Football · Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 · 04/10, 12:00
Prediction: Atletico Baleares vs Poblense
Team pages: Poblense
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.33Total
Atletico Baleares1.47
Poblense0.86
1X2
Atletico Baleares
Draw
Poblense
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Atletico Baleares
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Poblense
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Atletico Baleares
3–2–1
Poblense
(6 last)
- Poblense1-0Atletico Baleares
- Poblense0-0Atletico Baleares
- Atletico Baleares2-1Poblense
- Atletico Baleares1-0Poblense
- Atletico Baleares2-1Poblense
- Poblense1-1Atletico Baleares
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Atletico Baleares 1575 · Poblense 1510
| Atletico Baleares | Draw | Poblense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 29% | 21% |
| Market | 51% | 28% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.33 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atletico Baleares (rating 1575 vs 1510).
- H2H favours Atletico Baleares: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atletico Baleares | Poblense | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5.7 | 1.5 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.3 | 4.8 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Baleares 3–2–1 Poblense
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08/26 Europe Friendlies | Poblense | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Atletico Baleares |
| 22/02/26 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 | Poblense | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Atletico Baleares |
| 23/11/25 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 | Atletico Baleares | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Poblense |
| 02/08/25 Europe Friendlies | Atletico Baleares | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Poblense |
| 21/08/24 Europe Friendlies | Atletico Baleares | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Poblense |
| 14/03/21 Spain Segunda B Group 5 | Poblense | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Atletico Baleares |
Standings · Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 · Segunda Federacion 26/27, Group 3
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Nucia | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 | Castellon B | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | UD Castellonense | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | CF Intercity | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 5 | Alcoyano | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | Yeclano | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Orihuela | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
| 8 | UCAM Murcia CF | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 9 | Deportiva Minera | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| 10 | Mallorca B | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 11 | Cieza | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 12 | CF Lorca Deportiva | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 13 | Elche Ilicitano | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 14 | Poblense | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 15 | Real Murcia B | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| 16 | Atletico Baleares | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
| 17 | Valencia B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 18 | SCR Pena Deportiva | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atletico Baleares | Poblense |
|---|---|---|
| Terrassa | 3-1 W | 3-2 W |
| UE Porreres | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| CE Andratx | 5-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Ibiza Islas Pitiusas | 3-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Atletico Baleares (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atletico Baleares
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Cieza Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 20/09 | UCAM Murcia CF Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 |
0-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 13/09 | CF Intercity Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 06/09 | Yeclano Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 02/05 | Espanyol B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Terrassa Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | UE Porreres Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 12/04 | CE Andratx Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 |
3-1 | 5-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 05/04 | Ibiza Islas Pitiusas Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 29/03 | UE Olot Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 5 | W |
Poblense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Valencia B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 20/09 | Alcoyano Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | UD Castellonense Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 06/09 | La Nucia Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Ibiza Islas Pitiusas Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | UE Porreres Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 19/04 | Terrassa Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 |
1-2 | 3-2 | 10 | 9 | W |
| 12/04 | Torrent C.F. Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 05/04 | UE Sant Andreu Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 29/03 | CE Andratx Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atletico Baleares vs Poblense?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico Baleares win (51%). Probabilities: Atletico Baleares 51%, draw 28%, Poblense 21%.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Baleares vs Poblense?
The model expects 2.33 goals (Atletico Baleares 1.47 · Poblense 0.86), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Atletico Baleares vs Poblense?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.