Football · Austria Regionalliga West · 23/08, 18:00

Prediction: FC Kitzbuhel vs FC Lauterach

Team pages: FC Kitzbuhel · FC Lauterach

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.9Total

FC Kitzbuhel2.72

FC Lauterach1.18

1X2

69% 18% 13%

FC Kitzbuhel Draw FC Lauterach

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Kitzbuhel 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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FC Lauterach 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLWLLD

Head-to-head

FC Kitzbuhel 4–0 FC Lauterach (4 last)

FC Lauterach0-3FC Kitzbuhel
FC Kitzbuhel1-0FC Lauterach
FC Kitzbuhel2-0FC Lauterach
FC Lauterach0-1FC Kitzbuhel

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Kitzbuhel 1581 · FC Lauterach 1386

	FC Kitzbuhel	Draw	FC Lauterach
Our model	69%	17%	13%
Market	69%	19%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 3.9 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Kitzbuhel (rating 1581 vs 1386).
H2H favours FC Kitzbuhel: 4-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Kitzbuhel	FC Lauterach
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.2	1.6 / 2.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.2	0.6 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6.5	1.9 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	5.3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.30

X4.75

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.85

2 (+1.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.30 → 1.30	Pinn 1.35
X	4.75 → 4.75	Pinn 5.17 ★
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.3% Pinnacle margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:28 +12’	1.30	4.75	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
07:13	1.34	5.05	5.43
17:20 +4’	1.35▲	5.17▲	5.58▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Kitzbuhel 4–0–0 FC Lauterach

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Austria Regionalliga West	FC Lauterach	0-3 HT 0-1	FC Kitzbuhel
20/09/25 Austria Regionalliga West	FC Kitzbuhel	1-0 HT 1-0	FC Lauterach
13/04/25 Austria Regionalliga West	FC Kitzbuhel	2-0 HT 1-0	FC Lauterach
07/09/24 Austria Regionalliga West	FC Lauterach	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Kitzbuhel

Standings · Austria Regionalliga West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Dornbirn 1913	4	3	1	0	12	2	10
2	Hohenems	3	3	0	0	11	2	9
3	SC Imst	3	3	0	0	6	0	9
4	SC Schwaz	3	2	1	0	8	6	7
5	Fugen/Uderns	4	2	0	2	7	6	6
6	FC Kitzbuhel	3	2	0	1	6	2	6
7	FC Kufstein	4	1	2	1	6	6	5
8	FC Wolfurt	3	1	1	1	5	6	4
9	SK St Johann	4	1	1	2	6	7	4
10	SVG Reichenau	4	1	1	2	5	8	4
11	SV Lochau	4	1	1	2	5	12	4
12	SC Rothis	3	1	0	2	4	8	3
13	FC Lauterach	3	0	1	2	5	7	1
14	SCR Altach II	3	0	1	2	3	6	1
15	WSG Tirol II	3	0	1	2	1	4	1
16	FC Lustenau	3	0	1	2	1	9	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Kitzbuhel	FC Lauterach
SC Rothis	4-0 W	2-3 L
FC Lustenau	2-0 W	2-3 L
FC Kufstein	1-3 L	6-2 W
Hohenems	2-1 W	1-4 L
SV Kuchl	1-3 L	0-3 L
SC Schwaz	2-0 W	3-3 D
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FC Kitzbuhel (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Kitzbuhel

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	SC Rothis Austria Regionalliga West	1-0	4-0	–	–	W
08/08	Fugen/Uderns Austria Regionalliga West	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
31/07	FC Lustenau Austria Regionalliga West	2-0	2-0	5	4	W
13/06	Seekirchen Austria Regionalliga West	1-1	4-1	–	–	W
07/06	SCR Altach II Austria Regionalliga West	0-0	5-2	5	2	W
04/06	TSV St. Johann Austria Regionalliga West	0-0	0-0	10	4	D
29/05	FC Kufstein Austria Regionalliga West	1-0	1-3	–	–	L
22/05	Hohenems Austria Regionalliga West	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
14/05	SV Kuchl Austria Regionalliga West	1-0	1-3	6	3	L
09/05	SC Schwaz Austria Regionalliga West	1-0	2-0	–	–	W

FC Lauterach

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	SC Schwaz Austria Regionalliga West	2-2	3-3	7	8	D
08/08	SC Imst Austria Regionalliga West	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
02/08	SC Rothis Austria Regionalliga West	1-2	2-3	2	9	L
13/06	FC Kufstein Austria Regionalliga West	3-1	6-2	1	5	W
04/06	SV Kuchl Austria Regionalliga West	0-2	0-3	7	2	L
30/05	SC Schwaz Austria Regionalliga West	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
27/05	Hohenems Austria Regionalliga West	0-0	1-4	–	–	L
22/05	SC Imst Austria Regionalliga West	0-2	1-3	1	6	L
16/05	SK Bischofshofen Austria Regionalliga West	0-2	1-4	2	5	L
02/05	FC Lustenau Austria Regionalliga West	0-2	2-3	5	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Kitzbuhel vs FC Lauterach?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Kitzbuhel win (69%). Probabilities: FC Kitzbuhel 69%, draw 18%, FC Lauterach 13%.

How many goals are expected in FC Kitzbuhel vs FC Lauterach?

The model expects 3.9 goals (FC Kitzbuhel 2.72 · FC Lauterach 1.18), with a 56% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Kitzbuhel vs FC Lauterach?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.