Football · Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 · 27/09, 12:00

Prediction: Poblense vs Valencia B

Team pages: Poblense · Valencia B

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.56Total
Poblense1.48
Valencia B1.08
1X2
45% 29% 26%
Poblense Draw Valencia B
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Poblense 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
DDLWWWLLLL
Valencia B 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
DWLWWWLDLL
Head-to-head
Poblense 1–1–0 Valencia B (2 last)
  • Valencia B2-2Poblense
  • Poblense1-0Valencia B
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Poblense 1512 · Valencia B 1506
PoblenseDrawValencia B
Our model45%29%27%
Market45%29%26%
Estimated total (ours) 2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

PoblenseValencia B
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.42.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 1.10.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/50/50%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 43 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 0.46.6 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Poblense 1–1–0 Valencia B

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DateHomeScoreAway
15/02/26
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
Valencia B2-2
HT 2-1
Poblense
16/11/25
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
Poblense1-0
HT 0-0
Valencia B

Standings · Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 · Segunda Federacion 26/27, Group 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 La Nucia 3300 719
2 UD Castellonense 3300 529
3 Orihuela 3210 537
4 Castellon B 3201 636
4 UCAM Murcia CF 3201 636
6 Deportiva Minera 3120 325
7 Mallorca B 3120 215
8 CF Intercity 3120 435
9 Cieza 3111 224
10 Alcoyano 3111 344
11 Yeclano 3111 224
12 Elche Ilicitano 3111 224
13 CF Lorca Deportiva 3021 122
14 Valencia B 3012 241
15 SCR Pena Deportiva 3012 131
16 Atletico Baleares 3012 371
17 Poblense 3003 150
18 Real Murcia B 3003 280

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPoblenseValencia B
Terrassa 3-2 W 5-1 W
UE Sant Andreu 0-2 L 3-1 W
CE Andratx 0-0 D 3-5 L
Espanyol B 0-0 D 3-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 1 L 3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Valencia B (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Poblense

DDLWWWLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Alcoyano
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
0-2 0-2 25 L
13/09 UD Castellonense
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
1-1 1-2 –– L
06/09 La Nucia
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
0-1 0-1 43 L
03/05 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
1-2 1-3 41 L
26/04 UE Porreres
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
1-1 3-1 49 W
19/04 Terrassa
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
1-2 3-2 109 W
12/04 Torrent C.F.
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
1-1 2-1 –– W
05/04 UE Sant Andreu
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
0-1 0-2 04 L
29/03 CE Andratx
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
0-0 0-0 52 D
22/03 Espanyol B
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
0-0 0-0 34 D

Valencia B

DWLWWWLDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Castellon B
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
1-0 1-2 47 L
13/09 UCAM Murcia CF
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
0-0 0-1 78 L
06/09 Mallorca B
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
1-0 1-1 65 D
03/05 UE Olot
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
0-1 0-2 42 L
26/04 Espanyol B
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
2-0 3-0 27 W
18/04 Castellon B
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
2-0 4-0 39 W
12/04 UE Sant Andreu
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
1-0 3-1 69 W
05/04 CE Andratx
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
1-3 3-5 –– L
28/03 Terrassa
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
1-1 5-1 27 W
22/03 Atletic Lleida
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
0-0 1-1 –– D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Poblense vs Valencia B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Poblense win (45%). Probabilities: Poblense 45%, draw 29%, Valencia B 26%.

How many goals are expected in Poblense vs Valencia B?

The model expects 2.56 goals (Poblense 1.48 · Valencia B 1.08), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Poblense vs Valencia B?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.