Football · Austria Regionalliga West · 27/09, 15:00
Prediction: Hohenems vs FC Kufstein
Team pages: Hohenems · FC Kufstein
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.53Total
Hohenems2.68
FC Kufstein0.86
1X2
Hohenems
Draw
FC Kufstein
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
2-0 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Hohenems
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
FC Kufstein
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hohenems
4–1–1
FC Kufstein
(6 last)
- FC Kufstein0-1Hohenems
- Hohenems1-1FC Kufstein
- FC Kufstein0-1Hohenems
- Hohenems4-0FC Kufstein
- Hohenems4-0FC Kufstein
- FC Kufstein1-0Hohenems
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hohenems 1586 · FC Kufstein 1467
| Hohenems | Draw | FC Kufstein | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 16% | 9% |
| Market | 75% | 16% | 9% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.53 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hohenems (rating 1586 vs 1467).
- H2H favours Hohenems: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hohenems | FC Kufstein | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.1 / 1.2 | 1.6 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.7 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 6 | 1.8 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.3 | 3.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hohenems 4–1–1 FC Kufstein
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/26 Austria Regionalliga West | FC Kufstein | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Hohenems |
| 30/08/25 Austria Regionalliga West | Hohenems | 1-1 HT 0-0 | FC Kufstein |
| 12/04/25 Austria Regionalliga West | FC Kufstein | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Hohenems |
| 07/09/24 Austria Regionalliga West | Hohenems | 4-0 HT 2-0 | FC Kufstein |
| 06/04/24 Austria Regionalliga West | Hohenems | 4-0 HT 2-0 | FC Kufstein |
| 26/08/23 Austria Regionalliga West | FC Kufstein | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Hohenems |
Standings · Austria Regionalliga West
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hohenems | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | FC Dornbirn 1913 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 5 | 20 |
| 3 | SC Imst | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 16 |
| 4 | SC Schwaz | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 15 | 16 |
| 5 | FC Kitzbuhel | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 15 |
| 6 | SK St Johann | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 14 |
| 7 | WSG Tirol II | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 10 | 13 |
| 8 | SC Rothis | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 14 | 12 |
| 9 | Fugen/Uderns | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 20 | 10 |
| 10 | SVG Reichenau | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 9 |
| 11 | FC Kufstein | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 7 |
| 12 | SV Lochau | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 22 | 7 |
| 13 | SCR Altach II | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 19 | 6 |
| 14 | FC Lustenau | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 5 |
| 15 | FC Wolfurt | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 4 |
| 16 | FC Lauterach | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 3 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hohenems | FC Kufstein |
|---|---|---|
| FC Kitzbuhel | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| SC Schwaz | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| FC Lauterach | 3-1 W | 2-2 D |
| SC Rothis | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Fugen/Uderns | 2-0 W | 1-3 L |
| FC Lustenau | 6-0 W | 1-1 D |
| SV Lochau | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 4 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Hohenems (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hohenems
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | SC Imst Austria Regionalliga West |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/09 | FC Kitzbuhel Austria Regionalliga West |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 05/09 | SC Schwaz Austria Regionalliga West |
0-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/08 | FC Lauterach Austria Regionalliga West |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | SC Rothis Austria Regionalliga West |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | Fugen/Uderns Austria Regionalliga West |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 07/08 | FC Lustenau Austria Regionalliga West |
5-0 | 6-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | SV Lochau Austria Regionalliga West |
1-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | SK Bischofshofen Austria Regionalliga West |
4-2 | 7-3 | – | – | W |
| 04/06 | FC Lustenau Austria Regionalliga West |
1-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 7 | D |
FC Kufstein
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | FC Kitzbuhel Austria Regionalliga West |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | SC Schwaz Austria Regionalliga West |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 04/09 | FC Lauterach Austria Regionalliga West |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 30/08 | SC Rothis Austria Regionalliga West |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 22/08 | Fugen/Uderns Austria Regionalliga West |
1-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | FC Lustenau Austria Regionalliga West |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 07/08 | SV Lochau Austria Regionalliga West |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 01/08 | SK St Johann Austria Regionalliga West |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | FC Lauterach Austria Regionalliga West |
1-3 | 2-6 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 06/06 | FC Lustenau Austria Regionalliga West |
3-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hohenems vs FC Kufstein?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hohenems win (75%). Probabilities: Hohenems 75%, draw 16%, FC Kufstein 9%.
How many goals are expected in Hohenems vs FC Kufstein?
The model expects 3.53 goals (Hohenems 2.68 · FC Kufstein 0.86), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Hohenems vs FC Kufstein?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.