Football · Austria Regionalliga West · 24/10, 16:00

Prediction: FC Lauterach vs SV Lochau

Team pages: FC Lauterach · SV Lochau

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.2Total

FC Lauterach2.56

SV Lochau1.63

1X2

57% 20% 23%

FC Lauterach Draw SV Lochau

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Lauterach 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLLDDLWLWW

SV Lochau 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLWLLDWL

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Lauterach 1499 · SV Lochau 1458

	FC Lauterach	Draw	SV Lochau
Our model	57%	20%	23%
Market	57%	20%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 4.2 goals · Bet365 line 4.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Lauterach (rating 1499 vs 1458).
Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Lauterach	SV Lochau
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 2.3	1.3 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.2	0.6 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.8 / 3.2	2.3 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0	5.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.57

X4.50

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.88

2 (+1)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 4.252.00

Under 4.251.80

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 4.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
07:03 +8’	1.57	4.50	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Austria Regionalliga West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SC Imst	12	9	1	2	26	9	28
2	SC Schwaz	12	9	1	2	32	21	28
3	Hohenems	12	9	0	3	28	14	27
4	FC Dornbirn 1913	12	7	3	2	25	11	24
5	FC Kitzbuhel	12	7	1	4	26	17	22
6	SC Rothis	12	6	3	3	23	20	21
7	WSG Tirol II	12	6	2	4	34	20	20
8	SK St Johann	12	5	3	4	20	16	18
9	Fugen/Uderns	12	5	1	6	25	31	16
10	SVG Reichenau	12	4	3	5	16	19	15
11	FC Lauterach	12	3	3	6	22	27	12
12	FC Kufstein	12	2	5	5	16	17	11
13	SV Lochau	12	3	2	7	16	29	11
14	FC Lustenau	12	1	4	7	14	34	7
15	SCR Altach II	12	1	3	8	15	31	6
16	FC Wolfurt	12	1	1	10	16	38	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Lauterach	SV Lochau
SK St Johann	3-1 W	1-3 L
FC Wolfurt	4-2 W	3-2 W
WSG Tirol II	1-6 L	2-3 L
SVG Reichenau	3-0 W	1-2 L
FC Dornbirn 1913	0-1 L	0-7 L
SCR Altach II	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FC Lauterach (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Lauterach

DLLDDLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	SK St Johann Austria Regionalliga West	0-1	3-1	–	–	W
10/10	FC Wolfurt Austria Regionalliga West	1-1	4-2	5	4	W
04/10	WSG Tirol II Austria Regionalliga West	1-3	1-6	–	–	L
26/09	SVG Reichenau Austria Regionalliga West	2-0	3-0	4	7	W
18/09	FC Dornbirn 1913 Austria Regionalliga West	0-0	0-1	3	6	L
12/09	SCR Altach II Austria Regionalliga West	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
04/09	FC Kufstein Austria Regionalliga West	1-1	2-2	1	4	D
29/08	Hohenems Austria Regionalliga West	0-2	1-3	3	5	L
23/08	FC Kitzbuhel Austria Regionalliga West	1-1	2-4	–	–	L
15/08	SC Schwaz Austria Regionalliga West	2-2	3-3	–	–	D

SV Lochau

WLLLWLLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	SC Rothis Austria Regionalliga West	0-0	1-2	3	8	L
10/10	Fugen/Uderns Austria Regionalliga West	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
03/10	FC Lustenau Austria Regionalliga West	1-1	1-1	10	6	D
26/09	SC Imst Austria Regionalliga West	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
19/09	SK St Johann Austria Regionalliga West	1-1	1-3	4	3	L
12/09	FC Wolfurt Austria Regionalliga West	2-2	3-2	4	6	W
05/09	WSG Tirol II Austria Regionalliga West	1-2	2-3	–	–	L
29/08	SVG Reichenau Austria Regionalliga West	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
21/08	FC Dornbirn 1913 Austria Regionalliga West	0-4	0-7	–	–	L
15/08	SCR Altach II Austria Regionalliga West	0-1	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Lauterach vs SV Lochau?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Lauterach win (57%). Probabilities: FC Lauterach 57%, draw 20%, SV Lochau 23%.

How many goals are expected in FC Lauterach vs SV Lochau?

The model expects 4.2 goals (FC Lauterach 2.56 · SV Lochau 1.63), with a 53% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Lauterach vs SV Lochau?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.