Football · Hungary NB II · 26/07, 17:00

Prediction: Szentlorinc SE vs Karcagi SE

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.19Total

Szentlorinc SE1.32

Karcagi SE0.87

1X2

46% 29% 24%

Szentlorinc SE Draw Karcagi SE

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Szentlorinc SE 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Karcagi SE 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Szentlorinc SE 1–1–0 Karcagi SE (2 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Szentlorinc SE 1499 · Karcagi SE 1437

	Szentlorinc SE	Draw	Karcagi SE
Our model	46%	31%	24%
Market	47%	28%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 2.19 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Szentlorinc SE (rating 1499 vs 1437).
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Szentlorinc SE	Karcagi SE
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.6	0.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 4.2	2.4 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0	5.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.20

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.3

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
17:21 +2’	1.91	3.20	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Szentlorinc SE 1–1–0 Karcagi SE

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Hungary NB II	Karcagi SE	0-1 HT 0-0	Szentlorinc SE
09/11/25 Hungary NB II	Szentlorinc SE	1-1 HT 0-0	Karcagi SE

Standings · Hungary NB II

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Csakvari TK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	BVSC Zuglo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Diosgyori VTK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Ajka	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Nagykanizsa	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Fehervar FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gyirmot SE	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Karcagi SE	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kazincbarcikai BSC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kecskemeti TE	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kozarmisleny SE	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Mezokovesd Zsory	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Soroksar	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Szeged-Csanad Grosics	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Szentlorinc SE	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Tiszakecske FC	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Szentlorinc SE	Karcagi SE
Kozarmisleny SE	0-2 L	1-2 L
Tiszakecske FC	2-1 W	0-1 L
Fehervar FC	2-1 W	0-2 L
Bekescsabai Elore SE	0-0 D	0-0 D
Kecskemeti TE	0-3 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Szentlorinc SE

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/07	Kozarmisleny SE Club Friendly List	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
24/06	Paksi Europe Friendlies	3-2	3-3	4	0	D
17/05	Tiszakecske FC Hungary NB II	2-0	2-1	1	4	W
10/05	Fehervar FC Hungary NB II	0-1	2-1	5	5	W
03/05	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
26/04	BVSC Zuglo Hungary NB II	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
19/04	Bekescsabai Elore SE Hungary NB II	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
11/04	Vasas SC Hungary NB II	0-1	0-4	4	1	L
05/04	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB II	0-1	0-3	5	2	L
22/03	Szeged-Csanad Grosics Hungary NB II	0-0	0-2	4	7	L

Karcagi SE

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/05	Kozarmisleny SE Hungary NB II	1-0	1-2	5	7	L
10/05	Tiszakecske FC Hungary NB II	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
03/05	Szentlorinc SE Hungary NB II	0-0	0-1	10	4	L
26/04	Bekescsabai Elore SE Hungary NB II	0-0	0-0	5	9	D
19/04	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB II	0-2	1-2	7	6	L
11/04	Csakvari TK Hungary NB II	1-1	2-1	0	3	W
05/04	FC Ajka Hungary NB II	0-0	0-1	7	7	L
22/03	Kispest Honved Hungary NB II	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
14/03	Budafoki MTE Hungary NB II	0-1	3-2	7	5	W
08/03	Fehervar FC Hungary NB II	0-1	0-2	4	8	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Szentlorinc SE vs Karcagi SE?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Szentlorinc SE win (46%). Probabilities: Szentlorinc SE 46%, draw 29%, Karcagi SE 24%.

How many goals are expected in Szentlorinc SE vs Karcagi SE?

The model expects 2.19 goals (Szentlorinc SE 1.32 · Karcagi SE 0.87), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Szentlorinc SE vs Karcagi SE?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.