Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 15/08, 10:30

Prediction: Velke Hamry vs SK Sokol Zapy

Team pages: Velke Hamry · SK Sokol Zapy

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.33Total

Velke Hamry1.26

SK Sokol Zapy2.07

1X2

22% 23% 55%

Velke Hamry Draw SK Sokol Zapy

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Velke Hamry 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

WLLDLLDLLL

SK Sokol Zapy 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWLDWDWW

Head-to-head

Velke Hamry 0–1–1 SK Sokol Zapy (2 last)

Velke Hamry1-1SK Sokol Zapy
SK Sokol Zapy4-1Velke Hamry

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Velke Hamry 1417 · SK Sokol Zapy 1571

	Velke Hamry	Draw	SK Sokol Zapy
Our model	22%	23%	55%
Market	22%	22%	55%

Estimated total (ours) 3.33 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Sokol Zapy (rating 1417 vs 1571).
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Velke Hamry	SK Sokol Zapy
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.2	2.7 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.1	1.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	70/10/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 4.9	4.3 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.1	2.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

14.00

X4.00

21.61

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)2.00

2 (-0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
05:29 +8’	4.00	4.00	1.61

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Velke Hamry 0–1–1 SK Sokol Zapy

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Czechia 3. Liga	Velke Hamry	1-1 HT 0-1	SK Sokol Zapy
19/11/25 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Sokol Zapy	4-1 HT 3-1	Velke Hamry

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	TJ Unie Hlubina	2	2	0	0	12	4	6
2	Sigma Olomouc B	2	2	0	0	7	1	6
3	SK Artis Brno B	2	2	0	0	4	0	6
4	SK Unicov	2	2	0	0	4	2	6
5	FC Trinity Zlin B	2	2	0	0	3	1	6
6	Frydek Mistek	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
7	Slovacko II	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
7	CSK Uhersky Brod	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
7	MFK Karvina B	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
10	FK Blansko	2	0	2	0	5	5	2
11	MFK Havirov	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
12	FK Hodonin	2	0	1	1	4	6	1
13	MFK Vitkovice	2	0	1	1	2	5	1
13	SFK Vrchovina	2	0	1	1	2	5	1
15	FC Brno II	2	0	1	1	4	10	1
16	Polanka	2	0	0	2	1	3	0
17	SK Hranice	2	0	0	2	0	2	0
18	FC Vsetin	2	0	0	2	2	9	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Velke Hamry	SK Sokol Zapy
Slovan Liberec B	1-2 L	5-0 W
SK Sokol Brozany	0-1 L	0-1 L
Benatky Nad Jizerou	0-2 L	2-4 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: SK Sokol Zapy (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Velke Hamry

WLLDLLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	13	7	L
01/08	FK Prepere Czechia Cup	0-2	0-3	7	3	L
06/06	SK Sokol Brozany Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	0	3	L
30/05	SK Sokol Zapy Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	6	6	D
24/05	Pardubice B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-4	1	4	L
20/05	Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-2	3	2	L
16/05	Usti N Orlici Czechia 3. Liga	2-2	3-3	–	–	D
10/05	FK Teplice B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-2	2	5	L
02/05	Varnsdorf Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	6	4	L
25/04	Slovan Velvary Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-2	6	5	W

SK Sokol Zapy

LWWWLDWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/08	FK Jiskra Hermanuv Mestec Czechia Cup	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
09/08	FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga	4-0	6-0	6	5	W
29/07	Motorlet Praha Club Friendly List	1-0	1-1	0	0	D
06/06	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	5-0	7	1	W
30/05	Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	9	6	D
24/05	Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	2-4	6	1	L
21/05	Arsenal Ceska Lipa Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	5	5	W
10/05	FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-1	7	3	W
06/05	Mladá Boleslav B Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	4-0	12	0	W
03/05	SK Sokol Brozany Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	4	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Velke Hamry vs SK Sokol Zapy?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SK Sokol Zapy win (55%). Probabilities: Velke Hamry 22%, draw 23%, SK Sokol Zapy 55%.

How many goals are expected in Velke Hamry vs SK Sokol Zapy?

The model expects 3.33 goals (Velke Hamry 1.26 · SK Sokol Zapy 2.07), with a 56% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Velke Hamry vs SK Sokol Zapy?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.