Football · Finland Cup Women · 08/07, 18:00

Prediction: EBK (W) vs HPS (W)

Expected goals: 3.09 (EBK (W) 1.15 · HPS (W) 1.94). The model gives 23% home, 21% draw, 56% away. Under 3 goals (51%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Over its last 10 matches, EBK (W) sits at 8-1-1 (W-D-L), while HPS (W) arrives on a 7-1-2 run.

56%2
23% 21% 56%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · EBK (W) 1597 · HPS (W) 1558
EBK (W)DrawHPS (W)
Our model21%24%55%
Market24%19%57%
Estimated total (ours) 3.09 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.09EBK (W) 1.15 · HPS (W) 1.94
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 51%
BTTSYes · 56%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

EBK (W)HPS (W)
Goals for / against (FT)3.2 / 0.82 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)1.3 / 0.50.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.42.6 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.2 / 0.12.3 / 0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

EBK (W)

WWWWLWWWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/07 FC Honka (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-1 2-2 32 D
01/07 FC Honka (W)
Finland Cup Women
1-1 4-1 73 W
27/06 JyPK (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 3-0 50 W
16/06 EPS (W)
Finland Cup Women
2-0 4-1 70 W
13/06 ONS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 2-0 62 W
05/06 TPS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-1 0-2 44 L
31/05 HJK II (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-0 4-0 35 W
23/05 KTP (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
3-1 4-1 55 W
17/05 PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
2-1 3-1 20 W
11/04 ONS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
4-0 6-0 22 W

HPS (W)

WWWLLWWDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 PK-35 Vantaa (W)
Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women
0-0 1-0 81 W
01/07 SJK-J (W)
Finland Cup Women
0-1 5-1 110 W
28/06 Aland United (W)
Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women
0-0 0-0 72 D
13/06 IF Gnistan (W)
Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women
1-0 4-0 93 W
29/05 KuPS (W)
Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women
1-2 3-2 16 W
22/05 Ilves (W)
Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women
0-0 0-1 62 L
17/05 HJK (W)
Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women
0-2 1-2 60 L
10/05 VIFK (W)
Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women
1-0 3-2 51 W
03/05 PK-35 Vantaa (W)
Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women
1-0 2-0 103 W
25/04 Aland United (W)
Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women
0-0 1-0 15 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in EBK (W) vs HPS (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an HPS (W) win (56%). Probabilities: EBK (W) 23%, draw 21%, HPS (W) 56%.

How many goals are expected in EBK (W) vs HPS (W)?

The model expects 3.09 goals (EBK (W) 1.15 · HPS (W) 1.94), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in EBK (W) vs HPS (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.