Football · Austria Landesliga · 02/10, 19:00

Prediction: USV Gnas vs SC Fürstenfeld

Team pages: USV Gnas · SC Fürstenfeld

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.11Total

USV Gnas1.86

SC Fürstenfeld1.25

1X2

51% 23% 25%

USV Gnas Draw SC Fürstenfeld

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

USV Gnas 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWWWDL

SC Fürstenfeld 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLDDWLLWLL

Head-to-head

USV Gnas 0–2–4 SC Fürstenfeld (6 last)

SC Fürstenfeld1-0USV Gnas
USV Gnas2-2SC Fürstenfeld
USV Gnas0-3SC Fürstenfeld
SC Fürstenfeld4-1USV Gnas
SC Fürstenfeld0-0USV Gnas
SC Fürstenfeld3-0USV Gnas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · USV Gnas 1554 · SC Fürstenfeld 1463

	USV Gnas	Draw	SC Fürstenfeld
Our model	51%	25%	24%
Market	52%	22%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.11 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours USV Gnas (rating 1554 vs 1463).
H2H favours SC Fürstenfeld: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	USV Gnas	SC Fürstenfeld
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 0.7	1.4 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.2	0.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/56/11%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 6	1.7 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0	4.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.73

X4.00

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
06:04 +6’	1.73	4.00	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · USV Gnas 0–2–4 SC Fürstenfeld

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/05/26 Austria Landesliga	SC Fürstenfeld	1-0 HT 1-0	USV Gnas
10/10/25 Austria Landesliga	USV Gnas	2-2 HT 1-0	SC Fürstenfeld
07/05/24 Austria Landesliga	USV Gnas	0-3 HT 0-2	SC Fürstenfeld
06/10/23 Austria Landesliga	SC Fürstenfeld	4-1 HT 2-1	USV Gnas
19/05/23 Austria Landesliga	SC Fürstenfeld	0-0 HT 0-0	USV Gnas
22/04/22 Austria Landesliga	SC Fürstenfeld	3-0 HT 1-0	USV Gnas

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sportunion Mauer	6	5	1	0	14	1	16
2	Red Star Penzing	6	5	1	0	14	5	16
3	TWL Elektra	6	5	0	1	13	6	15
4	LAC Inter	6	4	0	2	15	12	12
5	Floridsdorfer AC II	6	3	1	2	10	7	10
6	SV Schwechat	6	3	0	3	12	10	9
7	Helfort 15	6	2	2	2	12	7	8
8	Slovan HAC	6	2	2	2	9	7	8
9	FV Austria XIII	6	1	3	2	7	8	6
10	First Vienna II	6	2	0	4	11	15	6
11	WAF Brigittenau	5	2	0	3	7	12	6
12	FC 1980 Wien	6	2	0	4	5	15	6
13	Post SV	6	1	2	3	13	9	5
14	Hellas Kagran	6	1	1	4	7	13	4
15	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	5	1	1	3	6	13	4
16	Simmeringer SC	6	1	0	5	3	18	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	USV Gnas	SC Fürstenfeld
SV Rohrbach An Der Lafnitz	0-1 L	2-3 L
SV Wildon	1-1 D	0-4 L
Leoben DSV	5-0 W	2-1 W
FC Schladming	2-1 W	2-2 D
UFC Fehring	3-0 W	1-2 L
Ilzer SV	1-2 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: USV Gnas (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

USV Gnas

WWLWWWWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/09	SV Rohrbach An Der Lafnitz Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
18/09	SV Wildon Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-1	4	4	D
15/09	Leoben DSV Austria Landesliga	2-0	5-0	–	–	W
11/09	FC Schladming Austria Landesliga	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
04/09	St. Anna am Aigen Austria Landesliga	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
28/08	UFC Fehring Austria Landesliga	–	3-0	–	–	W
21/08	FC Kindberg-Murzhofen Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
14/08	Ilzer SV Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-2	5	2	L
05/06	Leoben DSV Austria Landesliga	4-0	5-2	9	1	W
29/05	ASK Koflach Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W

SC Fürstenfeld

DLDDWLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Ilzer SV Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-3	4	6	L
19/09	SV Rohrbach An Der Lafnitz Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-3	1	4	L
15/09	SV Lebring Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-1	1	4	W
11/09	SV Wildon Austria Landesliga	0-2	0-4	1	4	L
04/09	SV Pachern Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-2	5	5	L
28/08	Leoben DSV Austria Landesliga	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
21/08	TUS Bad Waltersdorf Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
14/08	FC Schladming Austria Landesliga	2-1	2-2	–	–	D
05/06	UFC Fehring Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-2	10	6	L
29/05	SV Wildon Austria Landesliga	2-2	3-3	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in USV Gnas vs SC Fürstenfeld?

According to our model, the most likely result is a USV Gnas win (51%). Probabilities: USV Gnas 51%, draw 23%, SC Fürstenfeld 25%.

How many goals are expected in USV Gnas vs SC Fürstenfeld?

The model expects 3.11 goals (USV Gnas 1.86 · SC Fürstenfeld 1.25), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in USV Gnas vs SC Fürstenfeld?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.