Football · Austria Landesliga · 18/09, 19:00

Prediction: USV Gnas vs SV Wildon

Team pages: USV Gnas · SV Wildon

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.64Total

USV Gnas1.99

SV Wildon1.65

1X2

45% 24% 31%

USV Gnas Draw SV Wildon

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

USV Gnas 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWWWWW

SV Wildon 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWDWWDLWWL

Head-to-head

USV Gnas 0–3–2 SV Wildon (5 last)

SV Wildon3-1USV Gnas
USV Gnas1-1SV Wildon
SV Wildon2-1USV Gnas
USV Gnas2-2SV Wildon
USV Gnas2-2SV Wildon

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · USV Gnas 1586 · SV Wildon 1509

	USV Gnas	Draw	SV Wildon
Our model	45%	23%	31%
Market	45%	24%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.64 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours USV Gnas (rating 1586 vs 1509).
H2H favours SV Wildon: 2-3-0.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	USV Gnas	SV Wildon
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 0.7	2.4 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.2	1.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/44/22%	44/44/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 6	2.2 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0	3.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.75

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
05:49 +10’	2.00	3.75	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · USV Gnas 0–3–2 SV Wildon

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Austria Landesliga	SV Wildon	3-1 HT 1-0	USV Gnas
01/08/25 Austria Landesliga	USV Gnas	1-1 HT 0-1	SV Wildon
26/03/22 Austria Landesliga	SV Wildon	2-1 HT 1-0	USV Gnas
30/10/20 Austria Landesliga	USV Gnas	2-2 HT 2-2	SV Wildon
02/10/18 Austria Landesliga	USV Gnas	2-2 HT 2-0	SV Wildon

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	TWL Elektra	4	4	0	0	10	3	12
2	Red Star Penzing	4	4	0	0	8	2	12
3	SV Schwechat	4	3	0	1	9	3	9
4	LAC Inter	4	3	0	1	9	7	9
5	Sportunion Mauer	3	2	1	0	5	1	7
6	Floridsdorfer AC II	4	2	1	1	8	5	7
7	FV Austria XIII	4	1	2	1	5	5	5
8	Post SV	4	1	1	2	12	7	4
9	Helfort 15	4	1	1	2	10	6	4
10	Slovan HAC	4	1	1	2	6	5	4
11	First Vienna II	4	1	0	3	6	9	3
12	WAF Brigittenau	3	1	0	2	5	8	3
13	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	2	1	0	1	3	6	3
14	FC 1980 Wien	4	1	0	3	3	11	3
15	Hellas Kagran	4	0	1	3	2	9	1
16	Simmeringer SC	4	0	0	4	2	16	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	USV Gnas	SV Wildon
Leoben DSV	5-0 W	2-1 W
FC Schladming	2-1 W	0-1 L
St. Anna am Aigen	2-0 W	3-3 D
UFC Fehring	3-0 W	2-1 W
TUS Bad Waltersdorf	2-1 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 0 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: USV Gnas (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

USV Gnas

WWWWLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/09	Leoben DSV Austria Landesliga	2-0	5-0	–	–	W
11/09	FC Schladming Austria Landesliga	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
04/09	St. Anna am Aigen Austria Landesliga	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
28/08	UFC Fehring Austria Landesliga	–	3-0	–	–	W
21/08	FC Kindberg-Murzhofen Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
14/08	Ilzer SV Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-2	5	2	L
05/06	Leoben DSV Austria Landesliga	4-0	5-2	9	1	W
29/05	ASK Koflach Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
21/05	Ilzer SV Austria Landesliga	0-0	2-1	1	4	W
15/05	TUS Bad Waltersdorf Austria Landesliga	0-1	2-1	9	3	W

SV Wildon

LWDWWDLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/09	SV Rohrbach An Der Lafnitz Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-2	6	6	L
11/09	SC Fürstenfeld Austria Landesliga	2-0	4-0	7	4	W
04/09	Leoben DSV Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
28/08	FC Schladming Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-1	10	3	L
21/08	St. Anna am Aigen Austria Landesliga	2-1	3-3	–	–	D
15/08	UFC Fehring Austria Landesliga	–	2-1	–	–	W
05/06	TUS Bad Waltersdorf Austria Landesliga	0-0	3-2	1	0	W
29/05	SC Fürstenfeld Austria Landesliga	2-2	3-3	–	–	D
23/05	SV Lebring Austria Landesliga	3-2	6-3	2	3	W
14/05	SC Bruck an der Mur Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-3	5	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in USV Gnas vs SV Wildon?

According to our model, the most likely result is a USV Gnas win (45%). Probabilities: USV Gnas 45%, draw 24%, SV Wildon 31%.

How many goals are expected in USV Gnas vs SV Wildon?

The model expects 3.64 goals (USV Gnas 1.99 · SV Wildon 1.65), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in USV Gnas vs SV Wildon?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.