Football · Austria Landesliga · 17/10, 11:00

Prediction: SV Spittal/Drau vs Nussdorf

Team pages: SV Spittal/Drau · Nussdorf

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.5Total

SV Spittal/Drau2.43

Nussdorf1.07

1X2

67% 19% 15%

SV Spittal/Drau Draw Nussdorf

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

SV Spittal/Drau 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LDDLWWLDWL

Nussdorf 0-2-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLDLD

Head-to-head

SV Spittal/Drau 1–1–0 Nussdorf (2 last)

SV Spittal/Drau1-0Nussdorf
Nussdorf0-0SV Spittal/Drau

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Spittal/Drau 1501 · Nussdorf 1383

	SV Spittal/Drau	Draw	Nussdorf
Our model	66%	19%	14%
Market	67%	18%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 3.5 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SV Spittal/Drau (rating 1501 vs 1383).
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Spittal/Drau	Nussdorf
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.9	0.4 / 3.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.9	0.1 / 1.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	0/10/90%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 6	0 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0.3	6 / 1

Odds Bet365

11.33

X5.00

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.85

2 (+1.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.752.00

Under 3.751.80

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
02:08 +3’	1.33	5.00	6.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Spittal/Drau 1–1–0 Nussdorf

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Austria Landesliga	SV Spittal/Drau	1-0 HT 0-0	Nussdorf
14/08/25 Austria Landesliga	Nussdorf	0-0 HT 0-0	SV Spittal/Drau

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sportunion Mauer	8	7	1	0	23	2	22
2	Red Star Penzing	8	6	1	1	18	10	19
3	LAC Inter	8	6	0	2	18	12	18
4	Floridsdorfer AC II	8	5	1	2	17	9	16
5	TWL Elektra	8	5	1	2	14	10	16
6	Helfort 15	8	4	2	2	14	7	14
7	SV Schwechat	8	4	0	4	14	12	12
8	First Vienna II	8	3	1	4	18	19	10
9	Hellas Kagran	8	2	2	4	14	17	8
10	Slovan HAC	8	2	2	4	11	16	8
11	WAF Brigittenau	8	2	2	4	9	15	8
12	FC 1980 Wien	8	2	2	4	10	20	8
13	FV Austria XIII	8	1	4	3	11	13	7
14	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	8	1	3	4	10	20	6
15	Post SV	8	1	2	5	13	11	5
16	Simmeringer SC	8	1	0	7	3	24	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SV Spittal/Drau	Nussdorf
SAK Klagenfurt	0-4 L	0-3 L
Lendorf	2-1 W	1-3 L
KAC 1909	2-2 D	0-6 L
St Veit SC	0-3 L	0-3 L
TSV Grafenstein	1-1 D	1-4 L
Sirnitz	1-2 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	0 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: SV Spittal/Drau (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Spittal/Drau

LDDLWWLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	SAK Klagenfurt Austria Landesliga	0-2	0-4	4	2	L
04/10	Lendorf Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
25/09	KAC 1909 Austria Landesliga	1-2	2-2	3	2	D
18/09	St Veit SC Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
13/09	SV Seeboden Austria Landesliga	3-0	5-2	–	–	W
04/09	Launsdorf Austria Landesliga	1-0	3-0	8	2	W
29/08	SC Landskron Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-2	9	3	L
21/08	TSU Matrei Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
14/08	TSV Grafenstein Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
07/08	Sirnitz Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-2	–	–	L

Nussdorf

LLLLLLLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Sirnitz Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
02/10	ATUS Ferlach Austria Landesliga	0-2	0-5	–	–	L
26/09	ASKO Kottmannsdorf Austria Landesliga	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
18/09	SV Dellach/Gail Austria Landesliga	0-3	0-3	–	–	L
11/09	St.Michael/Lavanttal Austria Landesliga	0-3	0-5	–	–	L
04/09	TSV Grafenstein Austria Landesliga	1-2	1-4	4	7	L
28/08	SAK Klagenfurt Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
22/08	Lendorf Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
15/08	KAC 1909 Austria Landesliga	0-2	0-6	–	–	L
07/08	St Veit SC Austria Landesliga	0-2	0-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Spittal/Drau vs Nussdorf?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SV Spittal/Drau win (67%). Probabilities: SV Spittal/Drau 67%, draw 19%, Nussdorf 15%.

How many goals are expected in SV Spittal/Drau vs Nussdorf?

The model expects 3.5 goals (SV Spittal/Drau 2.43 · Nussdorf 1.07), with a 56% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Spittal/Drau vs Nussdorf?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.