Football · Slovakia 3. Liga · 14/11, 13:00

Prediction: Slovan Duslo Šala vs FK Nove Zamky

Team pages: Slovan Duslo Šala · FK Nove Zamky

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.5Total

Slovan Duslo Šala1.22

FK Nove Zamky1.27

1X2

35% 27% 37%

Slovan Duslo Šala Draw FK Nove Zamky

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Slovan Duslo Šala 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

WDLDLDLLLL

FK Nove Zamky 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WWLLLDWLWL

Head-to-head

Slovan Duslo Šala 3–1–2 FK Nove Zamky (6 last)

Slovan Duslo Šala0-2FK Nove Zamky
FK Nove Zamky2-1Slovan Duslo Šala
Slovan Duslo Šala1-1FK Nove Zamky
FK Nove Zamky1-2Slovan Duslo Šala
FK Nove Zamky1-6Slovan Duslo Šala
Slovan Duslo Šala2-0FK Nove Zamky

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Slovan Duslo Šala 1426 · FK Nove Zamky 1480

	Slovan Duslo Šala	Draw	FK Nove Zamky
Our model	34%	30%	36%
Market	36%	26%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Nove Zamky (rating 1426 vs 1480).
H2H favours Slovan Duslo Šala: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Slovan Duslo Šala	FK Nove Zamky
Goals for / against (FT)	0.5 / 1.8	1.1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.8	0.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.9	2.7 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.2	4.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.50

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
15:50 +16’	2.50	3.50	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Slovan Duslo Šala 3–1–2 FK Nove Zamky

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Slovakia 3. Liga	Slovan Duslo Šala	0-2 HT 0-2	FK Nove Zamky
08/10/25 Slovakia 3. Liga	FK Nove Zamky	2-1 HT 2-1	Slovan Duslo Šala
08/03/25 Slovakia 3. Liga	Slovan Duslo Šala	1-1 HT 1-0	FK Nove Zamky
10/08/24 Slovakia 3. Liga	FK Nove Zamky	1-2 HT 0-1	Slovan Duslo Šala
03/06/23 Slovakia 3. Liga	FK Nove Zamky	1-6 HT 0-2	Slovan Duslo Šala
05/11/22 Slovakia 3. Liga	Slovan Duslo Šala	2-0 HT 1-0	FK Nove Zamky

Standings · Slovakia 3. Liga · 3. Liga 26/27, West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Nitra	13	12	1	0	46	10	37
2	Puchov	14	8	4	2	36	10	28
3	OFK Dunajska Luzna	14	8	3	3	19	11	27
4	Spartak Myjava	13	6	4	3	24	16	22
5	TJ Kovo Belusa	14	5	6	3	29	23	21
6	Dunajska Streda B	14	6	3	5	25	19	21
7	SK 1923 Gabcikovo	13	6	2	5	23	21	20
8	MSK Senec	14	6	1	7	15	23	19
9	FK Nove Zamky	13	5	3	5	15	19	18
10	AS Trencin B	14	5	2	7	25	25	17
11	FC Banik Prievidza	13	5	1	7	20	23	16
12	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince	14	4	3	7	22	31	15
13	OK Castkovce	14	4	2	8	21	30	14
14	KFC Komarno B	14	4	2	8	16	35	14
15	Raca Bratislava	14	2	4	8	16	37	10
16	Slovan Duslo Šala	13	1	3	9	8	27	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Slovan Duslo Šala	FK Nove Zamky
Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince	0-4 L	1-3 L
Puchov	0-4 L	1-0 W
FC Nitra	0-4 L	1-5 L
Dunajska Streda B	0-0 D	0-1 L
OK Castkovce	1-1 D	2-0 W
MSK Senec	3-1 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FK Nove Zamky (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Slovan Duslo Šala

WDLDLDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-4	3	3	L
24/10	Puchov Slovakia 3. Liga	0-2	0-4	–	–	L
17/10	OFK Dunajska Luzna Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	6	6	L
11/10	KFC Komarno B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	11	4	L
03/10	Raca Bratislava Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
26/09	FC Nitra Slovakia 3. Liga	0-3	0-4	1	6	L
20/09	Dunajska Streda B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	1	8	D
12/09	FC Banik Prievidza Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-2	4	5	L
05/09	OK Castkovce Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	2	7	D
29/08	MSK Senec Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	3-1	2	6	W

FK Nove Zamky

WWLLLDWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Dunajska Streda B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
24/10	OK Castkovce Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	6	6	W
16/10	MSK Senec Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
10/10	SK 1923 Gabcikovo Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	2-1	4	3	W
04/10	TJ Kovo Belusa Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
26/09	AS Trencin B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	2-5	6	5	L
19/09	FC Nitra Slovakia 3. Liga	0-2	1-5	–	–	L
12/09	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
05/09	Spartak Myjava Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	2-1	4	6	W
29/08	Puchov Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Slovan Duslo Šala vs FK Nove Zamky?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Nove Zamky win (37%). Probabilities: Slovan Duslo Šala 35%, draw 27%, FK Nove Zamky 37%.

How many goals are expected in Slovan Duslo Šala vs FK Nove Zamky?

The model expects 2.5 goals (Slovan Duslo Šala 1.22 · FK Nove Zamky 1.27), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Slovan Duslo Šala vs FK Nove Zamky?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.