Football · Portugal Segunda Liga · 06/09, 15:00
Prediction: SC Farense vs Chaves
Team pages: SC Farense · Chaves
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.5Total
SC Farense1.69
Chaves0.81
1X2
SC Farense
Draw
Chaves
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
SC Farense
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Chaves
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
SC Farense
1–1–4
Chaves
(6 last)
- Chaves2-0SC Farense
- SC Farense0-2Chaves
- Chaves1-1SC Farense
- SC Farense5-0Chaves
- SC Farense1-2Chaves
- Chaves2-1SC Farense
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SC Farense (rating 1533 vs 1457).
- H2H favours Chaves: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SC Farense | Chaves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.8 | 1.7 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.8 | 1.8 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.4 | 4.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · SC Farense 1–1–4 Chaves
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 Portugal Segunda Liga | Chaves | 2-0 HT 1-0 | SC Farense |
| 28/09/25 Portugal Segunda Liga | SC Farense | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Chaves |
| 04/02/24 Portugal Primeira Liga | Chaves | 1-1 HT 0-1 | SC Farense |
| 26/08/23 Portugal Primeira Liga | SC Farense | 5-0 HT 4-0 | Chaves |
| 30/04/22 Portugal Segunda Liga | SC Farense | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Chaves |
| 18/12/21 Portugal Segunda Liga | Chaves | 2-1 HT 2-0 | SC Farense |
Standings · Portugal Segunda Liga
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lusitania Lourosa | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | Academica | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Sporting B | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Portimonense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Benfica B | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | SC Farense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 7 | Penafiel | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Vizela | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | UD Leiria | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | Felgueiras 1932 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 11 | Leixoes | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 12 | AVS | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 13 | Amarante | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 14 | Tondela | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
| 15 | FC Porto B | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 3 |
| 16 | SCU Torreense | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 2 |
| 17 | Feirense | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Chaves | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | SC Farense | Chaves |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting B | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Felgueiras 1932 | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| SCU Torreense | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Portimonense | 0-1 L | 2-3 L |
| Pacos Ferreira | 1-1 D | 3-4 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: SC Farense (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SC Farense
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Sporting B Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 24/08 | Felgueiras 1932 Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 16/08 | FC Porto B Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 09/08 | SCU Torreense Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | Portimonense Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Pacos Ferreira Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 03/05 | UD Leiria Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 25/04 | Academico Viseu Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 19/04 | Vizela Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 11/04 | Sporting B Portugal Segunda Liga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
Chaves
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Felgueiras 1932 Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | AVS Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 15/08 | Sporting B Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 08/08 | Academica Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-2 | 1-4 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 15/05 | Maritimo Portugal Segunda Liga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Leixoes Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | Portimonense Portugal Segunda Liga |
2-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 27/04 | UD Oliveirense Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Pacos Ferreira Portugal Segunda Liga |
3-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 11/04 | SCU Torreense Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SC Farense vs Chaves?
According to our model, the most likely result is a SC Farense win (57%). Probabilities: SC Farense 57%, draw 26%, Chaves 17%.
How many goals are expected in SC Farense vs Chaves?
The model expects 2.5 goals (SC Farense 1.69 · Chaves 0.81), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in SC Farense vs Chaves?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.