Football · Austria Regionalliga West · 19/09, 15:00

Prediction: FC Kufstein vs FC Kitzbuhel

Team pages: FC Kufstein · FC Kitzbuhel

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.23Total

FC Kufstein1.66

FC Kitzbuhel1.57

1X2

40% 25% 36%

FC Kufstein Draw FC Kitzbuhel

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Kufstein 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWDDLDDL

FC Kitzbuhel 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

DWWWLWWLWL

Head-to-head

FC Kufstein 4–1–1 FC Kitzbuhel (6 last)

FC Kufstein3-1FC Kitzbuhel
FC Kitzbuhel0-0FC Kufstein
FC Kufstein1-2FC Kitzbuhel
FC Kitzbuhel1-2FC Kufstein
FC Kufstein4-0FC Kitzbuhel
FC Kitzbuhel0-2FC Kufstein

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Kufstein 1495 · FC Kitzbuhel 1519

	FC Kufstein	Draw	FC Kitzbuhel
Our model	39%	25%	35%
Market	40%	24%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.23 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Kufstein: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Kufstein	FC Kitzbuhel
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.8	2.4 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 2.3	3 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.3	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.75

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
12:21 +23’	2.25	3.75	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Kufstein 4–1–1 FC Kitzbuhel

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/05/26 Austria Regionalliga West	FC Kufstein	3-1 HT 0-1	FC Kitzbuhel
25/10/25 Austria Regionalliga West	FC Kitzbuhel	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Kufstein
01/06/25 Austria Regionalliga West	FC Kufstein	1-2 HT 1-0	FC Kitzbuhel
02/11/24 Austria Regionalliga West	FC Kitzbuhel	1-2 HT 1-1	FC Kufstein
11/03/23 Austria Regionalliga Tirol	FC Kufstein	4-0 HT 1-0	FC Kitzbuhel
09/09/22 Austria Regionalliga Tirol	FC Kitzbuhel	0-2 HT 0-1	FC Kufstein

Standings · Austria Regionalliga West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hohenems	7	6	0	1	20	7	18
2	FC Dornbirn 1913	7	5	2	0	22	5	17
3	SC Imst	7	5	1	1	12	4	16
4	SC Schwaz	7	4	1	2	14	13	13
5	FC Kitzbuhel	7	4	0	3	15	11	12
6	SK St Johann	7	3	2	2	9	8	11
7	WSG Tirol II	7	3	1	3	13	10	10
8	Fugen/Uderns	7	3	1	3	13	14	10
9	SVG Reichenau	7	2	3	2	9	11	9
10	SC Rothis	7	2	3	2	11	14	9
11	FC Kufstein	7	1	4	2	9	10	7
12	SV Lochau	7	2	1	4	11	19	7
13	SCR Altach II	7	1	3	3	12	15	6
14	FC Wolfurt	7	1	1	5	9	17	4
15	FC Lauterach	7	0	3	4	11	17	3
16	FC Lustenau	7	0	2	5	4	19	2

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Kufstein	FC Kitzbuhel
SC Schwaz	1-2 L	1-3 L
FC Lauterach	2-2 D	4-2 W
SC Rothis	0-0 D	4-0 W
Fugen/Uderns	1-3 L	0-2 L
FC Lustenau	1-1 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Kitzbuhel (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Kufstein

LWLWDDLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	SC Schwaz Austria Regionalliga West	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
04/09	FC Lauterach Austria Regionalliga West	1-1	2-2	5	4	D
30/08	SC Rothis Austria Regionalliga West	0-0	0-0	0	5	D
22/08	Fugen/Uderns Austria Regionalliga West	1-2	1-3	–	–	L
15/08	FC Lustenau Austria Regionalliga West	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
07/08	SV Lochau Austria Regionalliga West	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
01/08	SK St Johann Austria Regionalliga West	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
13/06	FC Lauterach Austria Regionalliga West	1-3	2-6	2	5	L
06/06	FC Lustenau Austria Regionalliga West	3-0	4-1	–	–	W
03/06	FC Wacker Innsbruck Austria Regionalliga West	0-0	0-1	–	–	L

FC Kitzbuhel

DWWWLWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Hohenems Austria Regionalliga West	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
09/09	SC Imst Austria Regionalliga West	0-1	3-2	–	–	W
30/08	SC Schwaz Austria Regionalliga West	1-0	1-3	–	–	L
23/08	FC Lauterach Austria Regionalliga West	1-1	4-2	–	–	W
14/08	SC Rothis Austria Regionalliga West	1-0	4-0	–	–	W
08/08	Fugen/Uderns Austria Regionalliga West	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
31/07	FC Lustenau Austria Regionalliga West	2-0	2-0	5	4	W
13/06	Seekirchen Austria Regionalliga West	1-1	4-1	–	–	W
07/06	SCR Altach II Austria Regionalliga West	0-0	5-2	5	2	W
04/06	TSV St. Johann Austria Regionalliga West	0-0	0-0	10	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Kufstein vs FC Kitzbuhel?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Kufstein win (40%). Probabilities: FC Kufstein 40%, draw 25%, FC Kitzbuhel 36%.

How many goals are expected in FC Kufstein vs FC Kitzbuhel?

The model expects 3.23 goals (FC Kufstein 1.66 · FC Kitzbuhel 1.57), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Kufstein vs FC Kitzbuhel?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.