Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 05/09, 10:15

Prediction: Motorlet Praha vs Aritma Praha

Team pages: Motorlet Praha · Aritma Praha

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.36Total

Motorlet Praha1.52

Aritma Praha0.84

1X2

53% 26% 21%

Motorlet Praha Draw Aritma Praha

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Motorlet Praha 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LDLDDLDWLW

Aritma Praha 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WLWLWDDDDL

Head-to-head

Motorlet Praha 0–2–0 Aritma Praha (2 last)

Aritma Praha1-1Motorlet Praha
Motorlet Praha1-1Aritma Praha

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Motorlet Praha 1498 · Aritma Praha 1486

	Motorlet Praha	Draw	Aritma Praha
Our model	52%	28%	20%
Market	54%	24%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 2.36 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Motorlet Praha	Aritma Praha
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.2	1.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 6.5	1.3 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0	4.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.65

X3.70

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.85

2 (+0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.80

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 19:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.65▲	Bet365 1.65
X	3.90 → 3.70▼	Pinn 3.92
2	4.75 → 4.10▼	Pinn 4.94 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
13:27 +15’	1.53	3.90	4.75
19:09 +19’	1.65▲	3.70▼	4.10▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:28	1.54	3.92	4.94

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Motorlet Praha 0–2–0 Aritma Praha

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 Czechia 3. Liga	Aritma Praha	1-1 HT 1-0	Motorlet Praha
23/08/25 Czechia 3. Liga	Motorlet Praha	1-1 HT 0-1	Aritma Praha

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	6	5	1	0	11	0	16
2	Frydek Mistek	6	4	1	1	11	5	13
3	FC Brno II	6	4	1	1	16	13	13
4	TJ Unie Hlubina	6	4	0	2	21	13	12
5	Sigma Olomouc B	6	4	0	2	13	6	12
6	SK Unicov	6	4	0	2	11	8	12
7	Slovacko II	6	3	2	1	12	7	11
8	CSK Uhersky Brod	6	3	1	2	9	7	10
9	SFK Vrchovina	6	3	1	2	6	8	10
10	FC Trinity Zlin B	6	2	3	1	6	5	9
11	MFK Vitkovice	6	2	2	2	7	7	8
12	MFK Karvina B	6	2	1	3	8	10	7
13	SK Hranice	6	2	0	4	8	7	6
14	FK Hodonin	6	1	2	3	7	10	5
15	FK Blansko	6	0	3	3	8	17	3
16	Polanka	6	0	2	4	3	7	2
17	MFK Havirov	6	0	2	4	4	15	2
18	FC Vsetin	6	0	0	6	4	20	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Motorlet Praha

LDLDDLDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	FC Pisek Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	8	6	W
16/08	Viktoria Plzen B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	5	5	L
07/08	Bohemians 1905 B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	8	3	W
06/06	SK Kladno Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	7	7	D
30/05	SK Petrin Plzen Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
24/05	Slavia Prague U20 Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	12	8	D
20/05	Bohemians 1905 B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-2	3	5	D
17/05	FK Pribram B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	7	5	L
09/05	FC Pisek Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-1	5	7	D
06/05	Viktoria Plzen B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-4	6	0	L

Aritma Praha

WLWLWDDDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Kraluv Dvur Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	3	7	L
22/08	FK Loko Praha Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
15/08	Povltavska FA Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
08/08	Benesov Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
30/05	Ceske Budejovice B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
23/05	FK Pribram B Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-2	11	3	W
20/05	Jiskra Domazlice Czechia 3. Liga	0-3	2-3	–	–	L
16/05	FC Taborsko B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
09/05	Kraluv Dvur Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	1	9	L
06/05	FK Admira Praha Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	6	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Motorlet Praha vs Aritma Praha?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Motorlet Praha win (53%). Probabilities: Motorlet Praha 53%, draw 26%, Aritma Praha 21%.

How many goals are expected in Motorlet Praha vs Aritma Praha?

The model expects 2.36 goals (Motorlet Praha 1.52 · Aritma Praha 0.84), with a 58% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Motorlet Praha vs Aritma Praha?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.