Football · Czechia 2. Liga · 31/07, 18:00
Prediction: MFK Karvina vs FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim
Team pages: MFK Karvina · FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.63Total
MFK Karvina1.65
FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim0.98
1X2
MFK Karvina
Draw
FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
MFK Karvina
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
MFK Karvina
3–1–2
FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim
(6 last)
- FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim2-1MFK Karvina
- MFK Karvina3-2FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim
- MFK Karvina1-3FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim
- MFK Karvina1-0FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim
- FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim0-0MFK Karvina
- MFK Karvina2-0FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · MFK Karvina 1494 · FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim 1498
| MFK Karvina | Draw | FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 27% | 21% |
| Market | 54% | 24% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours MFK Karvina: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| MFK Karvina | FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.7 | 1.8 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.8 | 2.4 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.2 | 1.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · MFK Karvina 3–1–2 FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/22 Czechia 2. Liga | FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim | 2-1 HT 1-1 | MFK Karvina |
| 05/08/22 Czechia 2. Liga | MFK Karvina | 3-2 HT 1-2 | FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim |
| 30/09/20 Czechia Cup | MFK Karvina | 1-3 HT 0-2 | FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim |
| 26/03/16 Czechia 2. Liga | MFK Karvina | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim |
| 12/09/15 Czechia 2. Liga | FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim | 0-0 HT 0-0 | MFK Karvina |
| 11/04/15 Czechia 2. Liga | MFK Karvina | 2-0 HT 1-0 | FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim |
Standings · Czechia 2. Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dukla Praha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Opava | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | FK Usti nad Labem | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Vysocina Jihlava | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Banik Ostrava B | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 5 | FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 5 | FK Pribram | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 5 | Slavia Prague B | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | SK Prostejov | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Trinec | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | FC Silon Taborsko | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | SK Kladno | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Viktoria Zizkov | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Arsenal Ceska Lipa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | MFK Karvina | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
MFK Karvina
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Opava Czechia 2. Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 18/07 | Ruch Chorzow Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 10/07 | MSK Povazska Bystrica Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 07/07 | MFK Zemplin Michalovce Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Wisla Krakow Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | Sigma Olomouc Czechia First League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 20/05 | FK Jablonec Czechia Cup |
1-1 | 3-1 | 0 | 10 | W |
| 16/05 | Sigma Olomouc Czechia First League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Pardubice Czechia First League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Pardubice Czechia First League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Banik Ostrava B Czechia 2. Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 11/07 | Kraluv Dvur Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 01/07 | Slavia Prague Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Dukla Praha Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 26/06 | FK Jablonec Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 20/06 | Dukla Praha Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | Slavia Prague B Czechia 2. Liga |
1-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Banik Ostrava B Czechia 2. Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | FC Brno Czechia 2. Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 06/05 | Viktoria Zizkov Czechia 2. Liga |
0-1 | 3-1 | 13 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in MFK Karvina vs FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim?
According to our model, the most likely result is a MFK Karvina win (53%). Probabilities: MFK Karvina 53%, draw 25%, FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim 22%.
How many goals are expected in MFK Karvina vs FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim?
The model expects 2.63 goals (MFK Karvina 1.65 · FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim 0.98), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in MFK Karvina vs FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.