Football · Switzerland 1.Liga Classic · 04/10, 16:00

Prediction: Winterthur II vs St Gallen II

Team pages: Winterthur II · St Gallen II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.66Total

Winterthur II1.84

St Gallen II1.82

1X2

39% 23% 38%

Winterthur II Draw St Gallen II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Winterthur II 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

DLLLWLWLLW

St Gallen II 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DLWDWLLWWW

Head-to-head

Winterthur II 2–0 St Gallen II (2 last)

Winterthur II3-1St Gallen II
St Gallen II0-1Winterthur II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Winterthur II 1479 · St Gallen II 1541

	Winterthur II	Draw	St Gallen II
Our model	39%	23%	38%
Market	39%	23%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.66 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours St Gallen II (rating 1479 vs 1541).
H2H favours Winterthur II: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Winterthur II	St Gallen II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.3	2.1 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0	1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/100/0%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 7	2 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.3	4.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.90

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.88

2 (0)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.80

Under 3.252.00

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
14:19 +4’	2.30	3.90	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Winterthur II 2–0–0 St Gallen II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	Winterthur II	3-1	St Gallen II
14/09/25 Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	St Gallen II	0-1	Winterthur II

Standings · Switzerland 1.Liga Classic · 1. Liga Classic 26/27, Group C

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Tuggen	8	6	1	1	19	8	19
2	FC Baden	8	5	1	2	17	11	16
3	St Gallen II	8	5	1	2	18	15	16
4	FC Thalwil	8	4	3	1	14	7	15
5	AC Taverne	8	4	2	2	21	11	14
6	FC Kosova	8	3	4	1	14	11	13
7	FC Dietikon	8	3	2	3	12	13	11
8	FC Collina d'Oro	8	3	2	3	7	9	11
9	Winterthur II	7	3	0	4	9	9	9
10	FC Freienbach	8	2	3	3	11	14	9
11	Gossau	8	2	2	4	8	16	8
12	USV Eschen-Mauren	7	2	1	4	8	15	7
13	FC Mendrisio	8	1	4	3	10	12	7
14	Locarno	8	1	3	4	9	11	6
15	FC Wettswil-Bonstetten	8	1	3	4	9	14	6
16	FC Widnau	8	1	2	5	3	13	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Winterthur II	St Gallen II
FC Collina d'Oro	0-1 L	2-0 W
FC Mendrisio	2-1 W	3-1 W
FC Kosova	1-2 L	5-1 W
FC Thalwil	2-0 W	1-5 L
FC Baden	1-2 L	0-3 L
SV Hongg	0-1 L	3-3 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: St Gallen II (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Winterthur II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	FC Freienbach Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	0-0	3-2	4	8	W
13/09	FC Widnau Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	0-0	0-1	9	4	L
05/09	FC Collina d'Oro Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	0-0	0-1	11	4	L
29/08	FC Mendrisio Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	0-0	2-1	4	4	W
22/08	FC Kosova Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	1-2	–	–	L
19/08	FC Thalwil Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	2-0	–	–	W
08/08	FC Baden Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	1-2	–	–	L
30/05	SV Hongg Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	0-1	–	–	L
23/05	FC Widnau Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	1-2	–	–	L
17/05	FC Collina d'Oro Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	1-1	–	–	D

St Gallen II

DLWDWLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	FC Collina d'Oro Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	2-0	–	–	W
20/09	FC Mendrisio Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	1-0	3-1	2	6	W
13/09	FC Kosova Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	1-0	5-1	4	5	W
05/09	FC Thalwil Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	1-5	–	–	L
29/08	FC Baden Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	0-3	–	–	L
22/08	Gossau Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	2-1	–	–	W
18/08	AC Taverne Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	1-1	2-2	7	3	D
08/08	Locarno Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	3-2	2	5	W
29/05	YF Juventus Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	0-2	0-4	4	3	L
23/05	SV Hongg Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	2-1	3-3	1	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Winterthur II vs St Gallen II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Winterthur II win (39%). Probabilities: Winterthur II 39%, draw 23%, St Gallen II 38%.

How many goals are expected in Winterthur II vs St Gallen II?

The model expects 3.66 goals (Winterthur II 1.84 · St Gallen II 1.82), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Winterthur II vs St Gallen II?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.