Football · Netherlands Eredivisie Women · 15/11, 16:45
Prediction: Feyenoord (W) vs Heerenveen (W)
Team pages: Feyenoord (W) · Heerenveen (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.51Total
Feyenoord (W)2.17
Heerenveen (W)1.34
1X2
Feyenoord (W)
Draw
Heerenveen (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Feyenoord (W)
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Heerenveen (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Feyenoord (W)
5–1
Heerenveen (W)
(6 last)
- Heerenveen (W)1-2Feyenoord (W)
- Heerenveen (W)2-1Feyenoord (W)
- Feyenoord (W)6-1Heerenveen (W)
- Heerenveen (W)0-3Feyenoord (W)
- Feyenoord (W)1-0Heerenveen (W)
- Heerenveen (W)0-3Feyenoord (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Feyenoord (W) 1457 · Heerenveen (W) 1498
| Feyenoord (W) | Draw | Heerenveen (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 22% | 22% |
| Market | 55% | 22% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.51 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Heerenveen (W) (rating 1457 vs 1498).
- H2H favours Feyenoord (W): 5-0-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Feyenoord (W) | Heerenveen (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2.1 | 1.5 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.1 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 70/10/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 6.4 | 1.6 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0 | 1.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Feyenoord (W) 5–0–1 Heerenveen (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/26 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | Heerenveen (W) | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Feyenoord (W) |
| 29/03/26 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | Heerenveen (W) | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Feyenoord (W) |
| 02/11/25 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | Feyenoord (W) | 6-1 HT 2-1 | Heerenveen (W) |
| 14/03/25 Netherlands Cup Women | Heerenveen (W) | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Feyenoord (W) |
| 19/01/25 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | Feyenoord (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Heerenveen (W) |
| 02/11/24 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | Heerenveen (W) | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Feyenoord (W) |
Standings · Netherlands Eredivisie Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Twente (W) | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 6 | 22 |
| 2 | Ajax (W) | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | PSV (W) | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 11 | 19 |
| 4 | De Graafschap (W) | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 15 |
| 5 | VV Alkmaar (W) | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 12 |
| 6 | PEC Zwolle (W) | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 11 |
| 7 | Heerenveen (W) | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 18 | 11 |
| 8 | Feyenoord (W) | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 9 |
| 9 | ADO Den Haag (W) | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 7 |
| 10 | FC Utrecht (W) | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Feyenoord (W) | Heerenveen (W) |
|---|---|---|
| ADO Den Haag (W) | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| De Graafschap (W) | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Ajax (W) | 1-4 L | 3-1 W |
| PEC Zwolle (W) | 2-3 L | 2-2 D |
| FC Utrecht (W) | 3-0 W | 2-0 W |
| FC Twente (W) | 0-4 L | 1-5 L |
| PSV (W) | 0-6 L | 2-5 L |
| VV Alkmaar (W) | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 6 L | 3 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Heerenveen (W) (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Feyenoord (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | ADO Den Haag (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 18/10 | De Graafschap (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 04/10 | Ajax (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 26/09 | PEC Zwolle (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
2-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 19/09 | FC Utrecht (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 13/09 | FC Twente (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | PSV (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-2 | 0-6 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 22/08 | VV Alkmaar (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | Heerenveen (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 16 | 2 | W |
| 22/05 | NAC (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 15 | 1 | W |
Heerenveen (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | PSV (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-1 | 2-5 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 25/10 | VV Alkmaar (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 04/10 | PEC Zwolle (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 27/09 | FC Utrecht (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 20/09 | ADO Den Haag (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 13/09 | Ajax (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 06/09 | FC Twente (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-3 | 1-5 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 23/08 | De Graafschap (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 16/08 | Feyenoord (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 22/05 | Ajax (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Feyenoord (W) vs Heerenveen (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Feyenoord (W) win (55%). Probabilities: Feyenoord (W) 55%, draw 22%, Heerenveen (W) 22%.
How many goals are expected in Feyenoord (W) vs Heerenveen (W)?
The model expects 3.51 goals (Feyenoord (W) 2.17 · Heerenveen (W) 1.34), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Feyenoord (W) vs Heerenveen (W)?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.