Football · Switzerland 1.Liga Classic · 03/10, 16:00

Prediction: FC Baden vs AC Taverne

Team pages: FC Baden · AC Taverne

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.18Total

FC Baden1.58

AC Taverne1.6

1X2

37% 25% 38%

FC Baden Draw AC Taverne

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Baden 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LDWDWWWLWL

AC Taverne 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DLLDWLWDWW

Head-to-head

FC Baden 0–2 AC Taverne (2 last)

AC Taverne1-0FC Baden
FC Baden1-2AC Taverne

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Baden 1507 · AC Taverne 1529

	FC Baden	Draw	AC Taverne
Our model	37%	26%	38%
Market	38%	24%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.18 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours AC Taverne: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 12.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Baden	AC Taverne
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.6	2.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1.3	0.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	67/0/33%	50/33/17%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 3.3	1.7 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	7 / 0.3	5.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.75

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.93

2 (0)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 22:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.40▲	Pinn 2.74 ★
X	3.70 → 3.75▲	Bet365 3.75
2	2.45 → 2.35▼	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.9% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
18:53 +7’	2.30	3.70	2.45
22:16 +10’	2.40▲	3.75▲	2.35▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:25 +35’	2.74	3.66	2.14

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Baden 0–0–2 AC Taverne

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	AC Taverne	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Baden
20/09/25 Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	FC Baden	1-2 HT 0-0	AC Taverne

Standings · Switzerland 1.Liga Classic · 1. Liga Classic 26/27, Group C

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Tuggen	8	6	1	1	19	8	19
2	FC Baden	8	5	1	2	17	11	16
3	St Gallen II	8	5	1	2	18	15	16
4	FC Thalwil	8	4	3	1	14	7	15
5	AC Taverne	8	4	2	2	21	11	14
6	FC Kosova	8	3	4	1	14	11	13
7	FC Dietikon	8	3	2	3	12	13	11
8	FC Collina d'Oro	8	3	2	3	7	9	11
9	Winterthur II	7	3	0	4	9	9	9
10	FC Freienbach	8	2	3	3	11	14	9
11	Gossau	8	2	2	4	8	16	8
12	USV Eschen-Mauren	7	2	1	4	8	15	7
13	FC Mendrisio	8	1	4	3	10	12	7
14	Locarno	8	1	3	4	9	11	6
15	FC Wettswil-Bonstetten	8	1	3	4	9	14	6
16	FC Widnau	8	1	2	5	3	13	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Baden	AC Taverne
Locarno	1-3 L	0-0 D
FC Dietikon	2-1 W	3-2 W
FC Tuggen	1-2 L	2-4 L
FC Wettswil-Bonstetten	3-1 W	3-1 W
St Gallen II	3-0 W	2-2 D
USV Eschen-Mauren	3-1 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Baden (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Baden

LDWDWWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Locarno Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	1-3	–	–	L
19/09	FC Dietikon Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	2-1	–	–	W
12/09	FC Tuggen Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	1-2	–	–	L
05/09	FC Wettswil-Bonstetten Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	3-1	–	–	W
29/08	St Gallen II Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	3-0	–	–	W
22/08	USV Eschen-Mauren Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	3-1	–	–	W
14/08	FC Freienbach Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	2-1	2-2	4	10	D
08/08	Winterthur II Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	2-1	–	–	W
30/05	FC Collina d'Oro Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	1-0	2-2	1	9	D
20/05	FC Freienbach Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	0-3	0-3	5	3	L

AC Taverne

DLLDWLWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Gossau Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	1-0	5-0	4	7	W
19/09	FC Widnau Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	2-0	5-0	1	5	W
12/09	Locarno Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
05/09	FC Dietikon Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	3-2	–	–	W
29/08	FC Tuggen Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	2-4	–	–	L
22/08	FC Wettswil-Bonstetten Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	3-1	–	–	W
18/08	St Gallen II Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	1-1	2-2	8	3	D
08/08	USV Eschen-Mauren Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	1-2	–	–	L
06/06	Servette II Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	0-1	0-1	6	8	L
03/06	Servette II Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	1-0	1-1	1	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Baden vs AC Taverne?

According to our model, the most likely result is an AC Taverne win (38%). Probabilities: FC Baden 37%, draw 25%, AC Taverne 38%.

How many goals are expected in FC Baden vs AC Taverne?

The model expects 3.18 goals (FC Baden 1.58 · AC Taverne 1.6), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Baden vs AC Taverne?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.