Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 16/08, 10:15

Prediction: Pardubice B vs Banik Most-Sous

Team pages: Pardubice B · Banik Most-Sous

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.03Total

Pardubice B1.55

Banik Most-Sous1.48

1X2

39% 26% 36%

Pardubice B Draw Banik Most-Sous

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Pardubice B 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Banik Most-Sous 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Pardubice B 2–3–1 Banik Most-Sous (6 last)

Pardubice B2-2Banik Most-Sous
Banik Most-Sous2-1Pardubice B
Pardubice B1-0Banik Most-Sous
Banik Most-Sous0-1Pardubice B
Pardubice B1-1Banik Most-Sous
Banik Most-Sous1-1Pardubice B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pardubice B 1525 · Banik Most-Sous 1558

	Pardubice B	Draw	Banik Most-Sous
Our model	38%	26%	35%
Market	39%	25%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.03 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Pardubice B: 2-3-1.
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Pardubice B	Banik Most-Sous
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 2	1.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1	1.1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 6.2	0.5 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	4.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.60

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Pinn 2.49 ★
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
03:24 +2’	2.30	3.60	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:08 +16’	2.49	3.36	2.47

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Pardubice B 2–3–1 Banik Most-Sous

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Czechia 3. Liga	Pardubice B	2-2 HT 2-1	Banik Most-Sous
09/08/25 Czechia 3. Liga	Banik Most-Sous	2-1 HT 2-0	Pardubice B
29/03/25 Czechia 3. Liga	Pardubice B	1-0 HT 1-0	Banik Most-Sous
31/08/24 Czechia 3. Liga	Banik Most-Sous	0-1 HT 0-0	Pardubice B
02/03/24 Czechia 3. Liga	Pardubice B	1-1 HT 1-1	Banik Most-Sous
05/08/23 Czechia 3. Liga	Banik Most-Sous	1-1 HT 1-1	Pardubice B

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	TJ Unie Hlubina	2	2	0	0	12	4	6
2	Sigma Olomouc B	2	2	0	0	7	1	6
3	SK Artis Brno B	2	2	0	0	4	0	6
4	SK Unicov	2	2	0	0	4	2	6
5	FC Trinity Zlin B	2	2	0	0	3	1	6
6	Frydek Mistek	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
7	Slovacko II	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
7	CSK Uhersky Brod	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
7	MFK Karvina B	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
10	FK Blansko	2	0	2	0	5	5	2
11	MFK Havirov	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
12	FK Hodonin	2	0	1	1	4	6	1
13	MFK Vitkovice	2	0	1	1	2	5	1
13	SFK Vrchovina	2	0	1	1	2	5	1
15	FC Brno II	2	0	1	1	4	10	1
16	Polanka	2	0	0	2	1	3	0
17	SK Hranice	2	0	0	2	0	2	0
18	FC Vsetin	2	0	0	2	2	9	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pardubice B	Banik Most-Sous
Hradec Kralove B	1-2 L	3-0 W
Arsenal Ceska Lipa	2-3 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Pardubice B

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Hradec Kralove B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	8	5	L
22/07	SK Vysoke Myto Europe Friendlies	0-1	3-2	4	1	W
22/07	SK Vysoke Myto Club Friendly List	0-1	3-2	4	1	W
06/06	FK Jablonec B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-2	–	–	W
31/05	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	2-5	10	6	L
27/05	Hradec Kralove B Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	2-3	11	7	L
24/05	Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	4-1	7	4	W
17/05	Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
06/05	Arsenal Ceska Lipa Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	2-3	4	3	L
01/05	FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	4-0	6	3	W

Banik Most-Sous

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/08	Turnov Czechia Cup	2-0	2-0	6	7	W
07/08	FK Teplice B Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	5-0	1	3	W
24/07	FC Pisek Club Friendly List	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
21/07	Dukla Praha B Europe Friendlies	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
17/07	Viktoria Zizkov Europe Friendlies	2-2	2-3	–	–	L
06/06	Slovan Velvary Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	9	3	W
31/05	SK Sparta Kolin Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	2-0	7	2	W
23/05	Hradec Kralove B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	5	7	W
20/05	Usti N Orlici Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
16/05	Arsenal Ceska Lipa Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-3	1	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pardubice B vs Banik Most-Sous?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Pardubice B win (39%). Probabilities: Pardubice B 39%, draw 26%, Banik Most-Sous 36%.

How many goals are expected in Pardubice B vs Banik Most-Sous?

The model expects 3.03 goals (Pardubice B 1.55 · Banik Most-Sous 1.48), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Pardubice B vs Banik Most-Sous?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.