Football · Austria Landesliga · 30/10, 19:00

Prediction: USV Gnas vs SV Pachern

Team pages: USV Gnas · SV Pachern

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.08Total

USV Gnas2

SV Pachern1.08

1X2

59% 21% 20%

USV Gnas Draw SV Pachern

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

USV Gnas 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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SV Pachern 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

USV Gnas 1–2 SV Pachern (3 last)

USV Gnas1-2SV Pachern
SV Pachern3-2USV Gnas
USV Gnas5-1SV Pachern

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · USV Gnas 1506 · SV Pachern 1517

	USV Gnas	Draw	SV Pachern
Our model	58%	23%	19%
Market	60%	20%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.08 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours SV Pachern: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	USV Gnas	SV Pachern
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.9	1.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.7 / 5.7	1.9 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0	5.1 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.50

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)2.00

2 (+1.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.85

Under 3.51.95

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
02:39 +4’	1.50	4.50	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · USV Gnas 1–0–2 SV Pachern

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/04/26 Austria Landesliga	USV Gnas	1-2 HT 0-1	SV Pachern
05/09/25 Austria Landesliga	SV Pachern	3-2 HT 0-1	USV Gnas
01/03/24 Club Friendly List	USV Gnas	5-1 HT 3-0	SV Pachern

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sportunion Mauer	10	7	3	0	26	5	24
2	LAC Inter	10	7	1	2	22	15	22
3	Red Star Penzing	10	7	1	2	20	13	22
4	TWL Elektra	10	7	1	2	22	16	22
5	Floridsdorfer AC II	10	6	1	3	21	13	19
6	Helfort 15	10	5	3	2	16	7	18
7	FV Austria XIII	10	3	4	3	15	13	13
8	First Vienna II	10	4	1	5	21	21	13
9	SV Schwechat	10	4	0	6	16	17	12
10	WAF Brigittenau	10	3	2	5	14	17	11
11	Slovan HAC	10	2	4	4	13	18	10
12	FC 1980 Wien	10	2	3	5	12	25	9
13	Simmeringer SC	10	3	0	7	7	26	9
14	Hellas Kagran	10	2	2	6	15	20	8
15	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	10	1	4	5	11	22	7
16	Post SV	10	1	2	7	17	20	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	USV Gnas	SV Pachern
SC Fürstenfeld	2-3 L	2-0 W
SV Rohrbach An Der Lafnitz	0-1 L	0-3 L
SV Wildon	1-1 D	1-2 L
Leoben DSV	5-0 W	4-2 W
FC Schladming	2-1 W	0-0 D
St. Anna am Aigen	2-0 W	1-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: USV Gnas (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

USV Gnas

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	TUS Bad Waltersdorf Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
16/10	Grossklein Austria Landesliga	2-0	3-0	7	4	W
13/10	SC Bruck an der Mur Austria Landesliga	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
09/10	ASK Koflach Austria Landesliga	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
02/10	SC Fürstenfeld Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-3	–	–	L
25/09	SV Rohrbach An Der Lafnitz Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
18/09	SV Wildon Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-1	4	4	D
15/09	Leoben DSV Austria Landesliga	2-0	5-0	–	–	W
11/09	FC Schladming Austria Landesliga	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
04/09	St. Anna am Aigen Austria Landesliga	0-0	2-0	–	–	W

SV Pachern

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	SV Rohrbach An Der Lafnitz Austria Landesliga	0-2	0-3	1	2	L
16/10	SV Wildon Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-2	4	8	L
13/10	Leoben DSV Austria Landesliga	1-1	4-2	5	5	W
09/10	FC Schladming Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
02/10	St. Anna am Aigen Austria Landesliga	0-2	1-4	–	–	L
25/09	UFC Fehring Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-1	4	6	D
18/09	FC Kindberg-Murzhofen Austria Landesliga	0-0	2-0	5	4	W
15/09	Ilzer SV Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-1	3	10	W
11/09	SV Lebring Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
04/09	SC Fürstenfeld Austria Landesliga	0-0	2-0	2	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in USV Gnas vs SV Pachern?

According to our model, the most likely result is a USV Gnas win (59%). Probabilities: USV Gnas 59%, draw 21%, SV Pachern 20%.

How many goals are expected in USV Gnas vs SV Pachern?

The model expects 3.08 goals (USV Gnas 2 · SV Pachern 1.08), with a 55% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in USV Gnas vs SV Pachern?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.