Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 05/09, 10:15

Prediction: Mladá Boleslav B vs SK Sokol Zapy

Team pages: Mladá Boleslav B · SK Sokol Zapy

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.05Total

Mladá Boleslav B1.45

SK Sokol Zapy1.6

1X2

34% 25% 40%

Mladá Boleslav B Draw SK Sokol Zapy

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Mladá Boleslav B 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWDLLWWWLW

SK Sokol Zapy 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWLDWWWD

Head-to-head

Mladá Boleslav B 1–1–4 SK Sokol Zapy (6 last)

SK Sokol Zapy4-0Mladá Boleslav B
Mladá Boleslav B0-2SK Sokol Zapy
SK Sokol Zapy2-2Mladá Boleslav B
Mladá Boleslav B2-1SK Sokol Zapy
SK Sokol Zapy2-1Mladá Boleslav B
Mladá Boleslav B0-1SK Sokol Zapy

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mladá Boleslav B 1518 · SK Sokol Zapy 1561

	Mladá Boleslav B	Draw	SK Sokol Zapy
Our model	34%	26%	40%
Market	34%	25%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 3.05 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Sokol Zapy (rating 1518 vs 1561).
H2H favours SK Sokol Zapy: 4-1-1.
High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Mladá Boleslav B	SK Sokol Zapy
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 0.9	2.6 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.2	1.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 5	4.2 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.3	3.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.60

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.60▼	Pinn 2.61
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.15 → 2.20▲	Pinn 2.38 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:39 +3’	2.63	3.60	2.15
15:17 +22’	2.60▼	3.60	2.20▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:39	2.61	3.33	2.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Mladá Boleslav B 1–1–4 SK Sokol Zapy

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/05/26 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Sokol Zapy	4-0 HT 2-0	Mladá Boleslav B
22/11/25 Czechia 3. Liga	Mladá Boleslav B	0-2 HT 0-1	SK Sokol Zapy
04/05/25 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Sokol Zapy	2-2 HT 2-1	Mladá Boleslav B
05/10/24 Czechia 3. Liga	Mladá Boleslav B	2-1 HT 1-1	SK Sokol Zapy
03/04/24 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Sokol Zapy	2-1 HT 1-0	Mladá Boleslav B
06/08/23 Czechia 3. Liga	Mladá Boleslav B	0-1 HT 0-1	SK Sokol Zapy

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	6	5	1	0	11	0	16
2	Frydek Mistek	6	4	1	1	11	5	13
3	FC Brno II	6	4	1	1	16	13	13
4	TJ Unie Hlubina	6	4	0	2	21	13	12
5	Sigma Olomouc B	6	4	0	2	13	6	12
6	SK Unicov	6	4	0	2	11	8	12
7	Slovacko II	6	3	2	1	12	7	11
8	CSK Uhersky Brod	6	3	1	2	9	7	10
9	SFK Vrchovina	6	3	1	2	6	8	10
10	FC Trinity Zlin B	6	2	3	1	6	5	9
11	MFK Vitkovice	6	2	2	2	7	7	8
12	MFK Karvina B	6	2	1	3	8	10	7
13	SK Hranice	6	2	0	4	8	7	6
14	FK Hodonin	6	1	2	3	7	10	5
15	FK Blansko	6	0	3	3	8	17	3
16	Polanka	6	0	2	4	3	7	2
17	MFK Havirov	6	0	2	4	4	15	2
18	FC Vsetin	6	0	0	6	4	20	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Mladá Boleslav B	SK Sokol Zapy
Velke Hamry	3-0 W	2-0 W
FK Neratovice-Byskovice	1-2 L	6-0 W
SK Sokol Brozany	1-1 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Mladá Boleslav B (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mladá Boleslav B

DWDLLWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	3-0	2	2	W
22/08	FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
15/08	FK Horni Redice Czechia 3. Liga	4-0	6-0	5	1	W
08/08	MFK Chrudim Czechia 3. Liga	5-1	6-1	3	8	W
06/06	Usti N Orlici Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	3-0	4	2	W
30/05	FK Teplice B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-2	10	5	L
24/05	Varnsdorf Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
20/05	SK Sokol Brozany Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	6	7	D
16/05	Slovan Velvary Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
09/05	Banik Most-Sous Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	5	4	D

SK Sokol Zapy

LWWWLDWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	FK Jablonec B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	6	6	D
15/08	Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
09/08	FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga	4-0	6-0	6	5	W
06/06	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	5-0	7	1	W
30/05	Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	9	6	D
24/05	Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	2-4	6	1	L
21/05	Arsenal Ceska Lipa Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	5	5	W
10/05	FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-1	7	3	W
06/05	Mladá Boleslav B Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	4-0	12	0	W
03/05	SK Sokol Brozany Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	4	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mladá Boleslav B vs SK Sokol Zapy?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SK Sokol Zapy win (40%). Probabilities: Mladá Boleslav B 34%, draw 25%, SK Sokol Zapy 40%.

How many goals are expected in Mladá Boleslav B vs SK Sokol Zapy?

The model expects 3.05 goals (Mladá Boleslav B 1.45 · SK Sokol Zapy 1.6), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Mladá Boleslav B vs SK Sokol Zapy?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.