Prediction: Than KSVN (W) vs TP HCM (W)
Expected goals: 1.96 (Than KSVN (W) 0.63 · TP HCM (W) 1.32). The model gives 18% home, 29% draw, 54% away. Under 2.25 goals (56%) and not both to score (54%). Most likely score: 0-1.
On recent form, Than KSVN (W) is 4-4-2 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and TP HCM (W) 6-2-2 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Than KSVN (W) won 1 and TP HCM (W) 2, with 3 draws.
| Than KSVN (W) | Draw | TP HCM (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 17% | 31% | 52% |
| Market | 19% | 26% | 55% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TP HCM (W) (rating 1517 vs 1566).
- H2H favours TP HCM (W): 2-3-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Than KSVN (W) | TP HCM (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.6 | 1.6 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3 | 2.4 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0 | 0.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Than KSVN (W) 1–3–2 TP HCM (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/05/26 Vietnam Cup Women | Than KSVN (W) | 0-2 HT 0-2 | TP HCM (W) |
| 08/10/25 Vietnam Championship Women | TP HCM (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Than KSVN (W) |
| 18/09/25 Vietnam Championship Women | Than KSVN (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | TP HCM (W) |
| 03/04/25 Vietnam Cup Women | TP HCM (W) | 5-0 HT 1-0 | Than KSVN (W) |
| 08/12/24 Vietnam Cup Women | Than KSVN (W) | 1-1 HT 1-1 | TP HCM (W) |
| 28/07/24 Vietnam Championship Women | Than KSVN (W) | 2-2 HT 1-0 | TP HCM (W) |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Than KSVN (W) | TP HCM (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Ha Nam (W) | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Ha Noi (W) | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Ho Chi Minh II (W) | 4-0 W | 5-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: TP HCM (W) (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Than KSVN (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Ha Nam (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 19/05 | TP HCM (W) Vietnam Cup Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Ha Noi (W) Vietnam Cup Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 12/10 | Ha Nam (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 08/10 | TP HCM (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 04/10 | Ha Noi (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 01/10 | Ho Chi Minh II (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
4-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 26/09 | Thai Nguyen (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 22/09 | Ha Nam (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 18/09 | TP HCM (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
TP HCM (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Ha Noi (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 25/06 | Ha Noi II (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 20/06 | Ho Chi Minh II (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
1-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 27/05 | Ha Noi (W) Vietnam Cup Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 23/05 | Ha Nam (W) Vietnam Cup Women |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 19/05 | Than KSVN (W) Vietnam Cup Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 13/05 | Ha Noi (W) Vietnam Cup Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 28/03 | Naegohyang FC (W) AFC Champions League Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 19/11 | Melbourne City (W) AFC Champions League Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 16/11 | Lion City Sailors FC (W) AFC Champions League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Than KSVN (W) vs TP HCM (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an TP HCM (W) win (54%). Probabilities: Than KSVN (W) 18%, draw 29%, TP HCM (W) 54%.
How many goals are expected in Than KSVN (W) vs TP HCM (W)?
The model expects 1.96 goals (Than KSVN (W) 0.63 · TP HCM (W) 1.32), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Than KSVN (W) vs TP HCM (W)?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.