Prediction: EBK (W) vs HPS (W)
Expected goals: 3.09 (EBK (W) 1.15 · HPS (W) 1.94). The model gives 23% home, 21% draw, 56% away. Under 3 goals (51%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, EBK (W) sits at 8-1-1 (W-D-L), while HPS (W) arrives on a 7-1-2 run.
| EBK (W) | Draw | HPS (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 24% | 55% |
| Market | 24% | 19% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| EBK (W) | HPS (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.2 / 0.8 | 2 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.4 | 2.6 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0.1 | 2.3 / 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
EBK (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | FC Honka (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 01/07 | FC Honka (W) Finland Cup Women |
1-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | JyPK (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 16/06 | EPS (W) Finland Cup Women |
2-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 13/06 | ONS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 05/06 | TPS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | HJK II (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | KTP (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
3-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 11/04 | ONS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
4-0 | 6-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
HPS (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | PK-35 Vantaa (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 01/07 | SJK-J (W) Finland Cup Women |
0-1 | 5-1 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 28/06 | Aland United (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 13/06 | IF Gnistan (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 29/05 | KuPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-2 | 3-2 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 22/05 | Ilves (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | HJK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 10/05 | VIFK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | PK-35 Vantaa (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Aland United (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in EBK (W) vs HPS (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an HPS (W) win (56%). Probabilities: EBK (W) 23%, draw 21%, HPS (W) 56%.
How many goals are expected in EBK (W) vs HPS (W)?
The model expects 3.09 goals (EBK (W) 1.15 · HPS (W) 1.94), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in EBK (W) vs HPS (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

