Football · Malta Premier League · 16/08, 18:00
Prediction: Valletta vs Saint Patrick FC Zabbar
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.06Total
Valletta1.37
Saint Patrick FC Zabbar0.69
1X2
Valletta
Draw
Saint Patrick FC Zabbar
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Valletta
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Saint Patrick FC Zabbar
1-6-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Valletta
1–1–2
Saint Patrick FC Zabbar
(4 last)
- Saint Patrick FC Zabbar0-0Valletta
- Valletta0-2Saint Patrick FC Zabbar
- Valletta0-2Saint Patrick FC Zabbar
- Valletta5-1Saint Patrick FC Zabbar
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valletta 1471 · Saint Patrick FC Zabbar 1495
| Valletta | Draw | Saint Patrick FC Zabbar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 30% | 18% |
| Market | 54% | 26% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.06 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Saint Patrick FC Zabbar: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Valletta | Saint Patrick FC Zabbar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.6 | 1.1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.5 | 1.9 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.2 | 3.4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Valletta 1–1–2 Saint Patrick FC Zabbar
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/02/26 Malta Premier League | Saint Patrick FC Zabbar | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Valletta |
| 02/11/25 Malta Premier League | Valletta | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Saint Patrick FC Zabbar |
| 12/07/25 Club Friendly List | Valletta | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Saint Patrick FC Zabbar |
| 15/01/23 Malta FA Trophy | Valletta | 5-1 HT 2-1 | Saint Patrick FC Zabbar |
Standings · Malta Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Floriana | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Balzan FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 2 | Marsaxlokk FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 4 | Birkirkara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Gzira United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Hamrun Spartans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Hibernians | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Mosta FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sliema Wanderers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Valletta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Saint Patrick FC Zabbar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Birzebbuga | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valletta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Rakow Czestochowa UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-2 | 0-4 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 23/07 | Rakow Czestochowa UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | Balzan FC Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | Gzira United Malta FA Trophy |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 15/05 | Hamrun Spartans Malta Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Floriana Malta Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 02/05 | Hamrun Spartans Malta Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | Marsaxlokk FC Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Floriana Malta Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 15/04 | Naxxar Lions Malta Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
Saint Patrick FC Zabbar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Marsaxlokk FC Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 18/07 | Birkirkara Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Tarxien Rainbows FC Malta Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 05/05 | Tarxien Rainbows FC Malta Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 30/04 | Hibernians Malta Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Sliema Wanderers Malta Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 19/04 | Tarxien Rainbows FC Malta Premier League |
2-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 15/04 | Mosta FC Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 11/04 | Birkirkara Malta Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 15/03 | Tarxien Rainbows FC Malta Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valletta vs Saint Patrick FC Zabbar?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Valletta win (53%). Probabilities: Valletta 53%, draw 28%, Saint Patrick FC Zabbar 19%.
How many goals are expected in Valletta vs Saint Patrick FC Zabbar?
The model expects 2.06 goals (Valletta 1.37 · Saint Patrick FC Zabbar 0.69), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Valletta vs Saint Patrick FC Zabbar?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.