Football · Slovakia 3. Liga · 05/09, 16:00

Prediction: FK Nove Zamky vs Spartak Myjava

Team pages: FK Nove Zamky · Spartak Myjava

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.53Total

FK Nove Zamky1.2

Spartak Myjava1.33

1X2

33% 27% 39%

FK Nove Zamky Draw Spartak Myjava

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Nove Zamky 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWLWWWDWDW

Spartak Myjava 3-6-1 (W-D-L)

DWDWDDWDLD

Head-to-head

FK Nove Zamky 1–1–4 Spartak Myjava (6 last)

FK Nove Zamky0-0Spartak Myjava
Spartak Myjava2-0FK Nove Zamky
Spartak Myjava2-0FK Nove Zamky
FK Nove Zamky3-1Spartak Myjava
Spartak Myjava1-0FK Nove Zamky
Spartak Myjava3-0FK Nove Zamky

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Nove Zamky 1571 · Spartak Myjava 1551

	FK Nove Zamky	Draw	Spartak Myjava
Our model	32%	29%	38%
Market	34%	26%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 2.53 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Spartak Myjava: 4-1-1.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Nove Zamky	Spartak Myjava
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1	1.5 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.2	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	80/20/0%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 5.5	2.8 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 1	4.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.50

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.00

2 (-0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
11:53 +10’	2.63	3.50	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Nove Zamky 1–1–4 Spartak Myjava

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Slovakia 3. Liga	FK Nove Zamky	0-0 HT 0-0	Spartak Myjava
19/09/25 Slovakia 3. Liga	Spartak Myjava	2-0 HT 2-0	FK Nove Zamky
23/04/25 Slovakia 3. Liga	Spartak Myjava	2-0 HT 0-0	FK Nove Zamky
05/10/24 Slovakia 3. Liga	FK Nove Zamky	3-1 HT 1-0	Spartak Myjava
31/10/21 Slovakia 3. Liga	Spartak Myjava	1-0 HT 1-0	FK Nove Zamky
10/10/20 Slovakia 3. Liga	Spartak Myjava	3-0 HT 1-0	FK Nove Zamky

Standings · Slovakia 3. Liga · 3. Liga 26/27, West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	TJ Kovo Belusa	4	4	0	0	15	5	12
2	FC Nitra	4	3	1	0	10	3	10
3	SK 1923 Gabcikovo	4	3	0	1	8	6	9
4	FK Nove Zamky	4	2	2	0	5	2	8
5	OFK Dunajska Luzna	4	2	1	1	5	4	7
6	AS Trencin B	4	2	1	1	8	6	7
7	Dunajska Streda B	4	2	0	2	10	8	6
8	MSK Senec	4	2	0	2	6	8	6
9	Puchov	4	1	2	1	5	3	5
10	Spartak Myjava	4	1	2	1	7	9	5
11	FC Banik Prievidza	4	1	0	3	5	8	3
12	Slovan Duslo Šala	4	1	0	3	6	10	3
13	OK Castkovce	4	1	0	3	9	11	3
14	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince	4	0	2	2	4	9	2
15	KFC Komarno B	4	0	2	2	4	11	2
16	Raca Bratislava	4	0	1	3	6	10	1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Nove Zamky	Spartak Myjava
Puchov	1-0 W	2-2 D
OFK Dunajska Luzna	1-1 D	3-1 W
KFC Komarno B	2-0 W	0-0 D
AS Trencin B	3-2 W	5-3 W
OK Castkovce	2-1 W	0-0 D
Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince	1-3 L	1-1 D
Slovan Galanta	1-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 5 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FK Nove Zamky (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Nove Zamky

LWLWWWDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Puchov Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
22/08	OFK Dunajska Luzna Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	4	1	D
15/08	KFC Komarno B Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
08/08	Raca Bratislava Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	9	11	D
06/06	KFC Komarno B Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	4-0	–	–	W
30/05	AS Trencin B Slovakia 3. Liga	3-1	3-2	–	–	W
23/05	OK Castkovce Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
16/05	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-3	–	–	L
09/05	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
03/05	TJ Kovo Belusa Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	1-2	4	6	L

Spartak Myjava

DWDWDDWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	6	6	D
23/08	FC Nitra Slovakia 3. Liga	0-3	1-5	–	–	L
15/08	Puchov Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	2-2	5	3	D
07/08	OFK Dunajska Luzna Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	3-1	5	4	W
06/06	Dunajska Streda B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
30/05	KFC Komarno B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
22/05	AS Trencin B Slovakia 3. Liga	2-1	5-3	10	2	W
16/05	OK Castkovce Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
08/05	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
01/05	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	2	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Nove Zamky vs Spartak Myjava?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Spartak Myjava win (39%). Probabilities: FK Nove Zamky 33%, draw 27%, Spartak Myjava 39%.

How many goals are expected in FK Nove Zamky vs Spartak Myjava?

The model expects 2.53 goals (FK Nove Zamky 1.2 · Spartak Myjava 1.33), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Nove Zamky vs Spartak Myjava?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.