Prediction: Liverpool Montevideo (W) vs Montevideo City Torque (W)
Expected goals: 3.53 (Liverpool Montevideo (W) 1.95 · Montevideo City Torque (W) 1.58). The model gives 45% home, 25% draw, 30% away. Over 3 goals (54%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Liverpool Montevideo (W) is 4-1-5 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Montevideo City Torque (W) 5-2-3 over its own. In the last 4 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Liverpool Montevideo (W) and 0 for Montevideo City Torque (W), with 2 draws.
| Liverpool Montevideo (W) | Draw | Montevideo City Torque (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 24% | 31% |
| Market | 45% | 26% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Liverpool Montevideo (W): 2-2-0.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Liverpool Montevideo (W) | Montevideo City Torque (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.7 | 3.1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 5.6 | 2.5 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 1 | 3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Liverpool Montevideo (W) 2–2–0 Montevideo City Torque (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06/25 Uruguay League Women | Liverpool Montevideo (W) | 1-0 | Montevideo City Torque (W) |
| 10/11/24 Uruguay League Women | Liverpool Montevideo (W) | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Montevideo City Torque (W) |
| 12/05/24 Uruguay League Women | Liverpool Montevideo (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Montevideo City Torque (W) |
| 01/10/23 Uruguay League Women | Liverpool Montevideo (W) | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Montevideo City Torque (W) |
Standings · Uruguay League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nacional De Football (W) | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 41 | 1 | 24 |
| 2 | Penarol (W) | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 6 | 21 |
| 3 | Defensor Sporting (W) | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 16 |
| 4 | Montevideo Wanderers (W) | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | Montevideo City Torque (W) | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 9 | 13 |
| 6 | Liverpool Montevideo (W) | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 9 | 13 |
| 7 | Canadian SC (W) | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 29 | 9 |
| 8 | Danubio (W) | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 4 |
| 9 | FC San Jacinto (W) | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 3 |
| 10 | Juventud de Las Piedras (W) | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 47 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Liverpool Montevideo (W) | Montevideo City Torque (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Defensor Sporting (W) | 1-3 L | 0-2 L |
| FC San Jacinto (W) | 4-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Canadian SC (W) | 3-1 W | 7-0 W |
| Nacional De Football (W) | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Montevideo Wanderers (W) | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Penarol (W) | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Danubio (W) | 1-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Juventud de Las Piedras (W) | 7-0 W | 7-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 3 L | 4 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Montevideo City Torque (W) (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Liverpool Montevideo (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Defensor Sporting (W) Uruguay League Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | FC San Jacinto (W) Uruguay League Women |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 14/06 | Canadian SC (W) Uruguay League Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | Nacional De Football (W) Uruguay League Women |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 31/05 | Montevideo Wanderers (W) Uruguay League Women |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 24/05 | Penarol (W) Uruguay League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Danubio (W) Uruguay League Women |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | Juventud de Las Piedras (W) Uruguay League Women |
– | 7-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/11 | Nacional De Football (W) Uruguay League Women |
0-1 | 0-5 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 16/11 | Montevideo Wanderers (W) Uruguay League Women |
2-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
Montevideo City Torque (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Danubio (W) Uruguay League Women |
2-0 | 4-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 21/06 | Canadian SC (W) Uruguay League Women |
– | 7-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/06 | Penarol (W) Uruguay League Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 07/06 | FC San Jacinto (W) Uruguay League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Nacional De Football (W) Uruguay League Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Defensor Sporting (W) Uruguay League Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Juventud de Las Piedras (W) Uruguay League Women |
– | 7-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | Montevideo Wanderers (W) Uruguay League Women |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 02/11 | CS Cerrito (W) Uruguay League Women |
3-1 | 5-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 26/10 | Canadian SC (W) Uruguay League Women |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Liverpool Montevideo (W) vs Montevideo City Torque (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Liverpool Montevideo (W) win (45%). Probabilities: Liverpool Montevideo (W) 45%, draw 25%, Montevideo City Torque (W) 30%.
How many goals are expected in Liverpool Montevideo (W) vs Montevideo City Torque (W)?
The model expects 3.53 goals (Liverpool Montevideo (W) 1.95 · Montevideo City Torque (W) 1.58), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Liverpool Montevideo (W) vs Montevideo City Torque (W)?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.