Football · Austria Landesliga · 19/09, 17:00

Prediction: SV Lebring vs Ilzer SV

Team pages: SV Lebring · Ilzer SV

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.07Total

SV Lebring1.93

Ilzer SV2.15

1X2

35% 22% 43%

SV Lebring Draw Ilzer SV

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

SV Lebring 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLWLWLLDLL

Ilzer SV 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWWWWDWL

Head-to-head

SV Lebring 5–1 Ilzer SV (6 last)

Ilzer SV5-2SV Lebring
SV Lebring2-0Ilzer SV
Ilzer SV1-3SV Lebring
SV Lebring4-3Ilzer SV
SV Lebring2-0Ilzer SV
SV Lebring4-3Ilzer SV

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Lebring 1436 · Ilzer SV 1580

	SV Lebring	Draw	Ilzer SV
Our model	35%	22%	43%
Market	35%	23%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 4.07 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ilzer SV (rating 1436 vs 1580).
H2H favours SV Lebring: 5-0-1.
High corners: 14.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Lebring	Ilzer SV
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2.5	2.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.4	1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 6.1	4.8 / 8.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.3	4.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.60

X4.00

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.80

Under 3.252.00

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:12 +26’	2.60	4.00	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Lebring 5–0–1 Ilzer SV

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/04/26 Austria Landesliga	Ilzer SV	5-2 HT 3-0	SV Lebring
13/09/25 Austria Landesliga	SV Lebring	2-0 HT 2-0	Ilzer SV
14/03/25 Austria Landesliga	Ilzer SV	1-3 HT 1-2	SV Lebring
13/09/22 Austria Landesliga	SV Lebring	4-3 HT 3-0	Ilzer SV
22/10/21 Austria Landesliga	SV Lebring	2-0 HT 0-0	Ilzer SV
01/11/19 Austria Landesliga	SV Lebring	4-3 HT 0-1	Ilzer SV

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	TWL Elektra	4	4	0	0	10	3	12
2	Red Star Penzing	4	4	0	0	8	2	12
3	SV Schwechat	4	3	0	1	9	3	9
4	LAC Inter	4	3	0	1	9	7	9
5	Sportunion Mauer	3	2	1	0	5	1	7
6	Floridsdorfer AC II	4	2	1	1	8	5	7
7	FV Austria XIII	4	1	2	1	5	5	5
8	Post SV	4	1	1	2	12	7	4
9	Helfort 15	4	1	1	2	10	6	4
10	Slovan HAC	4	1	1	2	6	5	4
11	First Vienna II	4	1	0	3	6	9	3
12	WAF Brigittenau	3	1	0	2	5	8	3
13	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	2	1	0	1	3	6	3
14	FC 1980 Wien	4	1	0	3	3	11	3
15	Hellas Kagran	4	0	1	3	2	9	1
16	Simmeringer SC	4	0	0	4	2	16	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SV Lebring	Ilzer SV
SV Pachern	0-1 L	1-2 L
TUS Bad Waltersdorf	2-2 D	4-1 W
Grossklein	1-2 L	0-0 D
SC Bruck an der Mur	2-4 L	5-2 W
ASK Koflach	2-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Ilzer SV (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Lebring

WLWLWLLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/09	SC Fürstenfeld Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-2	9	4	L
11/09	SV Pachern Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
04/09	TUS Bad Waltersdorf Austria Landesliga	0-1	2-2	6	8	D
29/08	Grossklein Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
21/08	SC Bruck an der Mur Austria Landesliga	0-2	2-4	6	5	L
14/08	ASK Koflach Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
05/06	SV Tillmitsch Austria Landesliga	0-4	0-5	3	5	L
29/05	UFC Fehring Austria Landesliga	0-1	4-2	6	3	W
23/05	SV Wildon Austria Landesliga	2-3	3-6	6	3	L
17/05	Leoben DSV Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W

Ilzer SV

LLWWWWWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/09	SV Pachern Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-2	8	10	L
11/09	TUS Bad Waltersdorf Austria Landesliga	2-0	4-1	–	–	W
04/09	Grossklein Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
28/08	SC Bruck an der Mur Austria Landesliga	1-1	5-2	–	–	W
22/08	ASK Koflach Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
14/08	USV Gnas Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-1	10	2	W
05/06	ASK Koflach Austria Landesliga	3-0	4-0	–	–	W
29/05	SV Pachern Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
21/05	USV Gnas Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-2	10	4	L
15/05	FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Lebring vs Ilzer SV?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ilzer SV win (43%). Probabilities: SV Lebring 35%, draw 22%, Ilzer SV 43%.

How many goals are expected in SV Lebring vs Ilzer SV?

The model expects 4.07 goals (SV Lebring 1.93 · Ilzer SV 2.15), with a 58% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Lebring vs Ilzer SV?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.