Football · Slovakia 3. Liga · 05/09, 18:00

Prediction: FK Poprad vs Slovan Sabinov

Team pages: FK Poprad · Slovan Sabinov

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.38Total
FK Poprad2.25
Slovan Sabinov1.12
1X2
62% 21% 17%
FK Poprad Draw Slovan Sabinov
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
2-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
FK Poprad 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WLWWDDLWWW
Slovan Sabinov 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WDLWDLWLLL
Head-to-head
FK Poprad 1–1–0 Slovan Sabinov (2 last)
  • Slovan Sabinov1-4FK Poprad
  • FK Poprad1-1Slovan Sabinov
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Poprad 1528 · Slovan Sabinov 1439
FK PopradDrawSlovan Sabinov
Our model62%21%17%
Market62%21%17%
Estimated total (ours) 3.38 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Poprad (rating 1528 vs 1439).
  • High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FK PopradSlovan Sabinov
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 0.70.9 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.40.5 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/50/10%30/10/60%
Corners (HT / FT)– / 5.50.5 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.5 / 03.8 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Poprad 110 Slovan Sabinov

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DateHomeScoreAway
04/04/26
Slovakia 3. Liga
Slovan Sabinov1-4
HT 1-3
FK Poprad
30/08/25
Slovakia 3. Liga
FK Poprad1-1
HT 0-0
Slovan Sabinov

Standings · Slovakia 3. Liga · 3. Liga 26/27, East

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Spisska Nova Ves 4310 7310
2 Ofk-Sim Raslavice 4301 759
3 Odeva Lipany 4301 1539
4 FK Poprad 4301 729
5 Spartak Medzev 4301 1159
6 FC Lokomotiva Kosice 4211 737
7 MSK Tesla Stropkov 4211 857
8 Partizan Bardejov 4211 757
9 MFK Stara Lubovna 4121 885
10 Slavia TU Kosice 4103 483
11 Slovan Sabinov 4103 383
12 MFK Snina 4103 173
13 MFK Kezmarok 4004 1110
14 MFK Vranov nad Toplou 4004 3160

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFK PopradSlovan Sabinov
MFK Kezmarok 2-0 W 1-0 W
Odeva Lipany 0-0 D 0-2 L
Ofk-Sim Raslavice 2-1 W 2-2 D
MSK Tesla Stropkov 3-0 W 0-3 L
Spisska Nova Ves 0-3 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FK Poprad (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Poprad

WLWWDDLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 MFK Vranov nad Toplou
Slovakia 3. Liga
0-0 3-0 W
22/08 FC Lokomotiva Kosice
Slovakia 3. Liga
1-1 2-1 W
15/08 MFK Kezmarok
Slovakia 3. Liga
1-0 2-0 W
08/08 MFK Snina
Slovakia 3. Liga
0-0 0-1 L
30/05 FC Lokomotiva Kosice
Slovakia 3. Liga
0-0 1-1 D
23/05 Odeva Lipany
Slovakia 3. Liga
0-0 0-0 25 D
16/05 Ofk-Sim Raslavice
Slovakia 3. Liga
1-0 2-1 W
09/05 MSK Tesla Stropkov
Slovakia 3. Liga
1-0 3-0 W
02/05 Spisska Nova Ves
Slovakia 3. Liga
0-3 0-3 L
25/04 MFK Vranov nad Toplou
Slovakia 3. Liga
1-0 2-0 96 W

Slovan Sabinov

WDLWDLWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Odeva Lipany
Slovakia 3. Liga
0-1 0-2 27 L
23/08 MSK Tesla Stropkov
Slovakia 3. Liga
0-1 0-3 L
15/08 Spisska Nova Ves
Slovakia 3. Liga
0-1 0-1 41 L
08/08 MFK Stara Lubovna
Slovakia 3. Liga
1-1 3-2 W
30/05 FK Humenne
Slovakia 3. Liga
0-6 0-8 L
23/05 Ofk-Sim Raslavice
Slovakia 3. Liga
2-1 2-2 55 D
17/05 MFK Kezmarok
Slovakia 3. Liga
1-0 1-0 55 W
09/05 Spartak Medzev
Slovakia 3. Liga
0-3 1-3 L
02/05 FC Kosice B
Slovakia 3. Liga
0-1 1-1 D
26/04 MSK Spisske Podhradie
Slovakia 3. Liga
1-0 1-0 93 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Poprad vs Slovan Sabinov?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Poprad win (62%). Probabilities: FK Poprad 62%, draw 21%, Slovan Sabinov 17%.

How many goals are expected in FK Poprad vs Slovan Sabinov?

The model expects 3.38 goals (FK Poprad 2.25 · Slovan Sabinov 1.12), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Poprad vs Slovan Sabinov?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.