Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 15/08, 10:15

Prediction: Aritma Praha vs Povltavska FA

Team pages: Aritma Praha · Povltavska FA

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3Total

Aritma Praha1.81

Povltavska FA1.19

1X2

51% 24% 24%

Aritma Praha Draw Povltavska FA

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Aritma Praha 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLWLWDLWDL

Povltavska FA 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWWDDL

Head-to-head

Aritma Praha 0–1 Povltavska FA (1 last)

Aritma Praha0-1Povltavska FA

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Aritma Praha 1503 · Povltavska FA 1551

	Aritma Praha	Draw	Povltavska FA
Our model	51%	25%	24%
Market	52%	23%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 3 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Povltavska FA (rating 1503 vs 1551).
Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Aritma Praha	Povltavska FA
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.2	2.4 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	1.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	70/20/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.7 / 3.4	2 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0	1.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.80

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
05:02 +34’	1.73	3.80	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Aritma Praha 0–0–1 Povltavska FA

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/08/21 Czechia Cup	Aritma Praha	0-1 HT 0-0	Povltavska FA

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	TJ Unie Hlubina	2	2	0	0	12	4	6
2	Sigma Olomouc B	2	2	0	0	7	1	6
3	SK Artis Brno B	2	2	0	0	4	0	6
4	SK Unicov	2	2	0	0	4	2	6
5	FC Trinity Zlin B	2	2	0	0	3	1	6
6	Frydek Mistek	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
7	Slovacko II	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
7	CSK Uhersky Brod	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
7	MFK Karvina B	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
10	FK Blansko	2	0	2	0	5	5	2
11	MFK Havirov	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
12	FK Hodonin	2	0	1	1	4	6	1
13	MFK Vitkovice	2	0	1	1	2	5	1
13	SFK Vrchovina	2	0	1	1	2	5	1
15	FC Brno II	2	0	1	1	4	10	1
16	Polanka	2	0	0	2	1	3	0
17	SK Hranice	2	0	0	2	0	2	0
18	FC Vsetin	2	0	0	2	2	9	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Aritma Praha	Povltavska FA
TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou	0-1 L	3-2 W
Benesov	0-0 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Povltavska FA (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Aritma Praha

WLWLWDLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/08	TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou Czechia Cup	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
08/08	Benesov Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
25/07	Benatky Nad Jizerou Club Friendly List	0-0	1-0	1	1	W
11/07	Viktoria Zizkov Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-1	1	1	L
30/05	Ceske Budejovice B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
23/05	FK Pribram B Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-2	11	3	W
20/05	Jiskra Domazlice Czechia 3. Liga	0-3	2-3	–	–	L
16/05	FC Taborsko B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
09/05	Kraluv Dvur Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	1	9	L
06/05	FK Admira Praha Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	6	5	W

Povltavska FA

WWLWWWWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	FC Pisek Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-3	5	2	L
01/08	Spartak Pribram Czechia Cup	1-1	2-2	6	3	D
22/07	SK Sparta Kolin Club Friendly List	0-1	1-1	6	0	D
13/06	Jiskra Domazlice B Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	5-0	9	2	W
07/06	TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	3-2	5	1	W
30/05	Benesov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
24/05	SK Petrin Plzen B Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
16/05	FK Horovicko Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-4	–	–	L
08/05	Slavoj Cesky Krumlov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
01/05	FK Tachov Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	5-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aritma Praha vs Povltavska FA?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Aritma Praha win (51%). Probabilities: Aritma Praha 51%, draw 24%, Povltavska FA 24%.

How many goals are expected in Aritma Praha vs Povltavska FA?

The model expects 3 goals (Aritma Praha 1.81 · Povltavska FA 1.19), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Aritma Praha vs Povltavska FA?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.