Football · Austria League 1 Women · 19/09, 20:00
Prediction: SKN St Polten (W) vs FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)
Team pages: SKN St Polten (W) · FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.45Total
SKN St Polten (W)3.23
FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)1.23
1X2
SKN St Polten (W)
Draw
FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
3-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
SKN St Polten (W)
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)
0-4-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
SKN St Polten (W)
6–0
FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)
(6 last)
- FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)1-3SKN St Polten (W)
- SKN St Polten (W)6-0FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)
- FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)0-3SKN St Polten (W)
- SKN St Polten (W)14-0FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)
- SKN St Polten (W)4-0FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)
- FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)0-9SKN St Polten (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SKN St Polten (W) 1618 · FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) 1403
| SKN St Polten (W) | Draw | FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| Market | 94% | 4% | 2% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.45 goals · Bet365 line 5.25 · -0.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 83%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SKN St Polten (W) (rating 1618 vs 1403).
- H2H favours SKN St Polten (W): 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SKN St Polten (W) | FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.2 | 0.2 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 80/20/0% | 0/30/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.2 | 1.3 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.2 | 2.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · SKN St Polten (W) 6–0–0 FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 Austria League 1 Women | FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) | 1-3 HT 1-1 | SKN St Polten (W) |
| 11/10/25 Austria League 1 Women | SKN St Polten (W) | 6-0 HT 3-0 | FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) |
| 19/03/22 Austria League 1 Women | FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) | 0-3 HT 0-1 | SKN St Polten (W) |
| 04/09/21 Austria League 1 Women | SKN St Polten (W) | 14-0 HT 5-0 | FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) |
| 08/05/21 Austria League 1 Women | SKN St Polten (W) | 4-0 HT 0-0 | FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) |
| 01/11/20 Austria League 1 Women | FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) | 0-9 HT 0-5 | SKN St Polten (W) |
Standings · Austria League 1 Women
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SK Sturm Graz (W) | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 4 | 19 |
| 2 | SKN St Polten (W) | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
| 3 | FK Austria Vienna (W) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | First Vienna FC 1894 (W) | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 7 |
| 5 | SCR Altach (W) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 7 |
| 6 | Rapid Vienna (W) | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| 7 | FC Salzburg (W) | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 6 |
| 8 | LASK Linz (W) | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 4 |
| 9 | Kleinmunchen/Blau-Weiss Linz (W) | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 4 |
| 10 | FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 2 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | SKN St Polten (W) | FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) |
|---|---|---|
| First Vienna FC 1894 (W) | 4-1 W | 1-1 D |
| FC Salzburg (W) | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| LASK Linz (W) | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| SCR Altach (W) | 3-0 W | 3-3 D |
| FK Austria Vienna (W) | 1-0 W | 0-5 L |
| SK Sturm Graz (W) | 3-2 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 0 L | 0 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: SKN St Polten (W) (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SKN St Polten (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | First Vienna FC 1894 (W) Austria League 1 Women |
2-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | FC Salzburg (W) Austria League 1 Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 22/08 | LASK Linz (W) Austria League 1 Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 16/08 | SCR Altach (W) Austria League 1 Women |
3-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | FK Austria Vienna (W) Austria League 1 Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | FK Austria Vienna (W) Austria League 1 Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 22/05 | SK Sturm Graz (W) Austria League 1 Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | FC Salzburg (W) Austria League 1 Women |
3-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | FC Salzburg (W) Austria League 1 Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/05 | SK Sturm Graz (W) Austria League 1 Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | FK Austria Vienna (W) Austria League 1 Women |
0-2 | 0-5 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 29/08 | SK Sturm Graz (W) Austria League 1 Women |
0-3 | 1-3 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 23/08 | Kleinmunchen/Blau-Weiss Linz (W) Austria League 1 Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | Rapid Vienna (W) Austria League 1 Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 08/08 | First Vienna FC 1894 (W) Austria League 1 Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | FC Salzburg (W) Austria League 1 Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | LASK Linz (W) Austria League 1 Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Kleinmunchen/Blau-Weiss Linz (W) Austria League 1 Women |
0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | First Vienna FC 1894 (W) Austria League 1 Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | SCR Altach (W) Austria League 1 Women |
1-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SKN St Polten (W) vs FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a SKN St Polten (W) win (86%). Probabilities: SKN St Polten (W) 86%, draw 8%, FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) 6%.
How many goals are expected in SKN St Polten (W) vs FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)?
The model expects 4.45 goals (SKN St Polten (W) 3.23 · FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) 1.23), with a 59% chance of under 5.25 goals.
Will both teams score in SKN St Polten (W) vs FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.