Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 07/08, 19:00

Prediction: FC Marchfeld Donauauen vs SV Leobendorf

Team pages: FC Marchfeld Donauauen · SV Leobendorf

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.54Total

FC Marchfeld Donauauen2.03

SV Leobendorf1.51

1X2

49% 23% 28%

FC Marchfeld Donauauen Draw SV Leobendorf

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Marchfeld Donauauen 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWLWWDDLW

SV Leobendorf 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLWDLLLD

Head-to-head

FC Marchfeld Donauauen 2–4–0 SV Leobendorf (6 last)

FC Marchfeld Donauauen5-0SV Leobendorf
FC Marchfeld Donauauen1-0SV Leobendorf
SV Leobendorf0-0FC Marchfeld Donauauen
SV Leobendorf2-2FC Marchfeld Donauauen
FC Marchfeld Donauauen1-1SV Leobendorf
FC Marchfeld Donauauen2-2SV Leobendorf

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Marchfeld Donauauen 1565 · SV Leobendorf 1437

	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	Draw	SV Leobendorf
Our model	49%	23%	28%
Market	49%	24%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 3.54 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Marchfeld Donauauen (rating 1565 vs 1437).
H2H favours FC Marchfeld Donauauen: 2-4-0.
Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	SV Leobendorf
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.4	1.5 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.7	0.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.4	2 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0	2.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.80

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
01:48 +12’	1.83	3.80	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Marchfeld Donauauen 2–4–0 SV Leobendorf

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/04/26 Austria Regionalliga Ost	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	5-0 HT 3-0	SV Leobendorf
11/04/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	1-0 HT 0-0	SV Leobendorf
01/10/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SV Leobendorf	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Marchfeld Donauauen
05/04/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SV Leobendorf	2-2 HT 2-1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen
08/09/23 Austria Regionalliga Ost	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	1-1 HT 0-0	SV Leobendorf
11/11/22 Austria Regionalliga Ost	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	2-2 HT 0-0	SV Leobendorf

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	1	1	0	0	5	0	3
2	SV Gloggnitz	1	1	0	0	2	0	3
2	Wiener Sportclub	1	1	0	0	2	0	3
4	SR Fach-Donaufeld	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
4	Oberwart	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
6	FCM Traiskirchen	1	0	1	0	3	3	1
7	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	1	0	1	0	3	3	1
8	Kremser SC	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
8	Parndorf	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
10	SV Donau	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
10	SV Leobendorf	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
12	SC Wiener Viktoria	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
12	SV Horn	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
14	Favoritner AC	1	0	0	1	0	2	0
14	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	1	0	0	1	0	2	0
16	SV Wienerberg	1	0	0	1	0	5	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	SV Leobendorf
Parndorf	1-2 L	1-1 D
FCM Traiskirchen	1-3 L	5-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: SV Leobendorf (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FC Marchfeld Donauauen

LWWLWWDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	4-0	5-0	2	3	W
13/07	Widzew Lodz Europe Friendlies	1-2	3-4	3	2	L
10/07	Rapid Vienna II Europe Friendlies	1-0	2-2	7	0	D
03/07	SC Kalsdorf Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-1	7	1	D
26/06	SC Weiz Europe Friendlies	2-0	3-1	7	0	W
03/06	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	2-0	6	2	W
29/05	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-2	10	4	L
22/05	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	2-1	3	3	W
16/05	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	3-0	6	3	W
08/05	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	1-3	3	5	L

SV Leobendorf

LLWLWDLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	1-1	3	7	D
24/07	SCR Altach Austria Cup	0-0	0-1	0	2	L
18/07	FK Laktasi Europe Friendlies	0-2	1-2	6	3	L
18/07	FK Laktasi Club Friendly List	0-2	1-2	6	3	L
17/07	DJK Kammer Club Friendly List	1-2	3-3	–	–	D
14/07	SC Zwettl Europe Friendlies	0-0	3-0	5	0	W
10/07	Floridsdorfer AC Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-3	2	0	L
03/06	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-1	5-1	12	4	W
29/05	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-3	1	3	L
22/05	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	1	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Marchfeld Donauauen vs SV Leobendorf?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Marchfeld Donauauen win (49%). Probabilities: FC Marchfeld Donauauen 49%, draw 23%, SV Leobendorf 28%.

How many goals are expected in FC Marchfeld Donauauen vs SV Leobendorf?

The model expects 3.54 goals (FC Marchfeld Donauauen 2.03 · SV Leobendorf 1.51), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Marchfeld Donauauen vs SV Leobendorf?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.