Football · Austria Regionalliga North · 16/10, 19:00
Prediction: SV Kuchl vs SV Grodig
Team pages: SV Kuchl · SV Grodig
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.33Total
SV Kuchl1.83
SV Grodig1.5
1X2
SV Kuchl
Draw
SV Grodig
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
SV Kuchl
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
SV Grodig
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
SV Kuchl
3–3
SV Grodig
(6 last)
- SV Grodig3-0SV Kuchl
- SV Grodig0-1SV Kuchl
- SV Kuchl3-1SV Grodig
- SV Kuchl0-2SV Grodig
- SV Grodig2-0SV Kuchl
- SV Grodig0-3SV Kuchl
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SV Kuchl 1514 · SV Grodig 1472
| SV Kuchl | Draw | SV Grodig | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 25% | 31% |
| Market | 45% | 24% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.33 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SV Kuchl (rating 1514 vs 1472).
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SV Kuchl | SV Grodig | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.7 | 1.3 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0 / 0 | 3 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6 / 0 | 4 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Kuchl 3–0–3 SV Grodig
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05/24 Austria Landesliga | SV Grodig | 3-0 HT 2-0 | SV Kuchl |
| 01/04/23 Austria Regionalliga Salzburg | SV Grodig | 0-1 HT 0-0 | SV Kuchl |
| 11/10/22 Austria Regionalliga Salzburg | SV Kuchl | 3-1 HT 2-0 | SV Grodig |
| 11/06/22 Austria Regionalliga Salzburg | SV Kuchl | 0-2 HT 0-0 | SV Grodig |
| 18/04/22 Austria Regionalliga Salzburg | SV Grodig | 2-0 HT 1-0 | SV Kuchl |
| 15/10/21 Austria Regionalliga Salzburg | SV Grodig | 0-3 HT 0-1 | SV Kuchl |
Standings · Austria Regionalliga North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SPG Wallern/ASV St. Marienkirchen | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 10 | 25 |
| 2 | LASK Linz II | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 11 | 23 |
| 3 | SV Wals-Grünau | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 23 | 14 | 23 |
| 4 | Union Gurten | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 21 |
| 5 | SV Kuchl | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 19 | 18 |
| 6 | SV Bad Schallerbach | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 17 |
| 7 | SV Grodig | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 16 |
| 8 | SK Vorwärts Steyr | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 15 |
| 9 | TSV St. Johann | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 14 |
| 10 | Junge Wikinger Ried | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 28 | 14 |
| 11 | Vortuna Bad Leonfelden | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 24 | 13 |
| 12 | Seekirchen | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 12 |
| 13 | OTSU Hallein | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 24 | 9 |
| 14 | Union Dietach | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 8 |
| 15 | FC Pinzgau | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 28 | 5 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | SV Kuchl | SV Grodig |
|---|---|---|
| SK Vorwärts Steyr | 2-2 D | 0-3 L |
| Vortuna Bad Leonfelden | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| SV Bad Schallerbach | 1-5 L | 1-3 L |
| OTSU Hallein | 4-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Union Gurten | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Junge Wikinger Ried | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| SV Wals-Grünau | 2-2 D | 2-3 L |
| Seekirchen | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| TSV St. Johann | 2-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 3 L | 4 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: SV Kuchl (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SV Kuchl
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | SK Vorwärts Steyr Austria Regionalliga North |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 03/10 | Vortuna Bad Leonfelden Austria Regionalliga North |
2-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 25/09 | SV Bad Schallerbach Austria Regionalliga North |
1-1 | 1-5 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 18/09 | OTSU Hallein Austria Regionalliga North |
2-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/09 | Union Gurten Austria Regionalliga North |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 29/08 | Junge Wikinger Ried Austria Regionalliga North |
0-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/08 | SV Wals-Grünau Austria Regionalliga North |
1-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 14/08 | Seekirchen Austria Regionalliga North |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/08 | TSV St. Johann Austria Regionalliga North |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 07/08 | SPG Wallern/ASV St. Marienkirchen Austria Regionalliga North |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
SV Grodig
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | LASK Linz II Austria Regionalliga North |
1-5 | 1-6 | – | – | L |
| 26/09 | SK Vorwärts Steyr Austria Regionalliga North |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 19/09 | Vortuna Bad Leonfelden Austria Regionalliga North |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/09 | SV Bad Schallerbach Austria Regionalliga North |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 04/09 | OTSU Hallein Austria Regionalliga North |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | Union Gurten Austria Regionalliga North |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 15/08 | Junge Wikinger Ried Austria Regionalliga North |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/08 | SV Wals-Grünau Austria Regionalliga North |
1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 07/08 | Seekirchen Austria Regionalliga North |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/07 | TSV St. Johann Austria Regionalliga North |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SV Kuchl vs SV Grodig?
According to our model, the most likely result is a SV Kuchl win (45%). Probabilities: SV Kuchl 45%, draw 24%, SV Grodig 31%.
How many goals are expected in SV Kuchl vs SV Grodig?
The model expects 3.33 goals (SV Kuchl 1.83 · SV Grodig 1.5), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in SV Kuchl vs SV Grodig?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.