Football · Austria Regionalliga West · 18/10, 15:00

Prediction: FC Wolfurt vs SC Schwaz

Team pages: FC Wolfurt · SC Schwaz

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4Total

FC Wolfurt1.46

SC Schwaz2.54

1X2

21% 19% 61%

FC Wolfurt Draw SC Schwaz

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Wolfurt 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLLLLL

SC Schwaz 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WDLWLWWWWW

Head-to-head

FC Wolfurt 0–2 SC Schwaz (2 last)

SC Schwaz4-0FC Wolfurt
FC Wolfurt0-2SC Schwaz

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Wolfurt 1400 · SC Schwaz 1560

	FC Wolfurt	Draw	SC Schwaz
Our model	20%	20%	60%
Market	21%	18%	61%

Estimated total (ours) 4 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SC Schwaz (rating 1400 vs 1560).
H2H favours SC Schwaz: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Wolfurt	SC Schwaz
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 3.1	2.4 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.2	1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 2.7	1 / 2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.3	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.33

X5.00

21.48

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.80

2 (-1.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.93

Under 3.751.88

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 4.2

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 13:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.50 → 4.33▼	Pinn 4.98 ★
X	5.50 → 5.00▼	Bet365 5.00
2	1.33 → 1.48▲	Bet365 1.48

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 10.6% Pinnacle margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
16:23 +16’	5.50	5.50	1.33
07:36 +32’	4.75▼	5.25▼	1.40▲
12:09 +4’	3.60▼	4.75▼	1.60▲
13:35 +3’	4.33▲	5.00▲	1.48▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
03:12 +58’	5.58	5.16	1.33
07:32 +35’	4.38▼	4.51▼	1.48▲
09:44 +23’	4.62▲	4.62▲	1.44▼
13:35 +3’	4.98▲	4.97▲	1.40▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Wolfurt 0–0–2 SC Schwaz

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/24 Austria Regionalliga West	SC Schwaz	4-0 HT 1-0	FC Wolfurt
03/09/23 Austria Regionalliga West	FC Wolfurt	0-2 HT 0-0	SC Schwaz

Standings · Austria Regionalliga West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hohenems	11	9	0	2	28	11	27
2	SC Imst	11	8	1	2	24	9	25
3	SC Schwaz	11	8	1	2	27	19	25
4	FC Dornbirn 1913	12	7	3	2	25	11	24
5	FC Kitzbuhel	11	7	0	4	24	15	21
6	SC Rothis	12	6	3	3	23	20	21
7	WSG Tirol II	11	6	1	4	32	18	19
8	SK St Johann	11	5	3	3	19	13	18
9	Fugen/Uderns	12	5	1	6	25	31	16
10	SVG Reichenau	11	3	3	5	13	19	12
11	FC Kufstein	12	2	5	5	16	17	11
12	SV Lochau	12	3	2	7	16	29	11
13	FC Lauterach	11	2	3	6	19	26	9
14	FC Lustenau	12	1	4	7	14	34	7
15	SCR Altach II	11	1	3	7	15	29	6
16	FC Wolfurt	11	1	1	9	14	33	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Wolfurt	SC Schwaz
FC Lauterach	2-4 L	3-3 D
SC Rothis	0-3 L	2-1 W
SC Imst	1-2 L	0-2 L
WSG Tirol II	1-5 L	4-3 W
SVG Reichenau	2-1 W	2-1 W
FC Dornbirn 1913	1-3 L	3-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 5 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: SC Schwaz (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Wolfurt

LWLLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	FC Lauterach Austria Regionalliga West	1-1	2-4	5	4	L
03/10	SC Rothis Austria Regionalliga West	0-3	0-3	–	–	L
26/09	Fugen/Uderns Austria Regionalliga West	0-1	1-6	–	–	L
19/09	FC Lustenau Austria Regionalliga West	1-0	2-3	–	–	L
12/09	SV Lochau Austria Regionalliga West	2-2	2-3	2	6	L
06/09	SK St Johann Austria Regionalliga West	0-1	0-1	1	6	L
29/08	SC Imst Austria Regionalliga West	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
23/08	WSG Tirol II Austria Regionalliga West	1-1	1-5	–	–	L
14/08	SVG Reichenau Austria Regionalliga West	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
08/08	FC Dornbirn 1913 Austria Regionalliga West	0-1	1-3	–	–	L

SC Schwaz

WDLWLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	WSG Tirol II Austria Regionalliga West	3-0	4-3	–	–	W
03/10	SVG Reichenau Austria Regionalliga West	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
26/09	FC Dornbirn 1913 Austria Regionalliga West	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
20/09	SCR Altach II Austria Regionalliga West	2-1	4-2	2	4	W
13/09	FC Kufstein Austria Regionalliga West	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
05/09	Hohenems Austria Regionalliga West	0-0	1-3	–	–	L
30/08	FC Kitzbuhel Austria Regionalliga West	0-1	3-1	–	–	W
23/08	SC Imst Austria Regionalliga West	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
15/08	FC Lauterach Austria Regionalliga West	2-2	3-3	–	–	D
08/08	SC Rothis Austria Regionalliga West	0-1	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Wolfurt vs SC Schwaz?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SC Schwaz win (61%). Probabilities: FC Wolfurt 21%, draw 19%, SC Schwaz 61%.

How many goals are expected in FC Wolfurt vs SC Schwaz?

The model expects 4 goals (FC Wolfurt 1.46 · SC Schwaz 2.54), with a 50% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Wolfurt vs SC Schwaz?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.