Football · Austria Landesliga · 16/10, 19:00

Prediction: USV Gnas vs Grossklein

Team pages: USV Gnas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.57Total

USV Gnas2.67

Grossklein0.9

1X2

74% 16% 10%

USV Gnas Draw Grossklein

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

2-0 10%

Recent form · 10 last

USV Gnas 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Grossklein 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · USV Gnas 1533 · Grossklein 1459

	USV Gnas	Draw	Grossklein
Our model	74%	16%	10%
Market	74%	16%	10%

Estimated total (ours) 3.57 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours USV Gnas (rating 1533 vs 1459).
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	USV Gnas	Grossklein
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 0.8	1.6 / 2.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	0.8 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/56/11%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	4 / 5	2.4 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0	5 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.22

X5.50

29.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)1.90

2 (+2)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 07:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.22▼	Bet365 1.22
X	4.00 → 5.50▲	Bet365 5.50
2	4.00 → 9.50▲	Bet365 9.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
05:03 +3’	1.61	4.00	4.00
07:02 +2’	1.22▼	5.50▲	9.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sportunion Mauer	8	7	1	0	23	2	22
2	Red Star Penzing	8	6	1	1	18	10	19
3	LAC Inter	8	6	0	2	18	12	18
4	Floridsdorfer AC II	8	5	1	2	17	9	16
5	TWL Elektra	8	5	1	2	14	10	16
6	Helfort 15	8	4	2	2	14	7	14
7	SV Schwechat	8	4	0	4	14	12	12
8	First Vienna II	8	3	1	4	18	19	10
9	Hellas Kagran	8	2	2	4	14	17	8
10	Slovan HAC	8	2	2	4	11	16	8
11	FC 1980 Wien	8	2	2	4	10	20	8
12	FV Austria XIII	8	1	4	3	11	13	7
13	WAF Brigittenau	7	2	1	4	8	14	7
14	Post SV	8	1	2	5	13	11	5
15	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	7	1	2	4	9	19	5
16	Simmeringer SC	8	1	0	7	3	24	3

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	USV Gnas	Grossklein
SV Rohrbach An Der Lafnitz	0-1 L	2-6 L
SV Wildon	1-1 D	0-5 L
Leoben DSV	5-0 W	3-2 W
FC Schladming	2-1 W	1-6 L
St. Anna am Aigen	2-0 W	1-2 L
UFC Fehring	3-0 W	0-2 L
FC Kindberg-Murzhofen	1-0 W	4-4 D
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: USV Gnas (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

USV Gnas

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/10	SC Bruck an der Mur Austria Landesliga	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
09/10	ASK Koflach Austria Landesliga	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
02/10	SC Fürstenfeld Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-3	–	–	L
25/09	SV Rohrbach An Der Lafnitz Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
18/09	SV Wildon Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-1	4	4	D
15/09	Leoben DSV Austria Landesliga	2-0	5-0	–	–	W
11/09	FC Schladming Austria Landesliga	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
04/09	St. Anna am Aigen Austria Landesliga	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
28/08	UFC Fehring Austria Landesliga	–	3-0	–	–	W
21/08	FC Kindberg-Murzhofen Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W

Grossklein

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/10	SV Rohrbach An Der Lafnitz Austria Landesliga	1-2	2-6	5	3	L
09/10	SV Wildon Austria Landesliga	0-2	0-5	3	6	L
03/10	Leoben DSV Austria Landesliga	2-0	3-2	4	5	W
25/09	FC Schladming Austria Landesliga	1-3	1-6	–	–	L
18/09	St. Anna am Aigen Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
15/09	UFC Fehring Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-2	6	7	L
11/09	FC Kindberg-Murzhofen Austria Landesliga	1-2	4-4	–	–	D
04/09	Ilzer SV Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
29/08	SV Lebring Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
21/08	SV Pachern Austria Landesliga	1-1	3-1	6	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in USV Gnas vs Grossklein?

According to our model, the most likely result is a USV Gnas win (74%). Probabilities: USV Gnas 74%, draw 16%, Grossklein 10%.

How many goals are expected in USV Gnas vs Grossklein?

The model expects 3.57 goals (USV Gnas 2.67 · Grossklein 0.9), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in USV Gnas vs Grossklein?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.