Football · Austria Landesliga · 04/09, 19:00

Prediction: SV Lebring vs TUS Bad Waltersdorf

Team pages: TUS Bad Waltersdorf

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.93Total

SV Lebring2.02

TUS Bad Waltersdorf1.91

1X2

41% 22% 37%

SV Lebring Draw TUS Bad Waltersdorf

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

SV Lebring 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLWWLWLWLL

TUS Bad Waltersdorf 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDDLWWLWDW

Head-to-head

SV Lebring 2–1–2 TUS Bad Waltersdorf (5 last)

SV Lebring1-2TUS Bad Waltersdorf
TUS Bad Waltersdorf4-3SV Lebring
SV Lebring1-1TUS Bad Waltersdorf
TUS Bad Waltersdorf0-2SV Lebring
SV Lebring4-1TUS Bad Waltersdorf

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Lebring 1453 · TUS Bad Waltersdorf 1553

	SV Lebring	Draw	TUS Bad Waltersdorf
Our model	41%	22%	37%
Market	41%	22%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.93 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TUS Bad Waltersdorf (rating 1453 vs 1553).
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Lebring	TUS Bad Waltersdorf
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2.4	2.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.2	1.6 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	80/20/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.6	1.8 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0	3.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.20

X4.00

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.95

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:16 +4’	2.20	4.00	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Lebring 2–1–2 TUS Bad Waltersdorf

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/04/26 Austria Landesliga	SV Lebring	1-2 HT 0-1	TUS Bad Waltersdorf
26/09/25 Austria Landesliga	TUS Bad Waltersdorf	4-3 HT 2-0	SV Lebring
16/05/25 Austria Landesliga	SV Lebring	1-1 HT 1-1	TUS Bad Waltersdorf
18/10/24 Austria Landesliga	TUS Bad Waltersdorf	0-2 HT 0-1	SV Lebring
18/07/17 Europe Friendlies	SV Lebring	4-1 HT 3-0	TUS Bad Waltersdorf

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	LAC Inter	2	2	0	0	5	2	6
1	Team Wiener Linien	2	2	0	0	5	2	6
3	Red Star Penzing	2	2	0	0	4	2	6
4	Floridsdorfer AC II	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
5	Sportunion Mauer	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
6	Helfort 15	2	1	0	1	8	2	3
7	SV Schwechat	2	1	0	1	3	2	3
8	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
9	FC 1980 Wien	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
10	FV Austria XIII	2	0	1	1	1	3	1
10	Slovan HAC	2	0	1	1	1	3	1
12	Post SV	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
13	WAF Brigittenau	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
14	First Vienna II	2	0	0	2	1	3	0
15	Hellas Kagran	1	0	0	1	0	2	0
16	Simmeringer SC	2	0	0	2	2	10	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SV Lebring	TUS Bad Waltersdorf
Grossklein	1-2 L	2-0 W
ASK Koflach	2-1 W	5-1 W
SV Wildon	3-6 L	2-3 L
Leoben DSV	2-0 W	6-2 W
USV Gnas	0-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: TUS Bad Waltersdorf (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Lebring

LLWWLWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Grossklein Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
21/08	SC Bruck an der Mur Austria Landesliga	0-2	2-4	6	5	L
14/08	ASK Koflach Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
05/06	SV Tillmitsch Austria Landesliga	0-4	0-5	3	5	L
29/05	UFC Fehring Austria Landesliga	0-1	4-2	6	3	W
23/05	SV Wildon Austria Landesliga	2-3	3-6	6	3	L
17/05	Leoben DSV Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
09/05	ASK Koflach Austria Landesliga	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
05/05	USV Gnas Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-2	7	6	L
30/04	TUS Bad Waltersdorf Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L

TUS Bad Waltersdorf

WDDLWWLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	SV Pachern Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
21/08	SC Fürstenfeld Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
13/08	Grossklein Austria Landesliga	2-0	2-0	5	6	W
05/06	SV Wildon Austria Landesliga	0-0	2-3	4	0	L
29/05	Leoben DSV Austria Landesliga	4-1	6-2	–	–	W
22/05	ASK Koflach Austria Landesliga	3-0	5-1	2	0	W
15/05	USV Gnas Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-2	3	3	L
09/05	Ilzer SV Austria Landesliga	3-0	3-3	–	–	D
05/05	SC Fürstenfeld Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	4	7	D
30/04	SV Lebring Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Lebring vs TUS Bad Waltersdorf?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SV Lebring win (41%). Probabilities: SV Lebring 41%, draw 22%, TUS Bad Waltersdorf 37%.

How many goals are expected in SV Lebring vs TUS Bad Waltersdorf?

The model expects 3.93 goals (SV Lebring 2.02 · TUS Bad Waltersdorf 1.91), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Lebring vs TUS Bad Waltersdorf?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.