Football · Switzerland Cup · 15/08, 16:00
Prediction: FC Courtetelle vs Basel
Team pages: FC Courtetelle · Basel
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.09Total
FC Courtetelle0.54
Basel2.54
1X2
FC Courtetelle
Draw
Basel
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
FC Courtetelle
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Basel
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Courtetelle 1539 · Basel 1477
| FC Courtetelle | Draw | Basel | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 5% | 15% | 80% |
| Market | 3% | 9% | 88% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.09 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Courtetelle (rating 1539 vs 1477).
- Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Courtetelle | Basel | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.7 | 1.1 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.5 | 2 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 7 / 0 | 3.6 / 0.1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Courtetelle
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Wohlen FC Switzerland 1.Liga Classic |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 06/06 | YF Juventus Switzerland 1.Liga Classic |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 03/06 | YF Juventus Switzerland 1.Liga Classic |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | BSC Old Boys Switzerland 1.Liga Classic |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 23/05 | SV Muttenz Switzerland 1.Liga Classic |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Wohlen FC Switzerland 1.Liga Classic |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 02/05 | Zug 94 Switzerland 1.Liga Classic |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Munsingen Switzerland 1.Liga Classic |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 18/04 | FC Schötz Switzerland 1.Liga Classic |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/04 | FC Bassecourt Switzerland 1.Liga Classic |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Basel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | FC Thun Switzerland Super League |
2-0 | 4-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | FC Lausanne-Sport Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 25/07 | Servette Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Juventus Elite Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 11/07 | Winterthur Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 08/07 | Yverdon Sport FC Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 26/06 | FC Rapperswil-Jona Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | Lugano Switzerland Super League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 14/05 | St Gallen Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 9 | L |
| 10/05 | Young Boys Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Courtetelle vs Basel?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Basel win (84%). Probabilities: FC Courtetelle 4%, draw 12%, Basel 84%.
How many goals are expected in FC Courtetelle vs Basel?
The model expects 3.09 goals (FC Courtetelle 0.54 · Basel 2.54), with a 63% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Courtetelle vs Basel?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.