Football · Czechia Div 1 Women · 22/08, 16:00
Prediction: Sparta Prague (W) vs Slovan Liberec (W)
Team pages: Slovan Liberec (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.21Total
Sparta Prague (W)3.1
Slovan Liberec (W)1.1
1X2
Sparta Prague (W)
Draw
Slovan Liberec (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
3-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sparta Prague (W)
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Slovan Liberec (W)
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sparta Prague (W)
6–0
Slovan Liberec (W)
(6 last)
- Slovan Liberec (W)0-1Sparta Prague (W)
- Sparta Prague (W)7-0Slovan Liberec (W)
- Sparta Prague (W)5-2Slovan Liberec (W)
- Sparta Prague (W)4-1Slovan Liberec (W)
- Slovan Liberec (W)0-5Sparta Prague (W)
- Slovan Liberec (W)2-8Sparta Prague (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sparta Prague (W) 1603 · Slovan Liberec (W) 1491
| Sparta Prague (W) | Draw | Slovan Liberec (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| Market | 85% | 10% | 4% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.21 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sparta Prague (W) (rating 1603 vs 1491).
- H2H favours Sparta Prague (W): 6-0-0.
- High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sparta Prague (W) | Slovan Liberec (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1 | 1.8 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 1.2 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 60/10/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.4 | 4.4 / 8.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0.1 | 1.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sparta Prague (W) 6–0–0 Slovan Liberec (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Czechia Div 1 Women | Slovan Liberec (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Sparta Prague (W) |
| 29/03/26 Czechia Div 1 Women | Sparta Prague (W) | 7-0 HT 4-0 | Slovan Liberec (W) |
| 07/02/26 Czechia Cup Women | Sparta Prague (W) | 5-2 HT 2-1 | Slovan Liberec (W) |
| 08/11/25 Czechia Div 1 Women | Sparta Prague (W) | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Slovan Liberec (W) |
| 06/09/25 Czechia Div 1 Women | Slovan Liberec (W) | 0-5 HT 0-3 | Sparta Prague (W) |
| 11/05/25 Czechia Div 1 Women | Slovan Liberec (W) | 2-8 HT 2-2 | Sparta Prague (W) |
Standings · Czechia Div 1 Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Prague (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Sparta Prague (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Slovan Liberec (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Slovacko (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 4 | Banik Ostrava (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 6 | Lokomotiva BH Herspice (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 7 | Prague Raptors (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 8 | Viktoria Plzen (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sparta Prague (W) | Slovan Liberec (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Slavia Prague (W) | 0-0 D | 0-4 L |
| Slovacko (W) | 4-1 W | 4-2 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Sparta Prague (W) (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sparta Prague (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Prague Raptors (W) Czechia Div 1 Women |
3-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Slask Wroclaw (W) Women’s Friendly |
0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 29/05 | Slavia Prague (W) Czechia Cup Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Slovacko (W) Czechia Div 1 Women |
1-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Slavia Prague (W) Czechia Div 1 Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Slovan Liberec (W) Czechia Div 1 Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Slovacko (W) Czechia Cup Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Slovacko (W) Czechia Div 1 Women |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 06/04 | Slavia Prague (W) Czechia Div 1 Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 02/04 | Hammarby (W) UEFA Women's Europa Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
Slovan Liberec (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Lokomotiva BH Herspice (W) Czechia Div 1 Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 16 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Slavia Prague (W) Czechia Div 1 Women |
0-3 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Slovacko (W) Czechia Div 1 Women |
4-1 | 4-2 | 12 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Sparta Prague (W) Czechia Div 1 Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Slavia Prague (W) Czechia Div 1 Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 03/04 | Slovacko (W) Czechia Div 1 Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 29/03 | Sparta Prague (W) Czechia Div 1 Women |
0-4 | 0-7 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 21/03 | Banik Ostrava (W) Czechia Div 1 Women |
4-0 | 6-0 | 13 | 1 | W |
| 15/03 | Slovacko (W) Czechia Div 1 Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 22/02 | Viktoria Plzen (W) Czechia Div 1 Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sparta Prague (W) vs Slovan Liberec (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sparta Prague (W) win (81%). Probabilities: Sparta Prague (W) 81%, draw 12%, Slovan Liberec (W) 7%.
How many goals are expected in Sparta Prague (W) vs Slovan Liberec (W)?
The model expects 4.21 goals (Sparta Prague (W) 3.1 · Slovan Liberec (W) 1.1), with a 51% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Sparta Prague (W) vs Slovan Liberec (W)?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.