt 1414
UFV ThalgauDrawTSV Neumarkt
Our model44%22%34%
Market43%24%33%
Estimated total (ours) 4 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours UFV Thalgau (rating 1454 vs 1414).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

UFV ThalgauTSV Neumarkt
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 2.41.6 / 3.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 1.31.1 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/30/60%10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 2.71.2 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 04.2 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · UFV Thalgau 101 TSV Neumarkt

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DateHomeScoreAway
10/04/26
Austria Landesliga
TSV Neumarkt4-1
HT 3-1
UFV Thalgau
29/08/25
Austria Landesliga
UFV Thalgau5-1
HT 1-0
TSV Neumarkt

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 TWL Elektra 4400 10312
2 Red Star Penzing 4400 8212
3 SV Schwechat 4301 939
4 LAC Inter 4301 979
5 Sportunion Mauer 3210 517
6 Floridsdorfer AC II 4211 857
7 FV Austria XIII 4121 555
8 Post SV 4112 1274
9 Helfort 15 4112 1064
10 Slovan HAC 4112 654
11 First Vienna II 4103 693
12 WAF Brigittenau 3102 583
13 SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf 2101 363
14 FC 1980 Wien 4103 3113
15 Hellas Kagran 4013 291
16 Simmeringer SC 4004 2160

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUFV ThalgauTSV Neumarkt
ATSV Salzburg 1-3 L 0-1 L
USK Anif 3-1 W 3-4 L
SV Burmoos 0-2 L 0-2 L
UFC Siezenheim 1-1 D 4-4 D
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 2 L 0 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

UFV Thalgau

WLLLLWDLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 ATSV Salzburg
Austria Landesliga
0-1 1-3 51 L
05/09 USK Anif
Austria Landesliga
1-1 3-1 36 W
29/08 SV Burmoos
Austria Landesliga
0-1 0-2 12 L
15/08 UFC Siezenheim
Austria Landesliga
0-0 1-1 D
11/08 USV 1960 Berndorf
Austria Landesliga
1-2 3-2 W
08/08 Seekirchen II
Austria Landesliga
0-0 0-2 L
12/06 USC Eugendorf
Austria Landesliga
0-2 0-3 31 L
06/06 OTSU Hallein
Austria Landesliga
1-4 1-5 05 L
03/06 TSU Bramberg
Austria Landesliga
0-2 3-4 L
29/05 Union Henndorf
Austria Landesliga
2-0 2-1 45 W

TSV Neumarkt

LLDDLLLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 Salzburger AK
Austria Landesliga
2-1 2-3 38 L
05/09 SC Golling
Austria Landesliga
0-2 1-7 14 L
30/08 ATSV Salzburg
Austria Landesliga
0-0 0-1 L
23/08 USK Anif
Austria Landesliga
2-2 3-4 L
15/08 SV Burmoos
Austria Landesliga
0-1 0-2 57 L
11/08 SV Strasswalchen
Austria Landesliga
1-2 1-2 L
08/08 UFC Siezenheim
Austria Landesliga
2-2 4-4 D
13/06 SV Anthering
Austria Landesliga
1-1 2-2 51 D
06/06 Salzburger AK
Austria Landesliga
2-2 2-3 L
02/06 SV Grodig
Austria Landesliga
1-1 1-3 22 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in UFV Thalgau vs TSV Neumarkt?

According to our model, the most likely result is a UFV Thalgau win (43%). Probabilities: UFV Thalgau 43%, draw 23%, TSV Neumarkt 34%.

How many goals are expected in UFV Thalgau vs TSV Neumarkt?

The model expects 4 goals (UFV Thalgau 2.13 · TSV Neumarkt 1.88), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in UFV Thalgau vs TSV Neumarkt?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.