Football · Czechia 2. Liga · 06/11, 18:00

Prediction: Dukla Praha vs FK Pribram

Team pages: Dukla Praha · FK Pribram

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.39Total

Dukla Praha2.04

FK Pribram1.34

1X2

52% 24% 23%

Dukla Praha Draw FK Pribram

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Dukla Praha 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWWDWLDW

FK Pribram 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DDWDLDWLDW

Head-to-head

Dukla Praha 1–2–3 FK Pribram (6 last)

Dukla Praha1-2FK Pribram
Dukla Praha1-3FK Pribram
FK Pribram0-0Dukla Praha
FK Pribram2-2Dukla Praha
Dukla Praha1-2FK Pribram
Dukla Praha3-1FK Pribram

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dukla Praha 1526 · FK Pribram 1487

	Dukla Praha	Draw	FK Pribram
Our model	53%	23%	24%
Market	52%	25%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 3.39 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FK Pribram: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dukla Praha	FK Pribram
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.7	2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.9 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.7 / 6.2	2.1 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0	4.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.50

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
12:55 +14’	1.73	3.50	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Dukla Praha 1–2–3 FK Pribram

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/04/24 Czechia 2. Liga	Dukla Praha	1-2 HT 0-0	FK Pribram
24/01/24 Europe Friendlies	Dukla Praha	1-3 HT 0-2	FK Pribram
25/08/23 Czechia 2. Liga	FK Pribram	0-0 HT 0-0	Dukla Praha
28/06/23 Europe Friendlies	FK Pribram	2-2 HT 2-2	Dukla Praha
08/04/23 Czechia 2. Liga	Dukla Praha	1-2 HT 1-2	FK Pribram
18/01/23 Europe Friendlies	Dukla Praha	3-1 HT 1-1	FK Pribram

Standings · Czechia 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MFK Karvina	13	9	1	3	28	15	28
2	Vysocina Jihlava	13	8	2	3	24	13	26
3	Dukla Praha	13	7	3	3	23	19	24
4	FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim	13	6	3	4	23	16	21
5	FK Pribram	13	5	6	2	25	20	21
6	FK Usti nad Labem	13	5	4	4	20	19	19
7	Slavia Prague B	13	4	5	4	27	22	17
8	Arsenal Ceska Lipa	13	4	4	5	19	23	16
9	FC Silon Taborsko	13	3	6	4	16	19	15
10	Banik Ostrava B	13	4	3	6	21	20	15
11	Opava	13	3	6	4	18	21	15
12	SK Kladno	13	3	5	5	18	21	14
13	Viktoria Zizkov	13	4	2	7	13	22	14
14	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz	13	3	3	7	14	25	12
15	SK Prostejov	13	1	8	4	16	21	11
16	Trinec	13	2	5	6	15	24	11

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dukla Praha	FK Pribram
Viktoria Zizkov	1-0 W	1-1 D
SK Kladno	1-1 D	2-2 D
MFK Karvina	0-3 L	2-1 W
Banik Ostrava B	3-2 W	1-3 L
SK Prostejov	2-2 D	2-2 D
FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim	3-1 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Dukla Praha (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dukla Praha

LLWWWDWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Viktoria Zizkov Czechia 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
23/10	SK Kladno Czechia 2. Liga	0-1	1-1	2	4	D
16/10	MFK Karvina Czechia 2. Liga	0-2	0-3	9	0	L
12/10	Banik Ostrava B Czechia 2. Liga	1-0	3-2	7	3	W
18/09	SK Prostejov Czechia 2. Liga	1-0	2-2	9	5	D
11/09	FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim Czechia 2. Liga	1-1	3-1	12	4	W
05/09	Opava Czechia 2. Liga	0-1	2-1	2	4	W
28/08	Vysocina Jihlava Czechia 2. Liga	2-1	3-1	7	6	W
21/08	FK Usti nad Labem Czechia 2. Liga	0-1	1-3	6	5	L
14/08	Slavia Prague B Czechia 2. Liga	1-0	1-3	5	3	L

FK Pribram

DDWDLDWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	FC Silon Taborsko Czechia 2. Liga	2-0	3-0	8	8	W
24/10	Arsenal Ceska Lipa Czechia 2. Liga	0-1	2-2	3	3	D
16/10	Trinec Czechia 2. Liga	1-1	2-3	5	2	L
10/10	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz Czechia 2. Liga	2-1	3-1	1	4	W
20/09	SK Kladno Czechia 2. Liga	0-2	2-2	6	0	D
11/09	Banik Ostrava B Czechia 2. Liga	0-2	1-3	5	4	L
06/09	Viktoria Zizkov Czechia 2. Liga	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
29/08	MFK Karvina Czechia 2. Liga	1-1	2-1	2	6	W
21/08	FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim Czechia 2. Liga	2-1	2-2	5	6	D
15/08	SK Prostejov Czechia 2. Liga	0-1	2-2	10	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dukla Praha vs FK Pribram?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dukla Praha win (52%). Probabilities: Dukla Praha 52%, draw 24%, FK Pribram 23%.

How many goals are expected in Dukla Praha vs FK Pribram?

The model expects 3.39 goals (Dukla Praha 2.04 · FK Pribram 1.34), with a 56% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Dukla Praha vs FK Pribram?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.