Football · Switzerland 1.Liga Classic · 22/08, 20:00

Prediction: FC Collina d'Oro vs FC Mendrisio

Team pages: FC Collina d'Oro · FC Mendrisio

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.64Total

FC Collina d'Oro1.55

FC Mendrisio1.09

1X2

48% 26% 27%

FC Collina d'Oro Draw FC Mendrisio

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Collina d'Oro 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

DDLLLDWDLD

FC Mendrisio 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWLLWWWDDD

Head-to-head

FC Collina d'Oro 2–1–0 FC Mendrisio (3 last)

FC Collina d'Oro1-1FC Mendrisio
FC Mendrisio1-2FC Collina d'Oro
FC Mendrisio1-3FC Collina d'Oro

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Collina d'Oro 1471 · FC Mendrisio 1507

	FC Collina d'Oro	Draw	FC Mendrisio
Our model	47%	28%	25%
Market	49%	24%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Collina d'Oro: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 12.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Collina d'Oro	FC Mendrisio
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.3	1.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/0/50%	0/57/43%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.5	2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	7.3 / 0.5	5.3 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.75

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
22:06 +10’	1.83	3.75	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Collina d'Oro 2–1–0 FC Mendrisio

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	FC Collina d'Oro	1-1 HT 1-0	FC Mendrisio
08/10/25 Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	FC Mendrisio	1-2 HT 1-2	FC Collina d'Oro
26/03/25 Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	FC Mendrisio	1-3 HT 1-3	FC Collina d'Oro

Standings · Switzerland 1.Liga Classic · 1. Liga Classic 26/27, Group C

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Tuggen	2	2	0	0	6	1	6
2	St Gallen II	2	1	1	0	5	4	4
3	FC Baden	2	1	1	0	4	3	4
4	Gossau	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
5	Winterthur II	2	1	0	1	3	2	3
6	USV Eschen-Mauren	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
7	FC Wettswil-Bonstetten	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
8	FC Dietikon	2	1	0	1	2	3	3
8	FC Thalwil	2	1	0	1	2	3	3
10	FC Freienbach	2	0	2	0	2	2	2
11	FC Kosova	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
11	FC Mendrisio	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
13	AC Taverne	2	0	1	1	3	4	1
14	FC Collina d'Oro	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
15	FC Widnau	2	0	1	1	1	4	1
16	Locarno	2	0	0	2	3	5	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Collina d'Oro	FC Mendrisio
FC Kosova	1-1 D	0-0 D
AC Taverne	0-1 L	1-1 D
FC Tuggen	0-2 L	1-0 W
USV Eschen-Mauren	0-0 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Mendrisio (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Collina d'Oro

DDLLLDWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	FC Kosova Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	1-0	1-1	9	10	D
08/08	FC Thalwil Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	1-2	–	–	L
30/05	FC Baden Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	0-1	2-2	4	9	D
23/05	FC Kosova Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	2-1	–	–	W
17/05	Winterthur II Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	1-1	–	–	D
09/05	St Gallen II Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	0-2	–	–	L
02/05	AC Taverne Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	0-1	–	–	L
25/04	FC Tuggen Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	0-1	0-2	5	5	L
18/04	USV Eschen-Mauren Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	0-0	–	–	D
11/04	FC Mendrisio Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	1-0	1-1	4	7	D

FC Mendrisio

DWLLWWWDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	FC Widnau Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	1-1	–	–	D
08/08	FC Kosova Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	0-0	0-0	2	9	D
30/05	AC Taverne Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	0-0	1-1	7	7	D
23/05	FC Tuggen Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	0-0	1-0	1	5	W
17/05	USV Eschen-Mauren Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	0-0	1-0	8	3	W
09/05	FC Dietikon Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	4-3	–	–	W
02/05	YF Juventus Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	0-1	0-3	2	4	L
25/04	SV Hongg Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	0-1	–	–	L
18/04	FC Widnau Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	0-2	4-2	7	6	W
11/04	FC Collina d'Oro Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	0-1	1-1	3	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Collina d'Oro vs FC Mendrisio?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Collina d'Oro win (48%). Probabilities: FC Collina d'Oro 48%, draw 26%, FC Mendrisio 27%.

How many goals are expected in FC Collina d'Oro vs FC Mendrisio?

The model expects 2.64 goals (FC Collina d'Oro 1.55 · FC Mendrisio 1.09), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Collina d'Oro vs FC Mendrisio?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.