Football · Austria Regionalliga North · 03/10, 16:00

Prediction: SV Wals-Grünau vs Junge Wikinger Ried

Team pages: SV Wals-Grünau

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.56Total

SV Wals-Grünau2.37

Junge Wikinger Ried1.19

1X2

63% 19% 17%

SV Wals-Grünau Draw Junge Wikinger Ried

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

SV Wals-Grünau 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

DWWDDWWWDW

Junge Wikinger Ried 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WDWWLLLLLL

Head-to-head

SV Wals-Grünau 1–0 Junge Wikinger Ried (1 last)

Junge Wikinger Ried3-5SV Wals-Grünau

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Wals-Grünau 1572 · Junge Wikinger Ried 1436

	SV Wals-Grünau	Draw	Junge Wikinger Ried
Our model	63%	20%	17%
Market	64%	19%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 3.56 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SV Wals-Grünau (rating 1572 vs 1436).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Wals-Grünau	Junge Wikinger Ried
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.1	1 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 6.7	– / –
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.7	– / –

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.75

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)2.00

2 (+1.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.88

Under 3.51.93

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 11:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.40▲	Bet365 1.40
X	5.00 → 4.75▼	Bet365 4.75
2	6.00 → 5.00▼	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
04:16 +7’	1.33	5.00	6.00
07:22 +2’	1.25▼	5.50▲	7.00▲
11:35 +8’	1.40▲	4.75▼	5.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Wals-Grünau 1–0–0 Junge Wikinger Ried

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/02/25 Europe Friendlies	Junge Wikinger Ried	3-5 HT 2-4	SV Wals-Grünau

Standings · Austria Regionalliga North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SV Wals-Grünau	10	6	4	0	21	11	22
2	SPG Wallern/ASV St. Marienkirchen	9	6	1	2	26	9	19
3	LASK Linz II	9	5	2	2	28	10	17
4	Union Gurten	10	5	2	3	18	11	17
5	SV Bad Schallerbach	9	4	2	3	20	14	14
6	SV Kuchl	9	4	2	3	18	15	14
7	SK Vorwärts Steyr	9	4	2	3	13	11	14
8	TSV St. Johann	10	4	2	4	11	15	14
9	SV Grodig	9	4	1	4	12	13	13
10	Seekirchen	10	3	2	5	12	17	11
11	Vortuna Bad Leonfelden	9	2	4	3	15	20	10
12	Junge Wikinger Ried	10	3	1	6	10	24	10
13	Union Dietach	9	2	2	5	11	24	8
14	OTSU Hallein	9	1	3	5	9	21	6
15	FC Pinzgau	9	1	2	6	12	21	5

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SV Wals-Grünau	Junge Wikinger Ried
Seekirchen	0-0 D	0-4 L
TSV St. Johann	2-1 W	1-3 L
SPG Wallern/ASV St. Marienkirchen	2-1 W	0-5 L
FC Pinzgau	2-1 W	0-2 L
SV Kuchl	2-2 D	0-3 L
LASK Linz II	3-3 D	1-3 L
SV Grodig	3-2 W	2-1 W
SK Vorwärts Steyr	3-0 W	2-0 W
Vortuna Bad Leonfelden	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	5 W 4 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: SV Wals-Grünau (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Wals-Grünau

DWWDDWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/09	Union Dietach Austria Regionalliga North	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
18/09	Seekirchen Austria Regionalliga North	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
12/09	TSV St. Johann Austria Regionalliga North	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
08/09	SPG Wallern/ASV St. Marienkirchen Austria Regionalliga North	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
29/08	FC Pinzgau Austria Regionalliga North	2-1	2-1	8	3	W
21/08	SV Kuchl Austria Regionalliga North	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
15/08	LASK Linz II Austria Regionalliga North	1-1	3-3	–	–	D
11/08	SV Grodig Austria Regionalliga North	1-1	3-2	7	8	W
08/08	SK Vorwärts Steyr Austria Regionalliga North	1-0	3-0	5	4	W
31/07	Vortuna Bad Leonfelden Austria Regionalliga North	1-0	1-1	–	–	D

Junge Wikinger Ried

WDWWLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Seekirchen Austria Regionalliga North	0-3	0-4	–	–	L
19/09	TSV St. Johann Austria Regionalliga North	1-0	1-3	–	–	L
12/09	SPG Wallern/ASV St. Marienkirchen Austria Regionalliga North	0-1	0-5	–	–	L
04/09	FC Pinzgau Austria Regionalliga North	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
29/08	SV Kuchl Austria Regionalliga North	0-0	0-3	–	–	L
22/08	LASK Linz II Austria Regionalliga North	1-0	1-3	–	–	L
15/08	SV Grodig Austria Regionalliga North	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
11/08	SK Vorwärts Steyr Austria Regionalliga North	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
07/08	Vortuna Bad Leonfelden Austria Regionalliga North	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
01/08	SV Bad Schallerbach Austria Regionalliga North	2-2	3-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Wals-Grünau vs Junge Wikinger Ried?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SV Wals-Grünau win (63%). Probabilities: SV Wals-Grünau 63%, draw 19%, Junge Wikinger Ried 17%.

How many goals are expected in SV Wals-Grünau vs Junge Wikinger Ried?

The model expects 3.56 goals (SV Wals-Grünau 2.37 · Junge Wikinger Ried 1.19), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Wals-Grünau vs Junge Wikinger Ried?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.