Football · Czechia 2. Liga · 07/08, 18:00

Prediction: FK Usti nad Labem vs Arsenal Ceska Lipa

Team pages: FK Usti nad Labem · Arsenal Ceska Lipa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.05Total

FK Usti nad Labem1.94

Arsenal Ceska Lipa1.11

1X2

56% 24% 20%

FK Usti nad Labem Draw Arsenal Ceska Lipa

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FK Usti nad Labem 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Arsenal Ceska Lipa 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FK Usti nad Labem 5–0 Arsenal Ceska Lipa (5 last)

Arsenal Ceska Lipa1-3FK Usti nad Labem
FK Usti nad Labem5-0Arsenal Ceska Lipa
FK Usti nad Labem3-1Arsenal Ceska Lipa
Arsenal Ceska Lipa0-1FK Usti nad Labem
FK Usti nad Labem4-0Arsenal Ceska Lipa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Usti nad Labem 1523 · Arsenal Ceska Lipa 1533

	FK Usti nad Labem	Draw	Arsenal Ceska Lipa
Our model	56%	24%	20%
Market	55%	25%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 3.05 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FK Usti nad Labem: 5-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Usti nad Labem	Arsenal Ceska Lipa
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.8	2.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1	1.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.2	2.5 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0	2.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.60

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 32.02

Under 31.77

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 20:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.55▼	Pinn 1.60
X	3.60 → 3.70▲	Pinn 4.05 ★
2	4.50 → 5.00▲	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
15:16 +32’	1.61	3.60	4.50
20:08 +13’	1.55▼	3.70▲	5.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:27 +1’	1.58	3.94	4.70
20:21	1.60▲	4.05▲	4.87▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Usti nad Labem 5–0–0 Arsenal Ceska Lipa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/25 Czechia 3. Liga	Arsenal Ceska Lipa	1-3 HT 0-3	FK Usti nad Labem
16/08/24 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Usti nad Labem	5-0 HT 2-0	Arsenal Ceska Lipa
12/04/24 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Usti nad Labem	3-1 HT 1-1	Arsenal Ceska Lipa
15/09/23 Czechia 3. Liga	Arsenal Ceska Lipa	0-1 HT 0-1	FK Usti nad Labem
26/07/23 Europe Friendlies	FK Usti nad Labem	4-0 HT 1-0	Arsenal Ceska Lipa

Standings · Czechia 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Usti nad Labem	2	2	0	0	4	1	6
2	Dukla Praha	2	1	1	0	4	2	4
3	FK Pribram	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
4	Vysocina Jihlava	2	1	1	0	1	0	4
5	Opava	2	1	0	1	2	1	3
6	SK Kladno	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
7	Viktoria Zizkov	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
8	MFK Karvina	2	1	0	1	1	2	3
9	Slavia Prague B	2	0	2	0	3	3	2
10	FC Silon Taborsko	2	0	2	0	2	2	2
11	Trinec	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
12	Banik Ostrava B	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
12	FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
14	SK Prostejov	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
15	Arsenal Ceska Lipa	2	0	1	1	1	3	1
16	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz	2	0	1	1	0	2	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Usti nad Labem	Arsenal Ceska Lipa
SK Kladno	2-1 W	2-3 L
Dukla Praha	2-2 D	0-2 L
Slavia Prague B	2-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 0 L	0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FK Usti nad Labem (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FK Usti nad Labem

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz Czechia 2. Liga	1-0	2-0	0	7	W
24/07	SK Kladno Czechia 2. Liga	1-1	2-1	6	6	W
17/07	Dukla Praha Europe Friendlies	0-2	2-2	8	0	D
11/07	Zwickau Club Friendly List	2-3	3-6	–	–	L
03/07	FK Jablonec Europe Friendlies	0-0	1-1	1	0	D
27/06	Slovan Liberec Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-2	0	0	L
23/05	Vysocina Jihlava Czechia 2. Liga	0-3	1-3	6	3	L
16/05	Slavia Prague B Czechia 2. Liga	2-0	2-1	5	5	W
10/05	Banik Ostrava B Czechia 2. Liga	0-1	2-1	4	4	W
06/05	Opava Czechia 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	8	1	W

Arsenal Ceska Lipa

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Slavia Prague B Czechia 2. Liga	1-0	1-1	3	2	D
24/07	Dukla Praha Czechia 2. Liga	0-0	0-2	4	3	L
11/07	FC Pisek Europe Friendlies	1-2	2-2	6	1	D
08/07	Varnsdorf Europe Friendlies	2-0	6-0	7	2	W
13/06	SK Kladno Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-3	7	5	L
10/06	SK Kladno Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
03/06	FK Teplice B Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	4-0	10	1	W
30/05	Varnsdorf Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	4-2	–	–	W
24/05	Slovan Velvary Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	4-1	8	3	W
21/05	SK Sokol Zapy Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-2	7	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Usti nad Labem vs Arsenal Ceska Lipa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Usti nad Labem win (56%). Probabilities: FK Usti nad Labem 56%, draw 24%, Arsenal Ceska Lipa 20%.

How many goals are expected in FK Usti nad Labem vs Arsenal Ceska Lipa?

The model expects 3.05 goals (FK Usti nad Labem 1.94 · Arsenal Ceska Lipa 1.11), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Usti nad Labem vs Arsenal Ceska Lipa?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.