Football · Austria Regionalliga West · 03/10, 16:00

Prediction: FC Dornbirn 1913 vs FC Kitzbuhel

Team pages: FC Dornbirn 1913 · FC Kitzbuhel

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.65Total

FC Dornbirn 19132.16

FC Kitzbuhel1.49

1X2

52% 22% 26%

FC Dornbirn 1913 Draw FC Kitzbuhel

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Dornbirn 1913 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LDWWWWWDWL

FC Kitzbuhel 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLWLWW

Head-to-head

FC Dornbirn 1913 4–2–0 FC Kitzbuhel (6 last)

FC Kitzbuhel0-4FC Dornbirn 1913
FC Dornbirn 19134-2FC Kitzbuhel
FC Dornbirn 19130-0FC Kitzbuhel
FC Kitzbuhel1-3FC Dornbirn 1913
FC Dornbirn 19130-0FC Kitzbuhel
FC Kitzbuhel1-2FC Dornbirn 1913

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Dornbirn 1913 1554 · FC Kitzbuhel 1525

	FC Dornbirn 1913	Draw	FC Kitzbuhel
Our model	52%	22%	26%
Market	52%	22%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.65 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Dornbirn 1913: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Dornbirn 1913	FC Kitzbuhel
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1	2.5 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.4	1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.3	1 / 2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0	2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.73

X4.00

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.80

Under 3.252.00

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
17:10 +3’	1.73	4.00	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Dornbirn 1913 4–2–0 FC Kitzbuhel

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 Austria Regionalliga West	FC Kitzbuhel	0-4 HT 0-3	FC Dornbirn 1913
09/08/25 Austria Regionalliga West	FC Dornbirn 1913	4-2 HT 3-1	FC Kitzbuhel
24/05/25 Austria Regionalliga West	FC Dornbirn 1913	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Kitzbuhel
19/10/24 Austria Regionalliga West	FC Kitzbuhel	1-3 HT 0-2	FC Dornbirn 1913
30/03/19 Austria Regionalliga West	FC Dornbirn 1913	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Kitzbuhel
15/08/18 Austria Regionalliga West	FC Kitzbuhel	1-2 HT 0-0	FC Dornbirn 1913

Standings · Austria Regionalliga West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hohenems	9	8	0	1	25	8	24
2	FC Dornbirn 1913	9	6	2	1	23	8	20
3	SC Imst	9	6	1	2	15	6	19
4	SC Schwaz	9	6	1	2	21	15	19
5	FC Kitzbuhel	9	6	0	3	21	12	18
6	WSG Tirol II	9	5	1	3	23	13	16
7	SK St Johann	9	4	3	2	13	10	15
8	Fugen/Uderns	9	4	1	4	19	21	13
9	SC Rothis	9	3	3	3	16	18	12
10	SVG Reichenau	9	2	3	4	9	16	9
11	FC Kufstein	9	1	4	4	11	15	7
12	SV Lochau	9	2	1	6	12	25	7
13	SCR Altach II	9	1	3	5	14	23	6
14	FC Lauterach	9	1	3	5	14	18	6
15	FC Lustenau	9	1	3	5	8	22	6
16	FC Wolfurt	9	1	1	7	12	26	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Dornbirn 1913	FC Kitzbuhel
SC Schwaz	0-3 L	1-3 L
FC Lauterach	1-0 W	4-2 W
SC Rothis	2-2 D	4-0 W
Fugen/Uderns	4-0 W	0-2 L
FC Lustenau	4-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Kitzbuhel (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Dornbirn 1913

LDWWWWWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	SC Schwaz Austria Regionalliga West	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
18/09	FC Lauterach Austria Regionalliga West	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
13/09	SC Rothis Austria Regionalliga West	1-0	2-2	3	7	D
05/09	Fugen/Uderns Austria Regionalliga West	2-0	4-0	3	4	W
29/08	FC Lustenau Austria Regionalliga West	2-1	4-1	–	–	W
21/08	SV Lochau Austria Regionalliga West	4-0	7-0	–	–	W
15/08	SK St Johann Austria Regionalliga West	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
08/08	FC Wolfurt Austria Regionalliga West	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
02/08	WSG Tirol II Austria Regionalliga West	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
13/06	FC Pinzgau Austria Regionalliga West	0-2	1-2	–	–	L

FC Kitzbuhel

WWLWWLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	SCR Altach II Austria Regionalliga West	2-0	4-0	–	–	W
19/09	FC Kufstein Austria Regionalliga West	1-0	2-1	2	2	W
13/09	Hohenems Austria Regionalliga West	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
09/09	SC Imst Austria Regionalliga West	0-1	3-2	–	–	W
30/08	SC Schwaz Austria Regionalliga West	1-0	1-3	–	–	L
23/08	FC Lauterach Austria Regionalliga West	1-1	4-2	–	–	W
14/08	SC Rothis Austria Regionalliga West	1-0	4-0	–	–	W
08/08	Fugen/Uderns Austria Regionalliga West	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
31/07	FC Lustenau Austria Regionalliga West	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
13/06	Seekirchen Austria Regionalliga West	1-1	4-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Dornbirn 1913 vs FC Kitzbuhel?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Dornbirn 1913 win (52%). Probabilities: FC Dornbirn 1913 52%, draw 22%, FC Kitzbuhel 26%.

How many goals are expected in FC Dornbirn 1913 vs FC Kitzbuhel?

The model expects 3.65 goals (FC Dornbirn 1913 2.16 · FC Kitzbuhel 1.49), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Dornbirn 1913 vs FC Kitzbuhel?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.