Football · Czechia Div 1 Women · 29/08, 12:45

Prediction: Slovacko (W) vs Sparta Prague (W)

Team pages: Slovacko (W) · Sparta Prague (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.79Total

Slovacko (W)0.89

Sparta Prague (W)2.89

1X2

8% 14% 79%

Slovacko (W) Draw Sparta Prague (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

0-2 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Slovacko (W) 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DWLLLLLLDW

Sparta Prague (W) 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Slovacko (W) 0–6 Sparta Prague (W) (6 last)

Sparta Prague (W)4-1Slovacko (W)
Slovacko (W)1-3Sparta Prague (W)
Slovacko (W)1-4Sparta Prague (W)
Slovacko (W)0-2Sparta Prague (W)
Sparta Prague (W)2-0Slovacko (W)
Sparta Prague (W)4-2Slovacko (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Slovacko (W) 1427 · Sparta Prague (W) 1613

	Slovacko (W)	Draw	Sparta Prague (W)
Our model	8%	14%	78%
Market	8%	13%	79%

Estimated total (ours) 3.79 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sparta Prague (W) (rating 1427 vs 1613).
H2H favours Sparta Prague (W): 6-0-0.
High corners: 13 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Slovacko (W)	Sparta Prague (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2.6	3.1 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.5	1.2 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/10/80%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 5.7	3.9 / 7.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.7 / 0	2.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

112.00

X7.00

21.14

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.25)1.82

2 (-2.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.85

Under 3.51.95

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00
X	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00
2	1.14 → 1.14	Bet365 1.14

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.2%

Time*	1	X	2
18:21 +9’	12.00	7.00	1.14

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Slovacko (W) 0–0–6 Sparta Prague (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Czechia Div 1 Women	Sparta Prague (W)	4-1 HT 1-0	Slovacko (W)
02/05/26 Czech Cup Women	Slovacko (W)	1-3 HT 1-1	Sparta Prague (W)
26/04/26 Czechia Div 1 Women	Slovacko (W)	1-4 HT 0-2	Sparta Prague (W)
02/11/25 Czechia Div 1 Women	Slovacko (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	Sparta Prague (W)
22/08/25 Czechia Div 1 Women	Sparta Prague (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Slovacko (W)
24/05/25 Czechia Div 1 Women	Sparta Prague (W)	4-2 HT 2-0	Slovacko (W)

Standings · Czechia Div 1 Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Slavia Prague (W)	2	2	0	0	14	0	6
2	Sparta Prague (W)	2	2	0	0	7	1	6
3	Slovacko (W)	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
4	Slovan Liberec (W)	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
5	Prague Raptors (W)	2	1	0	1	1	4	3
6	Banik Ostrava (W)	2	0	1	1	1	7	1
7	Lokomotiva BH Herspice (W)	2	0	0	2	0	3	0
8	Viktoria Plzen (W)	2	0	0	2	0	9	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Slovacko (W)	Sparta Prague (W)
Banik Ostrava (W)	1-1 D	4-0 W
Slovan Liberec (W)	2-4 L	3-1 W
Slavia Prague (W)	1-6 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Sparta Prague (W) (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Slovacko (W)

DWLLLLLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Lokomotiva BH Herspice (W) Czechia Div 1 Women	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
16/08	Banik Ostrava (W) Czechia Div 1 Women	0-1	1-1	12	1	D
24/05	Sparta Prague (W) Czechia Div 1 Women	0-1	1-4	4	2	L
17/05	Slovan Liberec (W) Czechia Div 1 Women	1-4	2-4	4	1	L
10/05	Slavia Prague (W) Czechia Div 1 Women	0-2	1-6	2	1	L
26/04	Sparta Prague (W) Czechia Div 1 Women	0-2	1-4	5	3	L
03/04	Slovan Liberec (W) Czechia Div 1 Women	0-1	1-2	11	2	L
28/03	Slavia Prague (W) Czechia Div 1 Women	1-2	1-3	–	–	L
22/03	FC Prague (W) Czechia Div 1 Women	3-1	6-1	–	–	W
15/03	Slovan Liberec (W) Czechia Div 1 Women	0-1	1-1	2	2	D

Sparta Prague (W)

WWWLWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Slovan Liberec (W) Czechia Div 1 Women	0-0	3-1	–	–	W
15/08	Prague Raptors (W) Czechia Div 1 Women	3-0	4-0	–	–	W
24/05	Slovacko (W) Czechia Div 1 Women	1-0	4-1	8	2	W
16/05	Slavia Prague (W) Czechia Div 1 Women	0-0	2-0	3	2	W
09/05	Slovan Liberec (W) Czechia Div 1 Women	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
26/04	Slovacko (W) Czechia Div 1 Women	2-0	4-1	5	3	W
06/04	Slavia Prague (W) Czechia Div 1 Women	0-1	0-2	6	6	L
29/03	Slovan Liberec (W) Czechia Div 1 Women	4-0	7-0	9	1	W
21/03	Slavia Prague (W) Czechia Div 1 Women	0-0	2-1	5	6	W
14/03	Banik Ostrava (W) Czechia Div 1 Women	2-0	4-0	15	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Slovacko (W) vs Sparta Prague (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sparta Prague (W) win (79%). Probabilities: Slovacko (W) 8%, draw 14%, Sparta Prague (W) 79%.

How many goals are expected in Slovacko (W) vs Sparta Prague (W)?

The model expects 3.79 goals (Slovacko (W) 0.89 · Sparta Prague (W) 2.89), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Slovacko (W) vs Sparta Prague (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.