Football · Switzerland Cup · 15/08, 15:00
Prediction: Bavois vs Servette
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.34Total
Bavois0.67
Servette2.67
1X2
Bavois
Draw
Servette
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Bavois
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Servette
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bavois 1568 · Servette 1529
| Bavois | Draw | Servette | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 6% | 15% | 79% |
| Market | 5% | 12% | 82% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.34 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bavois | Servette | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.3 | 1.9 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.3 | 1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 43/29/29% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.9 | 2.2 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.1 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0.3 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bavois
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | FC Zurich II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 01/08 | AC Bellinzona Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | FC La Sarraz Europe Friendlies |
3-0 | 8-0 | 12 | 0 | W |
| 22/07 | FC Echallens Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 18/07 | Meyrin Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 15/07 | CS Chênois Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 11/07 | FC Portalban Gletterens Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | Kriens Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | SC Cham Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
2-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | FC Kreuzlingen Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
Servette
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 01/08 | FC Zurich Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 25/07 | Basel Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 0 | L |
| 18/07 | St Etienne Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 15/07 | Lyon Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | FC Zurich Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 12/05 | FC Lausanne-Sport Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Lucerne Switzerland Super League |
2-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | Winterthur Switzerland Super League |
3-2 | 5-3 | 4 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bavois vs Servette?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Servette win (81%). Probabilities: Bavois 6%, draw 13%, Servette 81%.
How many goals are expected in Bavois vs Servette?
The model expects 3.34 goals (Bavois 0.67 · Servette 2.67), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Bavois vs Servette?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.