Prediction: KuPS (W) vs HJK (W)
Expected goals: 3.67 (KuPS (W) 1.57 · HJK (W) 2.1). The model gives 28% home, 23% draw, 49% away. Over 3 goals (55%) and both teams to score (60%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, KuPS (W) sits at 8-0-2 (W-D-L), while HJK (W) arrives on a 9-0-1 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for KuPS (W) and 3 for HJK (W).
| KuPS (W) | Draw | HJK (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 23% | 49% |
| Market | 28% | 24% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| KuPS (W) | HJK (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 1.3 | 3.5 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.6 | 2.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 90/0/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6 | 3 / 6.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0 | 1.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · KuPS (W) 3–0–3 HJK (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/26 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women | HJK (W) | 2-0 HT 2-0 | KuPS (W) |
| 02/05/26 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women | KuPS (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | HJK (W) |
| 21/03/26 Finland Cup Women | HJK (W) | 1-2 HT 0-2 | KuPS (W) |
| 12/10/25 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women | HJK (W) | 3-2 HT 1-0 | KuPS (W) |
| 15/08/25 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women | KuPS (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | HJK (W) |
| 28/06/25 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women | HJK (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | KuPS (W) |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | KuPS (W) | HJK (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Aland United (W) | 2-1 W | 3-2 W |
| VIFK (W) | 5-1 W | 4-0 W |
| IF Gnistan (W) | 2-0 W | 5-0 W |
| PK-35 Vantaa (W) | 2-1 W | 4-1 W |
| HPS (W) | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Ilves (W) | 3-2 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 1 L | 6 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: HJK (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
KuPS (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | HJK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 01/07 | Aland United (W) Finland Cup Women |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 27/06 | VIFK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
2-0 | 5-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 17/06 | IF Gnistan (W) Finland Cup Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 12/06 | PK-35 Vantaa (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 29/05 | HPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
2-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 22/05 | IF Gnistan (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | Aland United (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
2-1 | 6-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Ilves (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | HJK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
HJK (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | KuPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 30/06 | PK-35 Vantaa (W) Finland Cup Women |
3-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Ilves (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
3-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 15/06 | HJK U18 (W) Finland Cup Women |
5-1 | 6-1 | 13 | 0 | W |
| 12/06 | Aland United (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
2-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 29/05 | VIFK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | PK-35 Vantaa (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | HPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | IF Gnistan (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | KuPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in KuPS (W) vs HJK (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an HJK (W) win (49%). Probabilities: KuPS (W) 28%, draw 23%, HJK (W) 49%.
How many goals are expected in KuPS (W) vs HJK (W)?
The model expects 3.67 goals (KuPS (W) 1.57 · HJK (W) 2.1), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in KuPS (W) vs HJK (W)?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.