Football · Malta Premier League · 16/08, 20:30
Prediction: Sliema Wanderers vs Hibernians
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.83Total
Sliema Wanderers1.56
Hibernians1.27
1X2
Sliema Wanderers
Draw
Hibernians
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sliema Wanderers
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Hibernians
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sliema Wanderers
2–2–2
Hibernians
(6 last)
- Sliema Wanderers1-1Hibernians
- Sliema Wanderers1-3Hibernians
- Hibernians2-3Sliema Wanderers
- Sliema Wanderers2-3Hibernians
- Sliema Wanderers3-1Hibernians
- Hibernians0-0Sliema Wanderers
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sliema Wanderers 1521 · Hibernians 1454
| Sliema Wanderers | Draw | Hibernians | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 27% | 30% |
| Market | 42% | 29% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sliema Wanderers (rating 1521 vs 1454).
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sliema Wanderers | Hibernians | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.1 | 1 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/80/10% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.8 | 2.6 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.4 | 3.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sliema Wanderers 2–2–2 Hibernians
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/26 Malta Premier League | Sliema Wanderers | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Hibernians |
| 25/01/26 Malta Premier League | Sliema Wanderers | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Hibernians |
| 29/10/25 Malta Premier League | Hibernians | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Sliema Wanderers |
| 31/01/25 Malta Premier League | Sliema Wanderers | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Hibernians |
| 23/11/24 Malta Premier League | Sliema Wanderers | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Hibernians |
| 29/08/24 Malta Premier League | Hibernians | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sliema Wanderers |
Standings · Malta Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Floriana | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Balzan FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 2 | Marsaxlokk FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 4 | Birkirkara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Gzira United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Hamrun Spartans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Hibernians | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Mosta FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sliema Wanderers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Valletta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Saint Patrick FC Zabbar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Birzebbuga | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sliema Wanderers | Hibernians |
|---|---|---|
| Birkirkara | 3-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Tarxien Rainbows FC | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Saint Patrick FC Zabbar | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Mosta FC | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Gzira United | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Floriana | 0-1 L | 1-4 L |
| Valletta | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Sliema Wanderers (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sliema Wanderers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Birkirkara Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 30/04 | Tarxien Rainbows FC Malta Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 26/04 | Saint Patrick FC Zabbar Malta Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 19/04 | Mosta FC Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 14/04 | Birkirkara Malta Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 10/04 | Hibernians Malta Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 14/03 | Gzira United Malta Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 07/03 | Floriana Malta Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 28/02 | Tarxien Rainbows FC Malta Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 21/02 | Valletta Malta Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
Hibernians
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/04 | Saint Patrick FC Zabbar Malta Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 14 | 1 | L |
| 24/04 | Mosta FC Malta Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Birkirkara Malta Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 14/04 | Tarxien Rainbows FC Malta Premier League |
2-2 | 2-3 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 10/04 | Sliema Wanderers Malta Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 14/03 | Naxxar Lions Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 07/03 | Gzira United Malta Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 28/02 | Valletta Malta Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 25/02 | Gzira United Malta FA Trophy |
0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 22/02 | Floriana Malta Premier League |
1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sliema Wanderers vs Hibernians?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sliema Wanderers win (42%). Probabilities: Sliema Wanderers 42%, draw 28%, Hibernians 29%.
How many goals are expected in Sliema Wanderers vs Hibernians?
The model expects 2.83 goals (Sliema Wanderers 1.56 · Hibernians 1.27), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sliema Wanderers vs Hibernians?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.