Football · Austria Regionalliga West · 23/08, 10:30

Prediction: SCR Altach II vs FC Lustenau

Team pages: SCR Altach II · FC Lustenau

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.48Total

SCR Altach II2.01

FC Lustenau1.47

1X2

50% 22% 28%

SCR Altach II Draw FC Lustenau

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

SCR Altach II 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLLDLL

FC Lustenau 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LLDLDLWLLD

Head-to-head

SCR Altach II 2–1–0 FC Lustenau (3 last)

SCR Altach II0-0FC Lustenau
FC Lustenau0-1SCR Altach II
SCR Altach II7-1FC Lustenau

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SCR Altach II 1493 · FC Lustenau 1435

	SCR Altach II	Draw	FC Lustenau
Our model	49%	23%	27%
Market	50%	22%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 3.48 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SCR Altach II (rating 1493 vs 1435).
H2H favours SCR Altach II: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SCR Altach II	FC Lustenau
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.2	1.2 / 2.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	0.5 / 1.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	20/10/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 4	1.9 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.1	3.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.80

X4.20

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 10:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Pinn 2.05 ★
X	4.00 → 4.20▲	Bet365 4.20
2	3.25 → 3.20▼	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 10.6% Pinnacle margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
04:38 +6’	1.80	4.00	3.25
08:07 +1’	1.85▲	4.10▲	3.10▼
10:01 +2’	1.80▼	4.20▲	3.20▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
23:09 +6’	1.95	3.99	2.76
08:00 +8’	1.77▼	4.11▲	3.15▲
09:04 +2’	1.97▲	4.09▼	2.78▼
10:01 +2’	2.05▲	4.06▼	2.60▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SCR Altach II 2–1–0 FC Lustenau

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 Austria Regionalliga West	SCR Altach II	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Lustenau
30/07/25 Austria Regionalliga West	FC Lustenau	0-1 HT 0-1	SCR Altach II
31/10/21 Austria Landesliga	SCR Altach II	7-1 HT 5-1	FC Lustenau

Standings · Austria Regionalliga West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Dornbirn 1913	4	3	1	0	12	2	10
2	Hohenems	3	3	0	0	11	2	9
3	SC Imst	3	3	0	0	6	0	9
4	SC Schwaz	3	2	1	0	8	6	7
5	Fugen/Uderns	4	2	0	2	7	6	6
6	FC Kitzbuhel	3	2	0	1	6	2	6
7	FC Kufstein	4	1	2	1	6	6	5
8	FC Wolfurt	3	1	1	1	5	6	4
9	SK St Johann	4	1	1	2	6	7	4
10	SVG Reichenau	4	1	1	2	5	8	4
11	SV Lochau	4	1	1	2	5	12	4
12	SC Rothis	3	1	0	2	4	8	3
13	FC Lauterach	3	0	1	2	5	7	1
14	SCR Altach II	3	0	1	2	3	6	1
15	WSG Tirol II	3	0	1	2	1	4	1
16	FC Lustenau	3	0	1	2	1	9	1

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SCR Altach II

WWLWWLLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	SV Lochau Austria Regionalliga West	1-0	1-2	2	3	L
08/08	SK St Johann Austria Regionalliga West	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
02/08	FC Wolfurt Austria Regionalliga West	1-0	2-2	1	9	D
13/06	FC Wacker Innsbruck Austria Regionalliga West	0-3	0-5	–	–	L
07/06	FC Kitzbuhel Austria Regionalliga West	0-0	2-5	5	2	L
04/06	SV Wals-Grünau Austria Regionalliga West	1-1	2-1	0	5	W
30/05	FC Pinzgau Austria Regionalliga West	0-0	2-0	8	8	W
23/05	FC Dornbirn 1913 Austria Regionalliga West	0-2	0-2	4	0	L
17/05	SVG Reichenau Austria Regionalliga West	1-0	1-0	7	3	W
09/05	Seekirchen Austria Regionalliga West	3-1	4-3	5	5	W

FC Lustenau

LLDLDLWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	FC Kufstein Austria Regionalliga West	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
07/08	Hohenems Austria Regionalliga West	0-5	0-6	3	1	L
31/07	FC Kitzbuhel Austria Regionalliga West	0-2	0-2	2	4	L
13/06	TSV St. Johann Austria Regionalliga West	2-0	3-1	5	4	W
06/06	FC Kufstein Austria Regionalliga West	0-3	1-4	–	–	L
04/06	Hohenems Austria Regionalliga West	0-1	2-2	2	7	D
30/05	SV Kuchl Austria Regionalliga West	1-2	1-3	2	4	L
23/05	SC Schwaz Austria Regionalliga West	1-1	2-2	2	4	D
16/05	SC Imst Austria Regionalliga West	0-2	1-4	–	–	L
09/05	SK Bischofshofen Austria Regionalliga West	0-3	1-4	8	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SCR Altach II vs FC Lustenau?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SCR Altach II win (50%). Probabilities: SCR Altach II 50%, draw 22%, FC Lustenau 28%.

How many goals are expected in SCR Altach II vs FC Lustenau?

The model expects 3.48 goals (SCR Altach II 2.01 · FC Lustenau 1.47), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SCR Altach II vs FC Lustenau?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.