Football · Czechia 2. Liga · 06/11, 18:00

Prediction: Vysocina Jihlava vs MFK Karvina

Team pages: Vysocina Jihlava · MFK Karvina

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.48Total

Vysocina Jihlava1.73

MFK Karvina1.75

1X2

37% 25% 38%

Vysocina Jihlava Draw MFK Karvina

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Vysocina Jihlava 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWDWWW

MFK Karvina 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWLWWWWD

Head-to-head

Vysocina Jihlava 0–2–4 MFK Karvina (6 last)

Vysocina Jihlava2-2MFK Karvina
MFK Karvina2-1Vysocina Jihlava
Vysocina Jihlava1-1MFK Karvina
MFK Karvina2-1Vysocina Jihlava
Vysocina Jihlava0-2MFK Karvina
MFK Karvina2-0Vysocina Jihlava

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vysocina Jihlava 1541 · MFK Karvina 1568

	Vysocina Jihlava	Draw	MFK Karvina
Our model	38%	24%	38%
Market	36%	26%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.48 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours MFK Karvina: 4-2-0.
High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vysocina Jihlava	MFK Karvina
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.1	2.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.5	1.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/10/30%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 6.3	3.4 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0	3.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.40

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.93

2 (0)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
13:02 +8’	2.45	3.40	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Vysocina Jihlava 0–2–4 MFK Karvina

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/03/23 Czechia 2. Liga	Vysocina Jihlava	2-2 HT 1-1	MFK Karvina
20/08/22 Czechia 2. Liga	MFK Karvina	2-1 HT 1-0	Vysocina Jihlava
02/06/19 Czechia First League Play-Offs	Vysocina Jihlava	1-1 HT 1-0	MFK Karvina
28/05/19 Czechia First League Play-Offs	MFK Karvina	2-1 HT 2-0	Vysocina Jihlava
26/05/18 Czechia First League	Vysocina Jihlava	0-2 HT 0-0	MFK Karvina
29/07/17 Czechia First League	MFK Karvina	2-0 HT 1-0	Vysocina Jihlava

Standings · Czechia 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MFK Karvina	13	9	1	3	28	15	28
2	Vysocina Jihlava	13	8	2	3	24	13	26
3	Dukla Praha	13	7	3	3	23	19	24
4	FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim	13	6	3	4	23	16	21
5	FK Pribram	13	5	6	2	25	20	21
6	FK Usti nad Labem	13	5	4	4	20	19	19
7	Slavia Prague B	13	4	5	4	27	22	17
8	Arsenal Ceska Lipa	13	4	4	5	19	23	16
9	FC Silon Taborsko	13	3	6	4	16	19	15
10	Banik Ostrava B	13	4	3	6	21	20	15
11	Opava	13	3	6	4	18	21	15
12	SK Kladno	13	3	5	5	18	21	14
13	Viktoria Zizkov	13	4	2	7	13	22	14
14	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz	13	3	3	7	14	25	12
15	SK Prostejov	13	1	8	4	16	21	11
16	Trinec	13	2	5	6	15	24	11

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vysocina Jihlava	MFK Karvina
Slavia Prague B	3-2 W	2-2 D
FK Usti nad Labem	2-1 W	3-1 W
Arsenal Ceska Lipa	2-0 W	5-2 W
Dukla Praha	1-3 L	3-0 W
FC Silon Taborsko	0-1 L	1-0 W
Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz	4-0 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	5 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: MFK Karvina (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vysocina Jihlava

WLLWWWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/11	Banik Ostrava B Czechia 2. Liga	2-0	3-1	9	4	W
23/10	FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim Czechia 2. Liga	0-0	2-0	7	3	W
16/10	Opava Czechia 2. Liga	0-1	3-1	4	7	W
09/10	SK Prostejov Czechia 2. Liga	2-0	2-2	11	3	D
18/09	Slavia Prague B Czechia 2. Liga	2-0	3-2	6	3	W
11/09	FK Usti nad Labem Czechia 2. Liga	2-1	2-1	5	5	W
04/09	Arsenal Ceska Lipa Czechia 2. Liga	1-0	2-0	9	5	W
28/08	Dukla Praha Czechia 2. Liga	1-2	1-3	4	6	L
21/08	FC Silon Taborsko Czechia 2. Liga	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
15/08	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz Czechia 2. Liga	2-0	4-0	4	4	W

MFK Karvina

WWLWLWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Slavia Prague B Czechia 2. Liga	0-1	2-2	7	6	D
23/10	FK Usti nad Labem Czechia 2. Liga	2-0	3-1	4	3	W
16/10	Dukla Praha Czechia 2. Liga	2-0	3-0	10	0	W
09/10	FC Silon Taborsko Czechia 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
18/09	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz Czechia 2. Liga	2-0	3-2	3	6	W
11/09	Trinec Czechia 2. Liga	2-0	2-3	3	3	L
04/09	SK Kladno Czechia 2. Liga	0-0	2-0	8	1	W
29/08	FK Pribram Czechia 2. Liga	1-1	1-2	4	6	L
21/08	Viktoria Zizkov Czechia 2. Liga	0-0	3-0	7	4	W
15/08	Arsenal Ceska Lipa Czechia 2. Liga	3-2	5-2	7	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vysocina Jihlava vs MFK Karvina?

According to our model, the most likely result is an MFK Karvina win (38%). Probabilities: Vysocina Jihlava 37%, draw 25%, MFK Karvina 38%.

How many goals are expected in Vysocina Jihlava vs MFK Karvina?

The model expects 3.48 goals (Vysocina Jihlava 1.73 · MFK Karvina 1.75), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Vysocina Jihlava vs MFK Karvina?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.